The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022

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PID-1   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:251 :503 1:152 1:272   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACRELLETTA 6 3 3 21 2½ 1nk 11 (rojas e)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 23% 3.40 2.60 W
FLOAT AWAY 4 1 12 11 1½ 2nk 21 (bourke john)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.70 P
TOOSWEETFORME 3 2 22 32 32 331 (wismer s)WALKER M 119 8.00 27.60  
DAKOTA DANCER 5 5 5 6 43 44(ferraro anthony)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 23% 3.30 2.80  
ICY RAIN 1 4 44 5 5 556 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 2.80  
JACQUELINE ANNE 2 6 6 42 67 611 617¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 10.00 46.40  
 
PID-2   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
:232 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEBASI 2 4 5 56   51½ (hogue l)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 4.30  
EAGLES PALACE 3 1 1½ 13   13 2½ (dodge albert)WALKER M 124 3.00 40% 1.50 2.30 P
NO DRAMA 4 5 32 33   23 3½ (rogers michael)AYALA J 122 3.50 16% 5.30 3.40 S
JACKSON STRONG 1 3 4 4   33 43 (figueroa nelson)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 9.50 1.10  
TITHED 5 2 2½ 23   45 5(russell randall)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 31.70  
SCR  CAPTAIN D               (sipp k)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
SCR  MUTASHABEH               (sipp k)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
PID-3   08/15/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:244 :491 1:131 1:371   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEMAQUID PETE 5 3 1 12 11 11 1¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 32% 2.10 7.70 W
A COTSWOLD VILLAGE 2 1 2 22 21 21 2¾ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 38% 1.60 0.50 P
CUZ 1 2 34 43 4 32 3(guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 5.00 8.20 S
ENGLISH CHALLENGE 3 5 6 6 54 43 4(estvanko richard)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 8.40  
WILE E PEYOTE 4 4 44 33 32 53 5(bernardini p)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 6.30  
GUACO 7 7 5 5 65 66(bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 6.00 12.60  
BEACH PASS 6 6 7 7 78 710½ 711 (torelli stacy)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 25.90  
 
PID-4   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
:221 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECEITFUL ANTHONY 2 6 34 3   21 1(pappada c)WALKER M 122 12.00 8.30  
MAKES GOOD SENSE 4 3 1 1   11 2(roman d)AYALA J 122 3.50 8% 12.10 2.20 P
MORETHANSOULTITLE 5 7 7 77   63(girten tim)SPIETH S 122 8.00 8.50 S
BIG CHICKEN MAN 1 2 2 2   34 47 (russell randall)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 10.80  
DORISTO 7 5 6 5   46 5(pappada c)STANLEY O 124 5.00 2.70  
RUMPOLE 3 4 4 65   5610¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN M 122 4.50 12% 7.40 2.90  
TOTAL DISTRACTION 6 1 5 4   77 711¾ (rotunno r)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 10.90  
SCR  K'S LITTLE BILL               (martin n)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  PERCENTAGE               (estvanko richard)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
 
PID-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:222 :452 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. STEVE 5 7 65 5   2½ 1(beattie m)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 5% 19.00 1.50 W
SHOOT YOUR CUFFS 4 3 5 4   32(bourke john)STANLEY O 122 5.00 7.60 P
CONCRETE GLORY 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 3(brooks e)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 68% 0.50 1.00 S
PURE SPRING 8 2 43 32   54(boyer jr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 29.80  
LEONARD'S LEGACY 3 8 811 67   65(russell randall)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 10.30  
RUNAWAY STAR 2 5 1nk 1nk   4611 (weaver cassondra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 36.10  
FIGHTIN PHIL 1 6 78 78   7711 (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 122 20.00 52.70  
FOLTYNEWICZ 6 4 3 810   818½ 825¼ (radosevich r)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 25.50  
 
PID-6   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:222 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S DANCING 4 4 33 2   213 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 17.10  
CARAMEL MARTINI 6 2 2 3   323 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 25% 3.00 1.40 P
PROPOSITION 1 3 1 1   13(girten tim)ALLEN D 122 4.50 22% 3.50 3.00 S
SPANISH DELIGHT 7 7 7 4   445 (skawinski a)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 5.00  
AMERICAN GODDESS 3 6 4 5   556 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 27% 2.70 2.90  
CLASSY HALO 2 5 6 6   66(schneider kim)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 24.80  
MA DE TAW 5 1 56 7   78 79 (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 4.50 23.60  
 
PID-7   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:221 :443 :561     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOO BOO KITTY 4 1 1 11   12 1(rice kevin)AYALA J 112 15.00 13.60  
CLUB CAR 7 7 6 4   22 2(colebrook ben)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 1.80 36% 1.80 1.40 P
MAGGIE'S BID 1 8 8 5   43 3(beattie m)MORALES PABLO 117 10.00 7.30 S
DYNASTY OF HER OWN 3 6 53 6   64(beattie m)GALLARDO A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
CASHABLE 2 5 4 21   32 5(cox h)DE CRUZ 117 2.50 20% 3.90 2.40  
TACTICAL PAJAMAS 6 4 3 31   565 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 5.00 6.60  
CAN'T BUY LOVE 8 2 7 8   7711 (trombetta j)MARTINEZ W 121 6.00 17% 4.70 19.10  
MAKESCENTSTOUS 5 3 2 7   811¾ 817½ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 12.00 25.70  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)WHISMAN AVERY 112 20.00    
 
PID-8   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
:223 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 4 1 5 5   4¼ 1nk (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 12% 7.70 2.80 W
EXTRA MEDIUM 2 7 82 8   61 2nk (rogers michael)AYALA J 122 3.50 25% 3.00 3.00 P
WATCH THE DIP 1 6 6 4   3.2 3½ (pappada c)WALKER M 122 6.00 19.00  
LEAVEITALONELARRY 6 9 93 7   72 4(hayes w)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 75.20  
BRET'S AT CADDIES 5 4 2nk 1½   1nk 5(bernardini p)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 8.70  
I BELONG TO BECKY 8 3 4¼ 2½   5¾ 6(martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 25% 3.10 2.50  
ANOTHER SOFTBALL 7 8 72 9   84 7(fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 59.10  
GOLDEN EMPEROR 3 2 1nk 3½   2nk 84 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 12.00 8% 11.60 28.90  
10  SMOOTH PAPA 10 5 3.2 6   95 97 (jimenez a)STANLEY O 122 10.00 5.00  
CANDY MY BOY 9 10 106 10   1015 1016 (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 12.00 7% 12.40 27.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.