Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NORTH SIDE   (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 4.50 34% 2.00 1.30 W
4  AWESOME FAMILY   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.56 P
6  FEELING DANGEROUS   (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 117 8.00 11.40  
5  TILLIS   (morse l)COURT K 122 6.00 ★ 2.88  
1  BUBBA CABALLO   (schlenk jad)STILLION BROOKE 122 20.00 6% 15.40 18.88  
SCR  DREWZANO   (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 ★    
 
ELP-2   07/17/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHAT A COUNTRY   (cook b)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 ★ 1.15  
2  PROTONIC POWER   (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 ★ 2.12 P
7  EL FRANCO   (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 125 12.00 14.76  
4  TWO COOKIE RULE   (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 4.50 ★ 6.04  
5  ZOFFA   (shorter aaron)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00 ★ 5.83  
1  ELI   (maci)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 12.17  
SCR  BULLSEYE BUN   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 123 1.20 71% 0.40    
 
ELP-3   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FRIAR LAURENCE   (colebrook )MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 6.00 30% 2.30 11.20 W
2  CHASING TIME   (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 118 0.80 43% 1.30 0.51 P
6  BLUE KENTUCKY   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 ★ 3.73 S
1  RED LABEL   (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 12.00 ★ 13.29  
4  TOUGH TO TAME   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 ★ 5.38  
3  LUCKY SHOT   (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 15.00 30.18  
 
ELP-4   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ZAPPLE   (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 3.46  
3  EGOZ UNIT   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 8% 11.30 4.73 P
7  AREUOKWITHTHIS   (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 24% 3.20 4.24 S
9  STORM RATE   (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 119 5.00 3.72  
5  HOLY FOLEY   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 5.03  
8  FAST GAL   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 25% 3.00 5.49  
2  BASILICA D ORO   (orantes yoni )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.57  
6  MIDNIGHT XO   (hancock dana)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 15.00 18.00  
SCR  BLING   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  JUSTA WARRIOR   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
SCR  ONE STORMY LADY   (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  PIGEON CAY   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 10.00    
SCR  TOP MULE   (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEEHAWKEN   (casse mark)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
 
ELP-5   07/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ON A SPREE   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 1.00 59% 0.70 0.71 W
6  EGO   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 7% 14.00 3.06 P
2  THRU THE VINE   (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 5% 18.50 19.10 S
4  ALTERED   (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 15.88  
5  FIRERY TALE   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 123 3.50 ★ 5.14  
1  JURISDICTION   (miller f)COURT K 123 8.00 8% 12.20 13.95  
3  UNIDENTIFIED MAN   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 20.86  
 
ELP-6   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HONOR THAT   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 15.00 1.17  
1  MY MY MUNNY   (stuart shea)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 20.00 3.15  
7  THE CLUB   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 3.00  
4  LAURA'S CHARM   (pierce lac)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5.57  
11  MONOCACY   (king l)MILLER CHASE 118 20.00 8.15  
SCR  SHANNON   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  ROSY DAWN   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  HEY KITTEN   (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  ELEGANT JOY   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  STYLISH RAGS   (west m)PARKER L 122 20.00    
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER   (blair jordan)GRAHAM J 118 1.20 ★    
 
ELP-7   07/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOROTHEA   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 17% 4.90 2.98 W
8  SWEET LADY IVANKA   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 10.00 5.00  
11  GUN MOLL   (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 11.15  
9  FINE COTTON   (pessin neil )GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 4.47  
6  TEXAS LUCKY   (mcpeek g)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 16.25  
3  RUN UP THE SCORE   (brown c)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 20% 4.00 2.33  
13  LANDED GENTRY   (medina rob)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.68  
7  JUST GET IT   (margolis ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 38.40  
12  MARINA'S GOLD   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 7.69  
SCR  AWESOME ALLY VEE   (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  MY LILY MAE   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZAPISTOL   (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
SCR  SUNNY RIVER   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
ELP-8   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MARKET RUMOR   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 1.80 16% 5.40 1.26 W
1  UNDISTURBED   (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 48% 1.10 3.22 P
8  DEMODOG   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 4.31  
2  FAIR GAME   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 8.24  
7  CAROLINE'S STORY   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 5% 19.00 32.30  
6  JOY OF PAINTING   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 ★ 11.03  
5  RUSSIAN MAFIA   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 5.00 7.05  
SCR  WILL'S SECRET   (lukas wayne)COURT K 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
 
ELP-9   07/17/2022 6600ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMON BOND   (reed r)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 5% 19.00 8.05 W
11  FAMILY MAN   (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 15.00 6% 15.40 1.27 P
12  SAQEEL   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 7.28  
7  DEFIED   (ortiz alex)HOLMES GAGE 118 20.00 6.84  
2  ROGUE ELEMENT   (hiles a)LANERIE J 123 4.50 2.80  
6  CHANTRY FLATS   (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 9.60  
4  WORLD CRUISER   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 15.00 16.64  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  COOL RAGS   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUSLY   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00    
SCR  FINDING FREEDOM   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
SCR  RED HORNET   (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.