Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY RAIN May31 Apr09 Mar16 Feb23   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 ★    
2  JACQUELINE ANNE Jul28 Jul13 Jul05     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 10.00 ★    
3  TOOSWEETFORME Jul11 Jun23 May30     (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 8.00    
4  FLOAT AWAY Jul20 Jun30       (bourke w)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  DAKOTA DANCER Jul12 Jan15       (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  MACRELLETTA Jul28 Jul11 Jun13 May28 Apr06 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
PID-2   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON STRONG Jul28 Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 May18 (figueroa nels)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 9.50    
SCR  CAPTAIN D Jul27 Jul06 Jun26 Jun08 May22 (sipp k)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
3  LEBASI Jul14 Jul07       (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
4  EAGLES PALACE Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 Jan04 (dodge albert)WALKER M 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MUTASHABEH Jul28 Jun26 Jun19 Jun02 May22 (sipp k)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
6  NO DRAMA Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 Jun01 May17 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
7  TITHED Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Apr03 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
 
PID-3   08/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUZ Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May24 (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 5.00 ★    
2  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE Jul18 Jul04 Jun16 Jun01   (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Jul18 Jun27 May31 May15 Apr21 (estvanko)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
4  WILE E PEYOTE Jul10 May16 Feb19 Jan29 Jan07 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 ★    
5  PEMAQUID PETE Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 Jun16 May30 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  BEACH PASS Jul21 Jul06 Jun22     (torelli stac)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
7  GUACO Jul21 Jul04 Jun27 Jun15 May30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CHICKEN MAN Aug01 Jul19 Jun28     (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
2  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Jul14 Jun12 May01 Mar19 Feb22 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
3  RUMPOLE Jul19 Mar23 Feb23 Jan19   (bowersock maria)ALLEN M 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  MAKES GOOD SENSE Aug01 Jul05 Jun27 Jun16 Jun07 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 3.50 8% 12.10    
SCR  K'S LITTLE BILL Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun16   (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  PERCENTAGE Jul19 Jun02 May11 Apr29 Mar10 (estvanko)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
7  MORETHANSOULTITLE Jul25 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May23 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 8.00 ★    
8  TOTAL DISTRACTION Jul27 Jun13 Jun06 May23   (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
9  DORISTO Jul28 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May30 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 124 5.00 ★    
 
PID-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTIN PHIL Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Jun08 May25 (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
2  RUNAWAY STAR Jul21 Jun29 May31 May18   (weaver casson)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00    
3  LEONARD'S LEGACY Jul21 Jul13 Jun22     (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 ★    
4  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 Jun08 Jun01 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 5.00 ★    
5  DR. STEVE         (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  FOLTYNEWICZ Jul21 Jun29       (radosevich shelly)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 ★    
7  CONCRETE GLORY Jun03 May25 May07 Apr24 Apr09 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 68% 0.50    
8  PURE SPRING Aug02 Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (boyer j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
 
PID-6   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPOSITION Jul25 Jul04 Jun02     (girten tim)ALLEN D 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  CLASSY HALO Aug03 Jul25 Jun16 Jun06   (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
3  AMERICAN GODDESS Jul13 Jun30 Jun06 May24 Apr16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  SHE'S DANCING Jun09 May20 Apr28 Mar22 Feb12 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
5  MA DE TAW Jul17 Jun25 Jun19 May23   (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 4.50 ★    
6  CARAMEL MARTINI Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 Apr28   (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  SPANISH DELIGHT Aug03 Jul01 Jun19 May20 Apr10 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
 
PID-7   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE'S BID Jul18 Jun21 May31 Apr07 Mar18 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 117 10.00 ★    
2  CASHABLE Jul13 Jun23 May12     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 117 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  FRACING NASTY Jun02 May21 Apr02 Feb18   (reed r)WHISMAN AVERY 112 20.00    
4  DYNASTY OF HER OWN Jul24 Jun04 Apr30 Mar13 Feb26 (beattie )GALLARDO A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOO BOO KITTY Aug02 Jul12 Jun30 May30 May16 (rice kevin)AYALA J 112 15.00    
6  MAKESCENTSTOUS Jun25 Mar21       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 12.00    
7  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 May17 Apr16 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 5.00    
8  CLUB CAR Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19   (colebrook ben)NO RIDER 117 1.80 36% 1.80    
9  CAN'T BUY LOVE Jul03 Jun05 Apr16 Feb10 Jan12 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 121 6.00 17% 4.70    
 
PID-8   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH THE DIP Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 Feb21   (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00    
2  EXTRA MEDIUM Jul14 Jun18 Jun04 May20 May06 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  GOLDEN EMPEROR Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 Jun14   (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 12.00 8% 11.60    
4  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Jul21 Jul11 Jun28     (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
5  BRET'S AT CADDIES Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May30 Jan26 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
6  LEAVEITALONELARRY Jul11 Jun22       (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
7  ANOTHER SOFTBALL Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 May31 (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
8  I BELONG TO BECKY Jul21 Jun22       (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
9  CANDY MY BOY Jul14 Jun28 Jun14 May30 Apr22 (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 12.00 7% 12.40    
10  SMOOTH PAPA Jul27 Jul18 Jun16 May28 May19 (jimenez )GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.