Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP SCROLLING Apr01 Mar03 Feb12 Jan22   (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 5.00    
2  OLD FORTY FIVE Apr08 Feb25 Jan17     (rice adam)WALKER M 118 6.00 ★    
3  SHAENA BUE         (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 12.00 5% 18.40    
4  GOODTIME ARTIE         (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Apr16 Mar27 Feb19 Jan27   (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  KOOSMAN Apr01 Mar09 Feb19 Jan28   (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 9% 10.50    
7  MULETRAIN Apr28 Apr07 Mar11 Feb23 Feb04 (connelly teresa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
 
PID-2   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATLANTIC SUN (GB)         (pappada micha)WALKER M 121 1.60 64% 0.60    
2  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT May07 Apr10 Mar10 Jan14   (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 5.00 ★    
3  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Feb18         (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  FOX ROX Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 Jan23   (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  WINGING WAYS May08 Apr16 Apr02 Mar25 Feb26 (brooks e)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 ★    
6  CLAW         (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
 
PID-3   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOO BOO KITTY         (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 3.00 ★    
2  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Apr15 Mar09 Feb19     (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  ONE MORE KELLY         (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 4.50 10% 9.20    
4  SHOSHANAH         (horlacher kyle)MILLER CHASE 118 12.00    
5  STORMY STELLA Mar10 Feb27 Feb06 Jan26 Jan05 (brooks)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  SWEET AS SUGAR         (englehart jer)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
7  WILLING Mar09         (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
8  UP IN ARMS Jan09         (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
 
PID-4   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEVIS MAN         (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 121 1.80 27% 2.60    
2  RIO ABAJO         (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
3  GUACO Apr03         (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.50 ★    
4  FUEL THE BERN Jan28 Jan12       (rogers michael)SPIETH S 121 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  NOTACATBUTACARD Jan08         (hoffman )GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
6  MORETHANSOULTITLE Apr16 Apr02 Mar25 Jan09   (brooks gerald )MILLER CHASE 121 12.00 ★    
 
PID-5   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T REX         (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
2  DOWNTOTHEHONKYTONK         (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 4.00    
3  KEYSTONE HANK         (morrell )GALLARDO A 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
4  BACKDOORPARTY         (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
5  HE'S A MESS         (miller d)FOX CHRIS 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
6  UNCLE REMI         (smith lawren)AYALA J 118 12.00 8% 12.00    
7  HOFBURG PALACE Apr10         (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00    
8  TRIPLE R RATED         (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 113 3.00 21% 3.70    
9  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY         (rice kevin)WALKER M 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
PID-6   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETANGLER         (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
2  CORAL LEGACY May07         (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 121 12.00    
3  HOLY TRUTH         (martin willi)ALENCAR WALBER 121 6.00    
SCR  SPICY SHOT         (dickey keith)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  CHECOTAH May01 Apr02 Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 116 5.00 ★    
6  NO WAY NEVER (IRE)         (rotunno sydne)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
7  DIALED UP May02         (sipp k)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 18.40    
8  BOOMIN GOOSE         (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 121 3.50 9% 10.00    
 
PID-7   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORWARD MOTION Apr29 Apr01       (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 121 12.00 11% 8.30    
2  NICE ACE Apr07         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  THE SINNER IS YOU         (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 121 10.00 6% 16.30    
4  FRANZ JOSEF         (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00    
5  TEMPUS         (dickey keith)SPIETH S 121 6.00    
6  HEATHER'S GOLD         (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  HARD COUNT Mar30 Feb19 Jan23     (hoffman )GALLARDO A 121 2.00 ★    
 
PID-8   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELL THE CAT         (smith lawren)AYALA J 121 15.00    
2  CHEROKEE CHATTER Apr23 Mar24 Jan30 Jan07   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  MIDNIGHT FROST May03         (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 121 15.00 ★    
4  RUNAWAY PHYLLIS         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00    
5  TIDAL WATERS Feb26 Jan30 Jan01     (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  T. WALTZ Mar18 Mar06 Jan30 Jan07   (brooks e)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
7  TAILADIOS         (sipp k)LEON A 121 20.00    
8  COUPLE OF NIKKIS         (wilson b)KNOTT L 121 20.00    
9  TONIGHT MAYBE Mar24 Mar06       (girten tim)SPIETH S 121 6.00 ★    
10  SIDE ACTION         (morrell justi)WALKER M 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.