Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRINGTOTHEFRONT 5 1 31 1   14 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 0.70  
FIRSTSLATE 2 4 2nk 2   24 2 (melancon do)FLORES S 124 15.00 8% 11.10 9.60 P
LUCKY LINZ 1 3 5 5   5 39 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 11.60 S
BELMAR BEAUTY 4 2 4 4   4 412 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 16% 5.40 8.50  
AREYOUINABAND 3 5 1nk 3   3 514¾ (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 0.60 53% 0.90 1.80  
 
LAD-2   05/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:003     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY HAY HAY 3 5 53 5   3 11 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.00 1.40  
ON TILT 1 1 2½ 3.2   1½ 21 (turner patt)FLORES S 122 3.50 4.10 P
PAYNT YOUR WAGON 2 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (diodoro robert)BACA L 116 2.00 28% 2.50 4.20 S
DOUBLE BOGEY 6 2 4 4¼   42 4 (vincent )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 9% 10.70 13.40  
SODBUSTER 4 6 66 6   54 5 (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 13.00  
AMERICAN CHAOS 5 4 31 2nk   65 611½ (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 116 3.00 37% 1.70 2.70  
 
LAD-3   05/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:224 :46 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROP DEAD SEXY 3 1 11 12   16 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00 4.30  
1A  SHELLEY'S MONEY 2 5 4 45   26 2 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 2.00 4.40  
ROMANTIC BEAST 4 2 5 59   5 310½ (ramirez eduardo)HERNANDEZ V 122 2.50 53% 0.90 2.10 S
JOANIE GAL 1 3 21 32   37 411 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 4.40  
PROUD VICTORIA 6 4 3 22   4 511¼ (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 1.60  
EVE'S DELIGHT 5 6 66 611   611½ 614½ (goins garla)FLORES S 119 1.80 14% 6.00 6.30  
 
LAD-4   05/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:272   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY GRADY 4 1 2 11 1½ 12 1 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 1.80 1.40  
DEMURO 5 2 32 31 2½ 22 2 (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 124 1.40 26% 2.90 1.20 P
CLASSIC'S OMEGA 3 6 612 6 5 4 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 5.00 8.40 S
SASSI ASPEN 1 4 1 21 3 35 4 (thomas lee)COTTO L 118 6.00 12.50  
1A  ACCEL JOE 6 5 56 4 4 56 59 (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 113 10.00 26% 2.90 10.30  
VEGAS DELETE 2 3 44 5 6 612 618¼ (duhon o)BOREL H 118 12.00 22% 3.60 11.70  
SCR  ROYAL D D               (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 113 10.00    
 
LAD-5   05/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEUDEAL 5 2 42 11   16 1 (gomez c)BACA L 116 3.50 9% 10.30 4.20 W
ZUMRA BAYOU 4 1 21 21   26 2 (melancon do)FLORES S 116 2.00 31% 2.30 2.30 P
DREAM TOWN 3 3 3 32   38 39 (rangel raul)VARGAS P 122 3.00 1.80 S
STOP SHOP N DROP 1 5 55 54   410½ 413½ (castille ric)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 6.10  
MISS EMMA JEAN 2 4 11 42   512 515¾ (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 3.00 32% 2.20 3.40  
SCR  STORMY COLLISION               (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00    
 
LAD-6   05/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :463 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONAMARGARITADAY 5 3 2½ 1½   1 1 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 6.00 20% 4.00 14.70 W
PARKER EVA 1 2 1½ 2½   2 2 (camejo m)ROSENDO J 124 1.80 27% 2.60 0.70 P
TYPO 3 4 4 4   47 3 (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 118 4.00 4.00 S
HAVE I EVER 6 1 32 3   3 4 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 26% 2.80 3.60  
NAVAGATIONALBEACON 2 6 616½ 617½   515 515¼ (wilson melto)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 16.90  
LITTLE E 4 5 5 513½   619 625¼ (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 4.50 9.50  
 
LAD-7   05/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:123     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATRUGONNADOKAREN 6 3 4 32   11 1¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 1.80  
QUINN MURPHY 2 6 6 53   3 2¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 7.10 P
LOVE TO LEARN 5 1 1nk 1½   21 3 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 24% 3.30 7.10 S
GOLD INCLUDED 3 4 3 4   56 46 (morris rowdy)ROSENDO J 122 12.00 7.90  
EILEEN ALEXANDRA 1 2 5 65   6 57 (ward ronnie)FLORES S 119 2.50 2.80  
GINNY B 4 5 2nk 2½   43 6 (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.50 51% 1.00 3.10  
SCR  PLATINUM QUEEN               (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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