Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Tuesday - March 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   03/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JESSE THE GREAT 5 5 53¾ 21½   1nk 12 (albright geor)INIRIO J 124 1.60 53% 0.90 2.30 W
1  JUSTKISSMYGRITS 1 1 11½ 11½   2nk 22 (stites w)WHITNEY G 120 2.00 ★ 1.90 P
2  TRIPP ROAD 2 2 43½ 45   45½ 36 (sells rach)DAVIS A 118 12.00 9% 10.60 6.00 S
3  KATY THE CAT 3 4 21½ 33   35 48¾ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 ★ 6.20  
4  PROMISE OF JOY 4 3 33½ 57   59 517 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 ★ 2.30  
 
PEN-2   03/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DISCREET SISTER 4 2 32½ 34 1½ 13½ 11 (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 23% 3.30 5.90 W
1  MAD FOR FAME 1 5 58 48½ 44½ 23½ 21 (sells rach)DAVIS A 120 6.00 ★ 5.70 P
4  PARANOIA 3 1 11 11½ 2½ 34 36¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 35% 1.90 2.40 S
3  ROYALBONNIELEGACY 2 4 48 59 56½ 511 415½ (sells rache)VARGAS L 120 12.00 ★ 15.70  
6  SHE'S DANCING 5 3 21 21½ 33½ 411 518¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 0.70  
SCR  FOLLY               (maldonado j)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
 
PEN-3   03/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 5 1 2½ 2½   1½ 14¾ (albright r)FLORES E 124 1.60 21% 3.80 1.60 W
4  MY MAN GEORGIO 4 3 32½ 3½   2½ 24¾ (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 ★ 5.50 P
2  ARTIE CHILLER 2 2 1½ 1½   3½ 36½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.50 34% 1.90 1.10 S
1  TOUCH OF PRINCE 1 4 45 47½   68¾ 416¼ (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 3.50 16% 5.30 4.70  
3  VENCIL 3 5 55 57¾   58¾ 516½ (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 30.00 5% 19.00 42.10  
6  MISTER ARANGUIZ 6 6 65½ 67¾   48½ 616½ (bobadilla f)BERRIOS C 122 30.00 76.10  
 
PEN-4   03/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NIMITZ CLASS 3 4 21½ 1nk   11 13½ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 34% 2.00 3.90 W
1  JEAN VALJEAN 1 5 53 2nk   21 23½ (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 ★ 0.40 P
4  NICE WEATHER 4 1 11½ 3.2   31½ 34½ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 2.00 38% 1.60 4.20 S
2  BOURBON MUSIC 2 3 32½ 45¼   49½ 411½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 ★ 23.90  
5  THINKIN OUT LOUD 5 2 43 57¼   510½ 511¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 ★ 14.90  
 
PEN-5   03/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:142 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SLEEPY N JOYFUL 5 2 11½ 11½ 12½ 15 13½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 33% 2.00 3.70 W
2  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 2 4 31½ 32 32½ 25 23½ (fields kevin)CORA D 120 3.50 8% 11.20 1.70 P
6  WICKED SOLUTION 6 1 21½ 21½ 22½ 38 310½ (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 21% 3.70 3.80 S
4  FLOWER'S FORTUNE 4 3 43 44 46 411 415½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 14% 6.10 7.00  
3  WICKED T 3 5 54½ 59 516 520 524 (bobadilla f)BERRIOS C 120 8.00 39.30  
1  TEACHER DRAMA 1 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (salinas jose)OTERO P 120 5.00 ★ 2.70  
 
PEN-6   03/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:134 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANNA ROCKS 4 1 12 11½ 11½ 16 17½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 29% 2.50 1.70 W
2  LADY FOX 2 7 76¼ 76¾ 59½ 49 27½ (gonzalez claudio )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 17% 4.90 3.80 P
1  KERICS BEAUTY 1 5 22 21½ 21½ 26 37¾ (chircop steven)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 10.00  
7  AMI'S LINK 7 3 54 33½ 35 38 410¼ (chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 17% 5.00 19.20  
6  PETTIGO GIRL 6 4 66 56½ 45½ 59 510½ (contessa c)ROSADO JOHAN 120 3.00 1.50  
3  WILL TAKE ROSES 3 6 44 44 611½ 719¼ 623 (wolfe jr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 7% 12.50 13.50  
5  NORTHERN CROSS 5 2 33 66½ 713½ 619 724 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 6% 14.60 37.70  
 
PEN-7   03/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKERING CIRCLE 1 1 12 12½   14½ 14¾ (crook-demasi kath)WHITNEY G 123 1.60 47% 1.10 0.80 W
5  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 5 2 32 34½   24½ 24¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 17% 4.90 6.10 P
6  SMOOZER 6 4 55¾ 47½   36 35 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 118 10.00 ★ 12.80 S
4  NOT TO BLAME 4 3 22 22½   410 419 (bobadilla f)BERRIOS C 123 4.00 ★ 5.00  
2  NEWS ITEM 2 6 45½ 511½   515½ 522 (kravets m)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 13.80  
3  COUNTRY HAM 3 5 68¾ 616½   620½ 626½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 5.00 12% 7.30 3.40  
 
PEN-8   03/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:152 1:414   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEST CAUSE 7 4 11 11½ 11½ 11 11¾ (sells rache)VARGAS L 120 2.00 1.00  
4  FAVORITE DOLL 4 1 31½ 41¾ 21½ 21 21¾ (ferreira ferna)BERRIOS C 120 3.00 20% 4.00 3.80 P
2  LOVE IS STRONG 2 7 75¼ 64¾ 53 35 37 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 115 1.80 31% 2.30 1.70 S
5  SEEKING THE THRONE 5 5 21 31½ 32 48 413¾ (fenimore elbert)LLOYD W 120 12.00 ★ 33.20  
6  ARCTICA 6 3 41½ 21½ 42½ 58½ 513¾ (flores l)FLORES E 120 15.00 53.50  
3  SHOW MAID 3 2 53 54¼ 65 710½ 615½ (valdez mois)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 16% 5.40 20.50  
1  AFRICAN SONG 1 6 65 76¼ 77 610½ 717 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 7% 13.10 20.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.