Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - September 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   09/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOYFUL GHOST         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
2  BOBBY THE TANK Jul29         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  NOBILIS         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
4  HOT ROD LINCOLN         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
5  CURLY LARRY AND MO Aug11 Jul17       (caramori caio)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  EXCALIBRATE Aug14         (chichakly am)SAMUEL L 119 20.00    
7  TATER AND TOT         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
8  VACATION DANCE         (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
9  EXALTED ONE         (o'brien )DAVIS A 119 20.00    
10  CHASIN' YOU         (lynch natalia)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
11  DISARMED Jul27         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  DISCO DEMOLITION Jul27         (lugovich ri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TWENTY SIX BLACK Jul27         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER Aug10 Jul26       (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 119 15.00    
SCR  SOMAMA BEACH         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
SCR  RADIO RED         (gargan danny)RIDER TBA 119 3.50 7% 13.60    
 
SAR-2   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ENGINE Jul30 Jul04 May21 Apr21 Mar19 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
2  GREELEY AND BEN Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 Feb21 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  HAPPY FARM Jul20 Jun17 Jun03 Apr30 Feb27 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
4  HERO TIGER Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 Jun02 May15 (avila c)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  COLD AS HELL Aug13 Jul14 Jul04 Mar05 Feb13 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 ★    
6  MONTAUK DADDY Aug22 Aug10 Jul23 Jun19 Jun10 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 ★    
 
SAR-3   09/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINNY KATE Aug21 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 May15 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00 8% 11.60    
2  STATE CROWN Aug17 Jul03 Jun02 May17   (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
3  BLUE ATLAS Jul01         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  FOREVER DREAMING Aug14 May19 Apr24 Mar12 Jan23 (lukas d )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00    
5  ADELAIDE MISS Aug03 Jul10 Jun05 May20 Feb19 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
6  ATHWAAQ Aug04 Jun25 Jun10 Apr16   (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
7  CHARGE ACCOUNT Aug03 Jul01 Jun02 Apr29 Feb27 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb18         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00    
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Jul03 Jun02 May05 Apr02 Mar11 (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 124 3.00 8% 11.60    
 
SAR-4   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER WICKED Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jul04 Jun16 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 20.00    
2  CRITICAL THREAT Aug07 Jun26 May30 Apr09 Mar12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
3  MAJESTIC TIGER Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 May30 Apr30 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
4  CHARGER Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Apr07 Mar20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 ★    
5  COUSTEAU Jul04 Jun04 Apr07 Mar20 Feb06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  SCORPION DYNASTY Aug02 Jul17 Jun30 Feb19 Feb03 (clarke d)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
SCR  WILLY MC Aug26 Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 Mar24 (camejo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
8  JADE'S DREAM Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr07 Mar19 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
9  BREAKING STONES Aug05 Jul08 Jun12 May28 Apr22 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 ★    
10  AMPERSAND Jul24 May27 May08 Apr08 Mar05 (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 7% 13.70    
11  FORESTWOOD LANE Jul17 Jun30 Apr22 Apr03 Mar13 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
 
SAR-5   09/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLQUIST Aug10 Jul08 Jun18 May21 Apr08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May13 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 12.00    
3  HUDSON OVERPASS Jul09 Jun12       (grossman bru)SAMUEL L 121 30.00    
4  ME 'N SAP Aug13 Jul23 Jul14 Jun16 Feb26 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 ★    
5  STORM SHOOTER Jul28 May27 May21 May05 Mar13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 8% 12.30    
6  SHERIFF BIANCO Jul17 Jul09 May21     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
7  GIRAMONTE Aug13 Jul09 Jun18 May27   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
8  ATHENRY Jul17 Jun17 Apr24     (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
SAR-6   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RENEGADE REBEL Aug07         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BINSKY Jul21         (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
2  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA Aug14 Jul24       (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
3  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jul31         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  PURE PAULINE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  STUNNINGLY Jul04         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISINTENTION Jul31         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
7  VAHVA Jul24         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
8  MY BETSY Jul31         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   09/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELENAIA (IRE)         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
1A  PALLOTTA SISTERS Aug04         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 ★    
2  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) Jul31         (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 11% 7.70    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Aug14         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 ★    
3  LA MAZEL Aug07         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
4  FREE LOOK Jul31         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  KEEP LEFT         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
6  THIRTY THOU KELVIN Jul14         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
7  PROUVER         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
8  SUMMERTIME FUN         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
9  AVANT         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
10  WRITTENINTHESTARS         (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB         (pugh d)USKE S 119 30.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD         (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  GIFTED Aug07         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 Feb24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  MYSTIC EYES Jul15 May14       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun19 May07 Mar27 Feb25   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
4  BOSTON POST ROAD Aug04 Jun11 May08     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 17% 4.70    
5  HALO CITY Aug14 Jun23 May27 May06 Mar31 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
6  PALM COTTAGE Jul15         (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  DEALING JUSTICE Aug07 May20 Apr22 Mar04 Feb04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★    
8  MOVIE MOXY Aug03 Jul20       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 5% 18.20    
 
SAR-9   09/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Jul21 May01 Apr07     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00    
1A  CATCH THAT PARTY Jul23 Jul01 Mar13 Mar04 Jan30 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  BARREL OF QUESTS Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 May13 Apr24 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
3  EDDIE THE GREAT Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 Mar31 Feb27 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
4  TIMBUKTU Aug10 Jun24 Apr30     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
5  FRANK'S ART Aug10 Jul09       (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 21% 3.90    
6  LORD FLINTSHIRE Jul23 Jun24 May28 Apr30   (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 18.60    
7  MIGHTY MEISTER Jul23 May12 Apr22 Mar13 Feb16 (rawles alc)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 30.00    
8  TOP ENVOY Aug11         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (breed ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 50.00    
10  CITIZEN K Jul16 May21 Apr28     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
11  BEACH PASS Aug15 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22   (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 50.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Aug27 Jul28 Jul04 May05 Apr16 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 ★    
 
SAR-10   09/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MAMA MIA Aug12 Jul17       (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
2  SUCCULENT Aug11 Jul16 Jun25 Apr14 Mar20 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★    
3  LA VICTORIA (FR) Aug11         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  CAPE COD CAUSEWAY Jul16 May12 Apr10 Jan06   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 28% 2.50    
5  CAN'T FOOL ME Aug11 Apr24 Apr10 Feb05   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
6  JOCOSITY Aug11 Jul16       (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul16 Jun04 Apr10     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
8  LEM ME DRINK Aug11 Jun25       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
9  LET UR LIGHT SHINE         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
 
SAR-11   09/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALING Jul24         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 10% 9.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PROUD INDIAN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  MISS GEORGIE Aug20         (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 120 30.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of LOGAN SQUARE by VICAR)
3  APPLE PICKER Aug07 Jul02       (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  NAUGHTY GAL Aug07 Jul04 Jun10     (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONWAY TWO STEP by SPANISH STEPS)
5  JUST CINDY Jul14 Jun17       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  LEAVE NO TRACE Jul20         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
7  SABRA TUFF Aug07 Jul04 Jun08     (stewart dalla)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
8  AUNT SHIRLEY Aug05         (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of AMBROSIA by FLAT OUT)
9  WONDER WHEEL Jul04 Jun03       (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WONDER GAL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
10  AMERICAN ROCKETTE Jul21         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SAR-12   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH STREET Jul23         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 ★    
1A  JET SET JULIET Aug05 Jun25 May27     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.00 63% 0.60    
2  CAIAROSSA Aug05         (bond harold )HARKIE K 121 20.00    
3  MOULY Jun30 Jun10 May22     (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 8% 11.00    
4  LEMME GET IT Jun17         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
5  CARLANN Jul17         (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 121 30.00    
6  QUIET TYPE Aug12 Jun16 May21 Apr24 Mar25 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
7  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Aug03 Jul04 Apr22 Mar25 Mar06 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
8  GLOCCA MORRA Jul31 Jun25       (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
9  DARN THAT SONG Aug03 Jun25 May07 Apr14 Mar20 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 ★    
10  ROZ Aug05 Jul17 Jul01 May08 Apr21 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.