Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:232 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLIT THE PACK 3 5 1     15 1 (lane j)HO WESLEY 124 1.80 13% 6.50 0.70 W
ASCENDED 4 3 2     25 2 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 53% 0.90 1.90 P
NOW I'M BROKE 1 6 510     39 3 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.50 13% 6.90 3.60 S
SWEET NATION 2 4 3     410 413 (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 30.00 74.10  
NODUS 6 1 48     512 514½ (johnson fred)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 20.00 40.70  
FORCINEX 5 2 630     637 670¾ (lane j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 19.00  
 
CT-2   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:161     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEESE LOUISE 7 6 42 31   1 1 (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 1.70  
DAMISELA 4 3 21 2½   2 2 (raymond donovan)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00 13.70  
SPUNKY ALI CAT 3 2 11 1½   3 36 (bass w)WHITACRE B 124 3.00 58% 0.70 4.90 S
CITY PRINCESS 2 1 3 56   4 4 (geris s)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
ELLIE BEAR 1 4 74 6   58 514¼ (montilla carl)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 6% 16.10 9.40  
NEEDACARCALLLOUIE 6 7 63 4   612 623¾ (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 55.30  
WINDRUSH KARMA 5 5 53 7100   7100 7100 (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 1.10  
 
CT-3   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:222 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AADHANA 3 4 1     16 1 (comi ralp)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.40 40% 1.50 0.40 W
LADY CINCO DE MAYO 2 5 4     3 2 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 10% 9.50 20.20 P
AS IT SHOULD BE 4 3 2     26 311 (mcentee pa)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 19% 4.30 1.60 S
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 6 1 512     510½ 411¾ (pearson mic)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 20.00 49.30  
MIDNIGHT FLING 5 2 3     4 512¼ (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 12% 7.50 13.70  
MAEVE O'FLAHERTY 1 6 620     616½ 618¼ (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 30.00 48.30  
SCR  MY BEST GIRL               (hamlin kathle)MARRERO R 124 30.00    
 
CT-4   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:154     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF ROMANCE 3 2 32 33   1 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 58% 0.70 1.50 W
MY DREAM GIRL 1 1 45 55   3 2 (butts e)PELTROCHE F 122 2.00 11% 8.40 1.50 P
RHYTHM TREE 2 3 1½ 11   2 3 (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 8.20 S
LOOKIN BACK 4 6 5 44   43 4 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 8% 11.90 4.30  
COLETTE'S SPIRIT 8 8 77 67   55 54 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 16.30  
QUINCYS WAY 7 7 87 89   6 68 (barber don)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 25.90  
SARAH BELLUM 5 5 66 7   7 710¾ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 47.40  
BETTER BOAT 6 4 2½ 21   816½ 835½ (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 83.00  
 
CT-5   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:16     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRATHOUSE MUSIC 6 6 22 2   13 1 (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 29% 2.50 2.20 W
LOOKIN' SMART 5 4 4 4   33 2 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 0.90 P
HIGH PRINT 3 3 3 3   23 3 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 3.20 S
HARD BEING ME 1 1 5 510½   56 4 (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 4.50 25% 3.00 10.40  
YOUREOUTOFCONTROL 2 2 12 1   4 5 (sandova)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00 36.90  
KNOKKE BY THE SEA 4 5 612½ 616½   610 610¾ (boyce brian)MCKENZIE CONNIE 110 20.00 14% 6.20 22.80  
SCR  DESTINY'S CHARGE               (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK ENTRY 7 6 22 210   21 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 1.70  
WALL 2 3 46 512½   31 2 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 14% 5.90 2.40 P
HOLIDAY BONUS 3 4 68 613½   7 3 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 5.40 S
POSITIVE PHIL 8 7 12 110   11 4 (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 3.00 42% 1.40 3.00  
HE'S NOT CURLY 4 5 56 411½   5 5 (jones m)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00 27.10  
SUNMAN 1 1 79 716   6 66 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 13.70  
CATCH MY CABOOSE 6 2 34 310½   45 7 (weeks mich)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00 7% 13.70 33.40  
INSIDE RISK 5 8 8 816½   8 810½ (caison l)LIMA FELINO 115 12.00 57.50  
 
CT-7   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:221 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO CALLING 4 4 12     14 14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 53% 0.90 1.60 W
CAJUN INVASION 2 6 3     24 24 (allard t)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 1.80  
UOTTALIKEIT 6 1 22     3 37 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 6% 14.40 2.70 S
GOLDEN HUGHES 5 3 6     610 4 (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 5.00 9% 10.70 10.30  
CITIZEN'S FIRE 3 5 710½     713 510½ (caison l)SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00 72.70  
BAYTOWN JAKESTER 7 2 5     49 611 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 13.00  
ABOUT TO RAGE 1 7 4     59 711¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 6% 15.90 24.10  
SCR  AGENT STONE               (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S DANCING 7 5 34 3   2nk 1 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 23% 3.40 2.70 W
BOUNDTOBEBAD 5 7 2½ 1½   1nk 2 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.20 35% 1.90 0.50 P
FUDGE CAKE 4 3 1½ 2½   33 3 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 7% 12.40 28.30 S
JAMESTOWN ROAD 6 6 5 44   4 4 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 23.20  
UNCAPTURED RUBY 3 1 4 56   5 5 (malgarini)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 13.30  
DEVILISH BEAUTY 1 2 6 67   6 6 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 8.00 9% 10.20 11.20  
NURSE TOMPKINS 2 4 7 7   7 710½ (contreras ja)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00 14.80  
 
CT-9   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:224 :474       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEFFERSON NATIVE 3 8 1½     2½ 1¾ (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 70.60 W
10  MAN OF THE CLOTH 10 1 56     53 2¾ (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00 6% 15.40 8.00 P
REMYS GUNSMOKE 8 2 43     42 3¾ (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 1.20 42% 1.40 0.70 S
MANHATTAN WEAVE 4 3 3     1½ 4 (mcclure l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 32.80  
MY PHOENIX 9 6 9     76 53 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 22% 3.60 2.40  
NICE BUT NAUGHTY 5 5 66     6 6 (jackson a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 9.50  
WATCHING SNOW FLY 6 9 7     8 77 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 15.00 75.80  
CATS DIAMOND BOY 2 7 2½     32 810½ (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 122 15.00 51.70  
ROCKET J. 7 4 8     910¾ 912½ (kopecki sar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00 30.10  
FEARNOUGHT 1 10 1016½     1014¾ 1017½ (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 41.70  
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR               (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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