Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM JUST KIDDIN Jul15         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 1.40 30% 2.30    
2  IRISH EMPRESS Jul15         (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
3  THREE UNIONS         (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
4  NICE 'N SPICY         (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  HIGHWAY HARMONY         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  KINGSLEY CREEK Jul04         (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 20% 3.90    
7  NEVER PERSONAL         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  FRANKIE C Jul28         (trites lan)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
SCR  MY SWEET BANKER         (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  MY GORGEOUS         (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ALLY VEE Jul22 Jun24       (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
2  RUN UP THE SCORE Jul17 Jun11 May07 Mar27   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 20% 4.00    
3  POUT         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 ★    
4  HONEYCOMB Jun22 Apr27 Jan02     (arnold g)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
5  DOLCE SERA Jul04 Jun25 Jun09 May13 Apr30 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 ★    
6  REGINA Jul22 Feb24 Jan23     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 ★    
 
SAR-3   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT SELBY Jul01 Jun16 May15 Mar13   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 ★    
2  WUDDA U THINK NOW Jun21 Feb19 Jan16     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART Jul10 May14       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 8% 12.00    
4  MY BOY TATE Mar20 Feb19 Jan08     (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 ★    
5  REGGAE MUSIC MAN Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Mar19 Feb26 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
6  NY TRAFFIC Jul30 Jun17 Apr29 Mar05   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20 34% 1.90    
 
SAR-4   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATEST EDITION Jun26 May30       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  CUPERE Jun26 Jun04       (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
3  OAK LOVES A FIGHT Jul17 Jun26 Jun16 May30 May08 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.40    
4  LOLLYGAG Jul23 Jun26 Jun04 Apr22 Mar06 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 5% 17.80    
5  TAPPLE CIDER Jul17         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 6% 16.10    
6  QUEEN OF LIES Jul23 Jun25 May30 Apr29 Jan15 (dutrow anthony)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  FALSE HOPE Jun16 May21 Apr24 Feb26 Jan08 (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
8  JANNIE MAE Jul17 Jun17       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
9  KAY TEE GAL Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May08 Apr24 (henry ne)DAVIS A 118 50.00    
10  QUIET TYPE Jun16 May21 Apr24 Mar25 Mar06 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  MONDEUSE Jun17 May21 Feb19 Feb04   (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 5% 18.60    
12  MUCHO MAMA MIA Jul17         (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
 
SAR-5   08/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELOQUIST Jul25 Feb05 Jan09     (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
2  RED REVOLUTION Jul16 Jun16 May01 Mar25 Feb25 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 ★    
3  I AM THE LAW Jul21 Jun12 May15 Apr23 Mar27 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  KHAFRE Jul02 Jun02 May06 Apr03 Feb06 (jerkens ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  COMMANDER COMPTON Jun11 May14 Apr02     (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
6  EAGLE IN LOVE Jul16 Jun16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 May30 May12 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  ZUZUDINI Jul01 Apr21 Mar18     (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNICKET Jun26 May07 Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.10    
2  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Jul20 Jun26 May30 May08 Apr15 (kimmel c)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  MASHNEE GIRL Jul10 May30 Apr08 Feb18 Jan13 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  BANK ON ANNA Jul23 May20 Apr24 Mar18 Jan22 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 116 3.00 ★    
5  GRUDGE Jul15 Jun26 May12 Apr03 Feb06 (jones ed)DAVIS A 114 20.00 8% 10.80    
6  ELOQUENT SPEAKER Jul20 May27 Mar04 Jan02   (lynch nata)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
7  CHASING CARA Jul09 May19 Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVO KITTEN Jul14 May18 Apr28 Apr14 Jan02 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
2  BAHAMIAN CLUB (IRE) Jun16 Feb12       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
3  GAL IN A RUSH Jul09 May19       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  DIAMOND HANDS Jun16 May20       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
5  AL QAHIRA (GER) Jul22 May04 Apr10 Feb02   (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
6  LINDA'S GIFT Jul14 Jun16 Apr24 Mar27   (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
SCR  FRIPPET Jul03 May21 Apr22 Apr02 Mar13 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  STORM KISS Apr22 Jan14       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
9  SWIFT ACTION Jul09 Jun18       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
10  SPICER Jun16 May06 Mar12     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jul20 Jun11 Apr29 Apr02 Feb18 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKIT Feb19         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80 59% 0.70    
2  BROOKLYN STRONG Jul10 Jun02 Mar07     (barboza victor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
3  THREE JOKERS Jun11 May15 Mar04 Feb05   (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
4  THERISASTORMBREWIN Jul10 May29 Apr28 Mar26 Feb10 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
5  TIERGAN Aug03 Jun26 Jun16 Apr30 Mar26 (morey william)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 ★    
6  MARKET ALERT Jul10 May28 Apr30 Mar27 Feb12 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
7  SEA FOAM         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 8% 11.30    
 
SAR-9   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Jun26 May30 Apr14     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 43% 1.30    
2  MADDIE'S SURPRISE         (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
3  COOLCATSNKITTENS Jun26 May27       (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL         (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
5  ELI DANCER Jul09 Feb18       (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
6  SARAH'S SPLENDOR Jul16 Jun04       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
7  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Aug03         (klesaris s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
8  UNKOALAFIED Jul04 Jun16 May12     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
9  ONE JOURNEY         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
10  LOLA LOLA Jul17 Jun24 Apr29     (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
11  GALLEY HEAD Jul20 May04       (lerman r)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  CHIARA (URU) Jul20 Jun17 Apr28 Feb12 Jan08 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  RENT CONTROL Jul04 Jun17 May27     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD Jun17 Apr28 Apr03     (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROAD TO REMEMBER Jul23 Jun26 May27     (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN TO FLY Jul16         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 28% 2.60    
2  FIST FULL OF DICE Jul17         (combs bentle)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
3  THEODORA GRACE Jun26 May14 Apr16     (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5% 18.70    
4  SINFULLY SWEET Jul23 May30 Apr22     (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
5  CANDY MONET Jul08 Jun05 Apr29 Apr03 Feb11 (persaud eddie)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00    
6  CLASSIC LYNNE Jul20         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
7  WATERVILLE Apr10         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
8  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Jul16 Jun04 Apr10     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 ★    
9  DUFRESNE Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May14   (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
10  MASTEROF THE TUNES Jul17 Jun25 May14 Apr14   (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 125 15.00    
11  SHE'S A MIA Jul20 Jul02 May06     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
12  TEMPERMENTAL Jul08 Jun12 May27 Apr22 Mar23 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
SCR  GALLINA May27 Feb04 Jan02     (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jun24 May27 Apr30 Feb05 Jan06 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE Jun24 Jan06       (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
SCR  CARAMOCHA Jul22         (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.