Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLE G MAN Jul06 Jun27       (boyer j)BECKMAN ALICE 117 3.50 12% 7.50    
2  OSBIN May02         (maddox a)WALKER M 124 10.00 ★    
3  GORUN Jun24 May21 May04 Apr08 Mar10 (farrior anthony)SPIETH S 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
4  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Jun29 Jun15       (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
5  WHONEW'S TREASURE Feb25         (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 ★    
6  GERRYS MAGIC MAP Jun29         (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
PID-2   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KULTHUM Jun06 Mar26 Jan29     (farrior anthony)SPIETH S 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jun27 May25 Apr22 Apr08 Feb11 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 5.00 ★    
3  DOMINANT STRANGER Jul04 Jun27 Jun16 Jun09 May18 (wilson b)KNOTT L 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
4  MON PARADIS Jun27 May31 May04 Mar26   (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.00 ★    
5  GOLDEN SWEETS Jul05 Jun16 May31 Apr13 Apr02 (rice adam)WALKER M 122 6.00    
6  CROSSTOWN GIRL Jun28 Jun05 May12 Feb10 Jan02 (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
PID-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADE TO HUSTLE Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 May18 Jan14 (rogers ro)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
2  STRAIGHT MADNESS Jun28 Jun07 May17     (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  ROSES FOR DEBRA Jun09 May23       (brafford michel)STANLEY O 118 1.60 69% 0.40    
4  ONE MORE KELLY Jun29 Jun13 May30 May16   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50    
5  ETTAPLACE Jun28 Jun07 May23     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
6  RIVETRIX Jun28 Jun07 May31 Apr21 Apr07 (connelly ter)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 ★    
7  ONE THAT GOT AWAY Jun30 Jun02 May02     (trombetta mi)ALENCAR WALBER 120 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABE HONESTLY May30 Mar02 Jan23     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 4.50 9% 10.00    
2  HOMEMADE MOONSHINE Jun28 Jun20 Jun07 May30 May17 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 121 8.00    
3  DORISTO Jul04 Jun20 May30 Feb01 Jan04 (pappada michael)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 ★    
4  KIANG Jul12 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 May23 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 121 10.00    
5  JESSE JONES Jun21 Jun05 May22 Apr18   (connelly)GALLARDO A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BISHI Jun29 Jun02       (schneider ki)AYALA J 121 12.00    
7  AMERICAN CHAOS Jun20 May28 Apr08 Jan28 Jan15 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  EAGLES PALACE Jun27 Jun13 Jan04     (dodge albert)WALKER M 124 1.80 39% 1.50    
 
PID-5   07/18/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECLARED Jul04 Jun20 Jun14 Jun01 May17 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 4.50    
2  INDIAN GULCH Jun29 Jun08 May08 Apr24 Mar17 (van berg)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  CEDUNA Jun15 Jun02 May23 Mar17 Feb18 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
4  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE Jul04 Jun16 Jun01     (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Jun27 Jun08 Mar17 Feb18 Jan08 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  CABERTOSS Jun30 May27 Feb03 Jan08   (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 9% 10.70    
7  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Jun27 May31 May15 Apr21 Mar26 (estvanko richa)ALLEN D 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-6   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHEISTHEHERO Jul11 Jul03 Jun16 Jun06 May08 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 12.00    
2  STAND BY YOU Jul02 May20 Apr13 Mar18   (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  QUALITY TOO SPARE Jul12 Jun09 May24 Apr06 Mar19 (ferraro anthony)SPIETH S 122 10.00 ★    
4  QPIDSCARIZMATKQTEE Jun09 May10 Jan23     (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 ★    
5  MAGGIE'S BID Jun21 May31 Apr07 Mar18 Feb12 (beattie todd)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
6  PLATINUM GEM Jun06 May17 Apr16 Jan15   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00 ★    
 
PID-7   07/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE R RATED Jun28 May30 May16     (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
2  MYSTIC TWIST Jun23 Jun09       (gorham m)MARTINEZ W 117 6.00    
3  SHOSHANAH Jun28 Jun02 May16     (horlacher kyl)WHISMAN AVERY 117 12.00    
4  NAIL POLISH Jun16 Jun01       (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 7% 13.60    
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA Jun09 May23       (brafford mic)ALENCAR WALBER 117 4.00 ★    
6  BAZINGA C Jun03 Apr29 Mar25 Feb18 Jan27 (kreiser timot)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  YOU LOOK COLD Jun03 May03 Mar19     (o'connor rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 9% 10.80    
SCR  ONE MORE KELLY Jun29 Jun13 May30 May16   (girten tim)SPIETH S 117 12.00    
9  NEW HIRE Jun03 Apr29 Apr06 Feb11   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
PID-8   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOXIE Jun28 Jun13 May31     (schaber debb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00    
2  YO YO MON Jun30 Jun09 Mar09 Feb02   (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 119 3.00    
3  MOANA'S TALE Jun30 Jun21       (dodge albert)STANLEY O 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  PATSY'S BIG GIRL Jun21 Jun06       (pappada micha)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  RED LINGERIE Jun30 Jun07 May18 Apr22   (martin w)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 ★    
6  LACEE Jun28 Jun21 Jun13 May31   (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 15.00    
7  SASSY MISS MARGIE Jul07 Jun23 Apr06 Mar18   (fennessy john)WALKER M 124 3.50 8% 12.30    
8  ANIMAUXSELLE Jun21 Jun06       (judd cassandra)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00 5% 18.10    
9  KEYPIT Jun21 Jun01       (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.