Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - September 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   09/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:213 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VACATION DANCE 6 6 5 3½   1½ 1nk (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 8.30  
11  DISARMED 9 1 3 5   42 2nk (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 19% 4.40 1.30 P
BOBBY THE TANK 1 4 4 41   3 3½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 29% 2.40 3.10 S
CURLY LARRY AND MO 3 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 4 (caramori caio)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 11% 7.90 3.00  
TATER AND TOT 5 5 7 7   65 5 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 34.25  
10  CHASIN' YOU 8 8 6 6   5 6 (lynch natalia)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.30  
EXALTED ONE 7 7 9 8   78 78 (o'brien ke)DAVIS A 119 20.00 56.50  
EXCALIBRATE 4 2 1nk 2nk   8 817¼ (chichakly amir)SAMUEL L 119 20.00 58.25  
HOT ROD LINCOLN 2 9 8 9   910½ 917½ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 29.50  
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER               (rohena rafael)CAMILO D 119 15.00    
SCR  DISCO DEMOLITION               (lugovich rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  JOYFUL GHOST               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  NOBILIS               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
SCR  RADIO RED               (gargan danny)RIDER TBA 119 3.50 7% 13.60    
SCR  SOMAMA BEACH               (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
SCR  TWENTY SIX BLACK               (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
 
SAR-2   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREELEY AND BEN 2 2 1nk 11   1½ 1¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 42% 1.40 2.75 W
HAPPY FARM 3 1 2nk 21   2½ 2¼ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.40 32% 2.10 0.60 P
BIG ENGINE 1 4 59 57   4 3 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 10.50  
HERO TIGER 4 3 31 3   32 4 (avila ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 8.40  
MONTAUK DADDY 5 5 4 4   5 514½ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 7.10  
SCR  COLD AS HELL               (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
 
SAR-3   09/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:133 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER DREAMING 4 3 3 4 4 4¾ 12 (lukas wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 7.40  
ATHWAAQ 6 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 22 (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 12.70  
ADELAIDE MISS 5 2 2 21 2½ 1nk 32 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5.80  
CHARGE ACCOUNT 7 4 4 32 32 3½ 4 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 18% 4.40 1.85  
STATE CROWN 2 6 77 75 75 5 54 (trombetta michael)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 9% 10.00 2.60  
BLUE ATLAS 3 5 6 6 64 6 6 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 29% 2.40 4.30  
LINNY KATE 1 7 54 53 54 7 712¾ (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00 8% 11.60 20.10  
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 124 3.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00    
 
SAR-4   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSTEAU 5 5 32 2   2½ 1hd (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 58% 0.70 2.15 W
CRITICAL THREAT 2 6 43 4   32 2hd (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 14% 6.20 3.60 P
10  AMPERSAND 8 1 1 1   1½ 31 (walder r)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 7% 13.70 3.00 S
JADE'S DREAM 6 4 7 814   6 42 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 15.80  
BREAKING STONES 7 8 89 713½   5 5 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 15.00  
CHARGER 4 3 2 35   4 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 6.20  
MAJESTIC TIGER 3 7 6 612½   76 7 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 11.50  
11  FORESTWOOD LANE 9 2 54 511   8 87 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 21.40  
FOREVER WICKED 1 9 911½ 921   911½ 912½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 20.00 39.25  
SCR  SCORPION DYNASTY               (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
SCR  WILLY MC               (camejo m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
 
SAR-5   09/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:212 :442 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ME 'N SAP 4 3 3 33   2nk 1½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 11.30  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 2 2 1nk 2½   1nk 2½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 12.00 16.20  
SHERIFF BIANCO 6 5 45 4   3½ 31 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 30% 2.30 1.65 S
ATHENRY 8 8 7 7   4 42 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 20% 4.00 2.15  
HUDSON OVERPASS 3 6 8 89   8 5 (grossman bruce)SAMUEL L 121 30.00 49.50  
GIRAMONTE 7 7 6 6   65 6 (gyarmati leah)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 7.50  
GOLQUIST 1 1 2nk 1½   53 7 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 21% 3.70 6.10  
STORM SHOOTER 5 4 56 56   7 8 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 8% 12.30 10.30  
 
SAR-6   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE BRIANA 1 8 810 8   4 1½ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 3.90  
VAHVA 6 4 3½ 2nk   14 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.30  
MY BETSY 7 3 74 7   24 3 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 11.20 S
PURE PAULINE 3 6 6 4¾   34 44 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60 3.15  
ST. BENEDICTS PREP 2 7 52 6   5 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 29% 2.50 4.50  
STUNNINGLY 4 2 2½ 5   7 610 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
1A  RENEGADE REBEL 8 1 4 3½   68 715½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.60 7.10  
MISINTENTION 5 5 1½ 1nk   813½ 833¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 11.30  
SCR  BINSKY               (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   09/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE LOOK 3 3 57 5 5 13 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 68% 0.50 0.75 W
FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 7 7 8 912¼ 79 3 2 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 11% 7.70 9.80  
THIRTY THOU KELVIN 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 23 3 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 15.70  
LA MAZEL 2 8 9 610½ 67 55 4 (dutrow antho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 6.70  
10  WRITTENINTHESTARS 9 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 44 510¾ (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 32.25  
SUMMERTIME FUN 6 10 1011¼ 1013¼ 911 9 611 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 37.50  
AVANT 8 6 7 811¼ 8 8 712¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 9.60  
SELENAIA (IRE) 1 4 44 4 3 6 813½ (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 7.40  
1A  PALLOTTA SISTERS 10 9 3 3 44 77 914 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 7.40  
PROUVER 5 5 67 710¾ 1013½ 1020½ 1038¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.10  
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  GIFTED               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
SCR  KEEP LEFT               (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)USKE S 119 30.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-8   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALM COTTAGE 4 1 1½ 1   12 1¼ (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 123 1.80 42% 1.40 1.70 W
BOSTON POST ROAD 2 2 41 33   22 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 17% 4.70 0.90 P
MOVIE MOXY 5 3 2½ 2   35 3 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 5% 18.20 22.40 S
HALO CITY 3 5 5 5   411 4 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 16.00  
MYSTIC EYES 1 4 31 47   519 523 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 3.80  
SCR  DEALING JUSTICE               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
SAR-9   09/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CATCH THAT PARTY 11 10 10 116 9 43 1nk (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 45% 1.20 1.65 W
10  CITIZEN K 9 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 1 2nk (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 6.30  
FRANK'S ART 5 1 5 6 54 2 3 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 21% 3.90 2.40 S
TIMBUKTU 3 8 75 9 75 33 4 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9% 10.70 6.50  
EDDIE THE GREAT 2 11 96 8 10 8 5 (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 39.00  
MIGHTY MEISTER 7 5 42 42 4 5 6 (rawles alcin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 30.00 52.25  
BARREL OF QUESTS 1 3 3 32 32 6 78 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 17.40  
LORD FLINTSHIRE 6 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 7 812¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 18.60 9.30  
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 4 9 85 7 6 9 918¾ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 1.65  
TOP ENVOY 8 7 64 5 86 1011¼ 1020 (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 22.70  
11  BEACH PASS 10 6 118 10 118 1121¼ 1137½ (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 122 50.00 58.00  
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER               (breed rona)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 50.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20    
 
SAR-10   09/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:132 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCULENT 2 8 87 89 8 3 1¾ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.55 DQ↓3
LA VICTORIA (FR) 3 1 2 2 2 1½ 2¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 19% 4.40 2.15 W
CAPE COD CAUSEWAY 4 4 54 6 5 4 3¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 28% 2.50 4.50 P
LEM ME DRINK 7 3 1 1 1 2½ 4 (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 13.00  
CAN'T FOOL ME 5 6 6 55 6 6 5 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 24.75  
JOCOSITY 6 2 33 44 33 5 64 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 29% 2.40 4.60  
MUCHO MAMA MIA 1 5 76 77 7 7 7 (englehart jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 25.50  
LET UR LIGHT SHINE 8 7 43 34 43 88 8 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 10.00  
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
SAR-11   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 6:11
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE NO TRACE 6 1 21 21   11 1 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 14.80  
WONDER WHEEL 9 2 42 3   3 2 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 29% 2.50 1.45 P
KALING 1 9 3 4   21 3 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 10% 9.10 3.85 S
10  AMERICAN ROCKETTE 10 8 109 9   5 4 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 10.10  
SABRA TUFF 7 6 9 64   46 5 (stewart dallas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 50.75  
JUST CINDY 5 7 64 5   7 612¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 37% 1.70 4.40  
APPLE PICKER 3 5 86 10   912½ 714½ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 65.00  
AUNT SHIRLEY 8 10 75 8   812 814¾ (brisset rodolph)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 10.80  
NAUGHTY GAL 4 3 11 11   67 920½ (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 7.90  
MISS GEORGIE 2 4 53 75   1018½ 1038¼ (gaudet lacey)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00 63.00  
 
SAR-12   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  JET SET JULIET 11 1 2½ 2nk   1 1 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.00 63% 0.60 0.50 W
TOUGH STREET 10 2 1½ 1nk   2 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 0.50 P
CARLANN 4 11 11 1012   610½ 311½ (o'connor br)LUZZI J 121 30.00 51.50  
QUIET TYPE 5 5 10 911½   913½ 414 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 26.75  
LEMME GET IT 3 3 5 6   510 514¼ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 20.00  
MOULY 2 4 31 33   3 614¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 8% 11.00 3.95  
DARN THAT SONG 8 6 41 55   410 715 (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 17.50  
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS 6 10 8 79   812½ 817½ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 7% 12.90 15.30  
GLOCCA MORRA 7 7 9 1113   1117 921¾ (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 16.40  
10  ROZ 9 8 6 4   711 1022½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 20.60  
CAIAROSSA 1 9 7 8   1015 1125¼ (bond ja)HARKIE K 121 20.00 44.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.