Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW I'M BROKE Jan14         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
SWEET NATION         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 30.00    
SPLIT THE PACK         (lane j)HO WESLEY 124 1.80 13% 6.50    
ASCENDED         (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 53% 0.90    
FORCINEX         (lane j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
NODUS         (johnson fred)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 20.00    
 
CT-2   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIE BEAR         (montilla carl)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 6% 16.10    
CITY PRINCESS Jan28         (geris s)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
SPUNKY ALI CAT Jan28         (bass w)WHITACRE B 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
DAMISELA Jan27 Jan12       (raymond donovan)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00    
WINDRUSH KARMA Jan22         (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 122 1.80    
NEEDACARCALLLOUIE         (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
CHEESE LOUISE Jan12         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60    
 
CT-3   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAEVE O'FLAHERTY         (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 30.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO         (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 10% 9.50    
AADHANA         (comi ralp)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  MY BEST GIRL         (hamlin kathle)MARRERO R 124 30.00    
AS IT SHOULD BE         (mcentee pa)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
MIDNIGHT FLING         (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Jan27         (pearson mic)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 20.00    
 
CT-4   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY DREAM GIRL         (butts e)PELTROCHE F 122 2.00 11% 8.40    
RHYTHM TREE Jan28         (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
OUT OF ROMANCE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
LOOKIN BACK Jan27 Jan12       (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 8% 11.90    
SARAH BELLUM         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
BETTER BOAT         (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
QUINCYS WAY Jan13         (barber don)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Jan12         (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
 
CT-5   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD BEING ME         (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
YOUREOUTOFCONTROL Jan27         (sandova)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
SCR  DESTINY'S CHARGE         (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
HIGH PRINT         (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
KNOKKE BY THE SEA         (boyce brian)MCKENZIE CONNIE 110 20.00 14% 6.20    
LOOKIN' SMART         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60    
FRATHOUSE MUSIC         (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-6   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNMAN Jan28 Jan15       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
WALL Feb03         (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 14% 5.90    
HOLIDAY BONUS Jan17         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00    
HE'S NOT CURLY Jan27         (jones m)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00    
INSIDE RISK         (caison l)LIMA FELINO 115 12.00    
CATCH MY CABOOSE         (weeks mich)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00 7% 13.70    
QUICK ENTRY         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
POSITIVE PHIL         (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
CT-7   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOUT TO RAGE Jan12         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 6% 15.90    
CAJUN INVASION Jan01         (allard t)ACOSTA D 120 3.00    
SCR  AGENT STONE         (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
CITIZEN'S FIRE         (caison l)SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00    
CAIRO CALLING Jan26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
GOLDEN HUGHES         (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 5.00 9% 10.70    
UOTTALIKEIT Jan26         (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 6% 14.40    
BAYTOWN JAKESTER         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILISH BEAUTY         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 8.00 9% 10.20    
NURSE TOMPKINS         (contreras ja)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
UNCAPTURED RUBY         (malgarini)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
FUDGE CAKE Jan28         (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 7% 12.40    
BOUNDTOBEBAD Jan28         (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.20 35% 1.90    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Jan28         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
SHE'S DANCING         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 23% 3.40    
 
CT-9   02/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARNOUGHT         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
CATS DIAMOND BOY Jan15         (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 122 15.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE         (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MANHATTAN WEAVE Jan15         (mcclure l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
NICE BUT NAUGHTY Jan15         (jackson a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
WATCHING SNOW FLY Jan15         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
ROCKET J.         (kopecki sar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
REMYS GUNSMOKE Jan15         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
MY PHOENIX         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
10  MAN OF THE CLOTH         (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.