Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EMERALD CITADELLE 6 3 14½ 12½   12½ 1nk (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 3.50 14% 6.00 5.70 W
3  YES IT'S ERIE 3 2 56 53¾   32½ 2nk (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 3.00 29% 2.40 4.70 P
1  THISAINTJUMPSTREET 1 4 45 43½   53¼ 31½ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 28% 2.50 0.80 S
4  ULTIMATE BARONESS 4 1 24½ 32½   43 41¾ (hogue l)ALLEN D 124 6.00 ★ 12.50  
5  COZAR'S QUEEN 5 5 35 22½   22½ 53¾ (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 124 4.00 ★ 3.60  
2  THE TWO NANCY'S 2 6 68½ 65¾   66¾ 66¾ (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 8.00 14.30  
 
PID-2   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEAVENLY PRAISE 5 1 42 31   1½ 17 (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 1.80 33% 2.00 0.70 W
1  ALATION 1 5 54 53¼   42½ 27 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 ★ 21.40 P
2  RAINAS ROLLIN 2 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 38½ (rogers ronal)AYALA J 120 6.00 19.70  
4  HIDDEN MEDAL 3 4 2½ 2nk   31 49 (stokes lance)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50 13% 6.50 1.30  
5  TUDOX I DON'T BRAG 4 2 31 41¼   53 59 (potts g)ALLEN D 120 4.00 ★ 8.40  
SCR  MORE RANSOM               (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
PID-3   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:233 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKENSTEIN 1 3 11 1nk   1½ 1hd (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 3.00 ★ 1.60  
5  DEL GRIFFITH 3 1 21 2nk   2½ 2hd (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 2.10  
6  STRANGE ARRANGE 4 2 33 31½   32 31 (figueroa nelson)STANLEY O 120 3.50 30% 2.30 2.20 S
3  CALL ME LATER 2 4 45½ 44   45 43¾ (grace john)KNOTT L 122 5.00 27% 2.70 3.80  
SCR  BACKDOORPARTY               (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS               (smith lawren)AYALA J 118 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
PID-4   07/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:214 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RUN LAUGHING 9 6 53 41½   31 12 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 41% 1.40 2.80 W
8  GUCCI GAL 8 1 32 31   1½ 22 (judd cassand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 16.30  
7  SQUAD UP 7 8 86¼ 84¼   72¼ 32½ (potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 9% 10.10 4.50 S
4  WATERLOO SUNSET 4 5 64 73¼   42 42¾ (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 12.10  
3  ROYAL GOLD DIGGER 3 4 42½ 52   62¼ 52¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
2  BELLE'S KINGDOM 2 9 96¼ 96¼   94¾ 63½ (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 1.90  
6  MATCHA 6 7 74¼ 63   82¾ 74¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 6% 14.60 14.40  
1  BAD PAY 1 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 86¼ (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 17.60  
5  WINNING TOUGH 5 2 1nk 1nk   52 99½ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 5.00 14% 6.40 8.20  
 
PID-5   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LINGUISTIC 5 5 2nk 1½   13 17¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.00 ★ 1.60  
7  SHE'S REDNECKER 7 2 3½ 31   23 27¼ (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70 P
4  WILD IRISH 4 6 51¾ 42   35 38¾ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 14% 6.00 6.30 S
3  SWEET AMY 3 8 73¼ 62½   55¼ 412 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 19.60  
8  OCEAN SIZE 8 1 62¼ 2½   45 512 (markgraf davi)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00 17% 5.00 7.00  
1  FLOAT AWAY 1 3 41½ 52½   65¼ 613¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 12.00 29.70  
6  OSTARA 6 7 811¼ 810   713¾ 723¼ (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00 19.90  
2  BABY WONDERS 2 4 1nk 75   826¼ 849 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 10% 9.20 4.70  
 
PID-6   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:23 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE 4 2 22 21½   2½ 11¼ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 118 3.50 ★ 4.90  
5  WROTE IN STONE 3 1 12 11½   1½ 21¼ (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.00 24% 3.20 0.60 P
4  STUDYLONGSTDYWRONG 2 3 33½ 34   33 36 (rogers michael)SPIETH S 118 6.00 ★ 3.20 S
3  EL POLICIA 1 4 44½ 45½   46½ 49¾ (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 5.00 4.30  
SCR  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY               (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 118 2.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  UNCLE ROAMIE               (smith lawren)AYALA J 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-7   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING MAMBA 1 4 32½ 32½   31½ 11½ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 23% 3.40 2.70 W
7  PETIT VERDOT 7 3 21 2nk   2nk 21½ (van berg)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 1.70  
2  GINS AND TINS 2 6 54½ 63¾   42 31½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 17% 4.70 6.50 S
5  ZOOMBIE 5 5 65½ 52¾   64 42¼ (walsh d)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 8.00 3.30  
6  WHERE YOU WAS 6 2 44 42¾   53 52½ (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 6.00 ★ 28.20  
4  LIFE MISSION 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 62½ (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 27% 2.80 6.30  
3  SUMMERFEST 3 7 77 74   76 75½ (antus lawrenc)WHISMAN AVERY 122 10.00 12% 7.50 22.00  
 
PID-8   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:112 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CASTLE KING 4 2 67½ 77½ 75¼ 31 1¼ (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 30% 2.30 3.40 W
1  FIERCE WARRIOR 1 5 78½ 66½ 51¾ 2nk 2¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 6.00 3.40  
3  ATLANTIC RULER 3 4 57 54½ 63¾ 41½ 36¼ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00 10.30  
5  CHAOS KID 5 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 47¼ (guciardo john)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 19.00  
6  MARKET MOVER 6 8 43 43 31 62¼ 58 (shuman m)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 25% 2.90 1.60  
2  PREQUALIFIED 2 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 51¾ 611¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 ★ 20.40  
7  NO DRAMA 7 7 32½ 32½ 41¼ 75¼ 717½ (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.50 13% 6.60 4.20  
9  TRAFFIC THIEF 8 6 810 813 815¼ 820¼ 837¾ (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00 90.40  
SCR  MUTASHABEH               (sipp burton )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 5% 18.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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