Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OSBIN 2 4 15 13   13½ 12½ (maddox a)WALKER M 124 10.00 ★ 7.00  
3  GORUN 3 6 67¾ 44½   33½ 22½ (farrior anthony)SPIETH S 120 2.00 51% 0.90 1.50 P
1  OLE G MAN 1 5 35 23   23½ 35¾ (boyer j)BECKMAN ALICE 117 3.50 12% 7.50 2.60 S
6  GERRYS MAGIC MAP 6 2 25 33½   45 47¼ (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 16% 5.40 1.90  
5  WHONEW'S TREASURE 5 3 56¾ 66   57 57¼ (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 ★ 34.60  
4  GOVERNOR ATWOOD 4 1 45¼ 54½   67¼ 611½ (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00 18.00  
 
PID-2   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KULTHUM 1 3 42 42 2nk 1½ 12½ (farrior anthony)SPIETH S 122 3.50 22% 3.50 1.20 W
6  CROSSTOWN GIRL 6 6 64 63¾ 31½ 41½ 22½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 2.50 28% 2.50 3.70 P
4  MON PARADIS 4 1 52½ 52¼ 41¾ 3½ 34¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.00 ★ 3.20 S
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS 2 4 11 11 1nk 2½ 44¼ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 5.00 ★ 5.70  
5  GOLDEN SWEETS 5 2 21 21 51¾ 54 57¼ (rice adam)WALKER M 122 6.00 7.80  
3  DOMINANT STRANGER 3 5 32 32 62¾ 64½ 68¼ (wilson b)KNOTT L 122 8.00 8% 11.40 17.60  
 
PID-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ETTAPLACE 4 4 55 52¾   42½ 1½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 10.90  
7  ONE THAT GOT AWAY 6 5 44½ 2nk   1½ 2½ (trombetta mi)ALENCAR WALBER 120 6.00 ★ 2.50 P
4  ONE MORE KELLY 3 2 33 3.2   2½ 31¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 1.20  
1  MADE TO HUSTLE 1 3 11 1nk   3½ 42¼ (rogers ro)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 ★ 2.70  
2  STRAIGHT MADNESS 2 6 66½ 41¼   54 54¾ (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 ★ 9.90  
6  RIVETRIX 5 1 21 63¼   68½ 625¼ (connelly ter)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 ★ 34.90  
SCR  ROSES FOR DEBRA               (brafford michel)STANLEY O 118 1.60 69% 0.40    
 
PID-4   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DORISTO 3 3 1nk 3½   4¾ 11½ (pappada michael)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 ★ 6.90  
1  ABE HONESTLY 1 4 41¾ 41   3½ 21½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 4.50 9% 10.00 4.90 P
7  AMERICAN CHAOS 7 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 33 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 21% 3.80 0.90 S
6  BISHI 6 7 63¾ 62¾   52¾ 43 (schneider ki)AYALA J 121 12.00 66.60  
8  EAGLES PALACE 8 1 3.2 2nk   2nk 53¼ (dodge albert)WALKER M 124 1.80 39% 1.50 3.30  
2  HOMEMADE MOONSHINE 2 8 85¼ 84¾   85 65 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 11.80  
4  KIANG 4 5 51¾ 52½   74¾ 75¾ (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 121 10.00 47.20  
5  JESSE JONES 5 6 74¼ 73¾   64¾ 86 (connelly)GALLARDO A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
 
PID-5   07/18/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:261 :514 1:162 1:401   1:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECLARED 1 2 44 42½ 42 2nk 12 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 4.50 2.90  
4  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE 4 1 12 11 1½ 1nk 22 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 31% 2.20 4.70 P
5  HEIRLOOM KITTEN 5 3 22 21 2½ 31½ 34½ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50 ★ 5.20 S
2  INDIAN GULCH 2 4 64½ 63½ 63 54 45½ (van berg)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 39% 1.60 1.10  
3  CEDUNA 3 5 32½ 32 31½ 43 57½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 9.80  
7  ENGLISH CHALLENGE 6 6 54 53½ 53 66½ 69½ (estvanko richa)ALLEN D 122 8.00 ★ 18.70  
SCR  CABERTOSS               (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 9% 10.70    
 
PID-6   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAGGIE'S BID 4 2 21½ 21   11½ 12½ (beattie todd)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 1.60 41% 1.40 0.60 W
2  STAND BY YOU 1 5 46 43   21½ 22½ (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 2.00 34% 1.90 2.90 P
4  QPIDSCARIZMATKQTEE 3 4 34½ 32   31½ 35 (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 ★ 2.70 S
3  QUALITY TOO SPARE 2 3 58 55½   52¾ 46 (ferraro anthony)SPIETH S 122 10.00 ★ 30.60  
6  PLATINUM GEM 5 1 11½ 11   42½ 511¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00 ★ 19.00  
SCR  SHEISTHEHERO               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:084     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA 5 6 42¾ 31½   11½ 13¾ (brafford mic)ALENCAR WALBER 117 4.00 ★ 4.20  
7  YOU LOOK COLD 7 1 32½ 41½   21½ 23¾ (o'connor rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 9% 10.80 1.70 P
9  NEW HIRE 8 7 54¼ 62¾   43 36½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.80 10.60 S
2  MYSTIC TWIST 2 4 1nk 1½   33 412 (gorham m)MARTINEZ W 117 6.00 11.60  
1  TRIPLE R RATED 1 3 64¾ 52½   64¼ 512½ (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 10.10  
3  SHOSHANAH 3 5 2nk 2½   54 612¾ (horlacher kyl)WHISMAN AVERY 117 12.00 41.90  
4  NAIL POLISH 4 8 812¼ 810¼   77¾ 715½ (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 7% 13.60 19.30  
6  BAZINGA C 6 2 77¼ 77¾   813¼ 826½ (kreiser timot)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.00  
SCR  ONE MORE KELLY               (girten tim)SPIETH S 117 12.00    
 
PID-8   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:122 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PATSY'S BIG GIRL 4 6 54½ 35 31 1nk 12 (pappada micha)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 39% 1.60 2.40 W
7  SASSY MISS MARGIE 7 1 65½ 68 64 51¾ 22 (fennessy john)WALKER M 124 3.50 8% 12.30 3.50 P
5  RED LINGERIE 5 2 12 13 11 2nk 32½ (martin w)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 ★ 5.10 S
9  KEYPIT 9 8 22 23 21 41½ 43½ (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 7.70  
2  YO YO MON 2 5 44 46 42 31 54¾ (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 119 3.00 2.80  
3  MOANA'S TALE 3 3 33½ 56½ 53½ 62¾ 66¼ (dodge albert)STANLEY O 124 6.00 23% 3.40 12.20  
1  HOXIE 1 4 75½ 78 75 73¼ 78¼ (schaber debb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 40.00 DH
6  LACEE 6 7 86 88¼ 86 85¼ 78¼ (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 15.00 32.50 DH
8  ANIMAUXSELLE 8 9 97 99¼ 96½ 99¼ 917¼ (judd cassandra)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00 5% 18.10 34.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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