Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP SCROLLING 1 6 1nk 1nk   11½ 1¾ (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 5.00 4.40  
2  OLD FORTY FIVE 2 7 41½ 41½   21½ 2¾ (rice adam)WALKER M 118 6.00 ★ 5.10 P
4  GOODTIME ARTIE 4 1 51¾ 51¾   42½ 32¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 3.50 20% 3.90 3.90 S
3  SHAENA BUE 3 4 2nk 2nk   32 44¾ (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 12.00 5% 18.40 58.10  
7  MULETRAIN 7 5 72¾ 62¾   53½ 55 (connelly teresa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 42.80  
6  KOOSMAN 6 2 61¾ 72¾   74½ 65¼ (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 9% 10.50 0.90  
5  NATHANIEL'S HOPE 5 3 3½ 31   63½ 76¾ (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 118 2.50 37% 1.70 7.70  
 
PID-2   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATLANTIC SUN (GB) 1 3 31½ 42   42½ 1½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 121 1.60 64% 0.60 1.40 W
2  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 2 4 43½ 3½   2nk 2½ (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 5.00 ★ 0.80 P
6  CLAW 4 2 21½ 2nk   1nk 3½ (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 6.40  
3  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 3 1 11½ 1nk   3½ 42 (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00 ★ 6.70  
SCR  FOX ROX               (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  WINGING WAYS               (brooks e)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 ★    
 
PID-3   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:222 :454 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEW WAYS TO DREAM 2 5 42½ 32   2nk 12½ (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 29% 2.40 4.40 W
1  BOO BOO KITTY 1 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 22½ (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 3.00 ★ 2.20 P
6  SWEET AS SUGAR 6 4 31 2nk   31½ 35¼ (englehart jer)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 13% 6.60 1.20 S
4  SHOSHANAH 4 3 65 54   45 45¾ (horlacher kyle)MILLER CHASE 118 12.00 57.90  
3  ONE MORE KELLY 3 8 87½ 87¼   78¾ 510¼ (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 4.50 10% 9.20 6.70  
7  WILLING 7 6 53 64¼   67¾ 612¼ (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 15.30  
5  STORMY STELLA 5 1 2½ 42½   57½ 713 (brooks)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 10.00 22% 3.60 27.00  
8  UP IN ARMS 8 7 76 75¼   89¾ 814¼ (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 118 6.00 25.60  
 
PID-4   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RIO ABAJO 2 2 22½ 21½   12 1½ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 121 2.00 30% 2.40 1.70 W
3  GUACO 3 6 44 53   32½ 2½ (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.50 ★ 2.30 P
5  NOTACATBUTACARD 5 4 54¼ 63½   53½ 31¼ (hoffman )GALLARDO A 121 6.00 12.80  
1  STEVIS MAN 1 5 64¼ 42½   22 42½ (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 121 1.80 27% 2.60 1.70  
4  FUEL THE BERN 4 1 34 32½   43½ 55 (rogers michael)SPIETH S 121 8.00 12% 7.30 11.00  
6  MORETHANSOULTITLE 6 3 12½ 11½   66 613 (brooks gerald )MILLER CHASE 121 12.00 ★ 30.50  
 
PID-5   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :462 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BACKDOORPARTY 4 5 46½ 43½   21 1¼ (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 5.90  
8  TRIPLE R RATED 8 1 12½ 12   11 2¼ (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 113 3.00 21% 3.70 6.10 P
9  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 9 2 35 33   33½ 31¾ (rice kevin)WALKER M 118 2.50 34% 2.00 2.40 S
3  KEYSTONE HANK 3 9 77¾ 75½   45 42 (morrell )GALLARDO A 118 8.00 7% 14.20 2.50  
5  HE'S A MESS 5 4 56½ 54½   55½ 52½ (miller d)FOX CHRIS 124 12.00 8% 12.00 32.10  
1  T REX 1 8 910¾ 86½   65½ 65 (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 26.70  
7  HOFBURG PALACE 7 6 88¼ 96½   77½ 75½ (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00 4.30  
2  DOWNTOTHEHONKYTONK 2 7 67½ 65   810½ 813¾ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 4.00 20.00  
6  UNCLE REMI 6 3 22½ 22   912½ 921¾ (smith lawren)AYALA J 118 12.00 8% 12.00 18.30  
 
PID-6   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:233 :463 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETANGLER 1 1 11 13   14½ 18½ (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 3.40  
8  BOOMIN GOOSE 6 5 52¼ 43¼   24½ 28½ (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 121 3.50 9% 10.00 2.10 P
2  CORAL LEGACY 2 3 32 23   35½ 311¾ (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 121 12.00 23.90  
3  HOLY TRUTH 3 4 42 54¾   46½ 411¾ (martin willi)ALENCAR WALBER 121 6.00 5.60  
7  DIALED UP 5 6 64¾ 66¼   57 512¾ (sipp k)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 18.40 17.30  
6  NO WAY NEVER (IRE) 4 2 21 33   69½ 622¾ (rotunno sydne)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 21% 3.70 1.30  
SCR  CHECOTAH               (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 116 5.00 ★    
SCR  SPICY SHOT               (dickey keith)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
PID-7   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE SINNER IS YOU 3 6 65¾ 61¾   1nk 12¾ (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 121 10.00 6% 16.30 29.40 W
2  NICE ACE 2 4 21 2nk   2nk 22¾ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 37% 1.70 0.30 P
4  FRANZ JOSEF 4 5 43½ 31   31½ 33¼ (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 14.80  
7  HARD COUNT 7 2 55½ 51¾   52½ 45¾ (hoffman )GALLARDO A 121 2.00 ★ 5.70  
6  HEATHER'S GOLD 6 1 33½ 41½   64½ 59½ (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 6.00 17% 4.80 10.20  
1  FORWARD MOTION 1 3 11 1nk   42 69¾ (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 121 12.00 11% 8.30 10.30  
5  TEMPUS 5 7 79¼ 74¼   75 79¾ (dickey keith)SPIETH S 121 6.00 20.30  
 
PID-8   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHEROKEE CHATTER 2 4 31½ 31   2nk 11½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 35% 1.90 0.80 W
9  TONIGHT MAYBE 8 9 89 75   42¼ 21½ (girten tim)SPIETH S 121 6.00 ★ 17.90 P
3  MIDNIGHT FROST 3 6 54½ 53   52¼ 31½ (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 121 15.00 ★ 17.00 S
5  TIDAL WATERS 5 7 2½ 2nk   1nk 41¾ (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.50 29% 2.50 2.50  
10  SIDE ACTION 9 2 77 85¼   63¼ 54½ (morrell justi)WALKER M 121 6.00 17.00  
1  BELL THE CAT 1 5 64½ 64   73¾ 68¾ (smith lawren)AYALA J 121 15.00 27.70  
8  COUPLE OF NIKKIS 7 1 42 42½   84¼ 79 (wilson b)KNOTT L 121 20.00 90.20  
4  RUNAWAY PHYLLIS 4 3 1½ 1nk   32 89¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00 5.20  
7  TAILADIOS 6 8 99½ 99¾   910¾ 916 (sipp k)DELGADO DAVID 121 20.00 69.90  
SCR  T. WALTZ               (brooks e)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.