Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:141     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 2 2 1nk 21   23 1½ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 33% 2.00 0.50 W
5  WITH SECRET ENERGY 4 4 2nk 11   13 2½ (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 3.00 17% 5.00 5.50 P
2  LATE IN THE GAME 1 1 66½ 612   56¼ 3¾ (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.00 27% 2.80 4.70 S
4  SPECTACULO 3 3 42½ 55   66¼ 47¾ (runco c)CULLUM W 122 12.00 ★ 33.00  
7  WHAT AN OX 6 6 53½ 44   46 58¼ (lucas anthony)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 ★ 4.90  
6  MOVED BY JUBA 5 5 31½ 31   36 69¼ (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 37.10  
SCR  S S ALASKAN CRUZ               (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:153 1:431   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILD CAPPUCINO 2 2 11 11 14½ 12 13 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 21% 3.80 6.70 W
5  UNEXPECTEDLY 4 5 53¾ 46 24½ 22 23 (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 122 15.00 ★ 13.00 P
7  ESTHER'S FORTUNE 6 6 65¾ 59½ 510 39 314½ (butts e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 7% 13.90 16.90 S
4  TONALA 3 3 21 32½ 46 49½ 417¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 ★ 0.70  
6  PAINT IT GREEN 5 4 31 21 35½ 519½ 563½ (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 8.00 15.40  
1  GLORY MARCH 1 1 41¼ 6100 6100 6100 6100 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 1.90  
SCR  WIN THEN GRIN               (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
 
CT-3   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROOKIE SALSA 3 3 1½ 1nk   11 12 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 120 2.00 ★ 2.60  
1  ANOTHER VICTORY 1 1 54 55   31½ 22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 26% 2.80 1.40 P
6  BOASTER 6 6 67½ 69   56 32¼ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.50 ★ 4.30 S
5  MARTINKELLY 5 5 2½ 2nk   21 42¾ (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 5.40  
2  BROTHER CORBIN 2 2 32½ 31   45½ 54¼ (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 12.00 12% 7.30 7.80  
4  HOBE SOUND (IRE) 4 4 43 44   67 65½ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 14% 6.00 13.50  
 
CT-4   01/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:23 :463       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MATH MAN MARCO 7 1 11     13½ 17 (velez irv)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40 W
6  REMYS GUNSMOKE 6 2 33     23½ 27 (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 1.40 15% 5.80 0.40 P
4  MANHATTAN WEAVE 4 3 59     58½ 312¼ (mcclure l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 41.20  
1  NICE BUT NAUGHTY 1 7 69     68¾ 413 (jackson g)CULLUM W 122 15.00 6% 15.10 10.40  
2  CATS DIAMOND BOY 2 5 21     34 513 (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 122 20.00 36.50  
5  WATCHING SNOW FLY 5 6 44     48½ 614½ (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00 24.20  
3  CHEROKEE WIND 3 4 79½     713¼ 719 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 15.00 6% 15.10 27.70  
SCR  ROAD PARTY               (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
SCR  ROCKET J.               (kopecki sara)DIAZ JR 122 15.00 ★    
 
CT-5   01/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:221 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS HEADLEY 1 4 12     15 16¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.80 16% 5.10 1.10 W
8  LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT 8 1 22     25 26¾ (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 11% 8.40 1.90 P
3  COMPETENT 3 5 32     36½ 39¼ (tomczak mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 20.00 47.90  
2  MAKE IT A DOUBLE 2 7 56¼     49½ 49¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 45% 1.20 2.90  
4  STYLISH PAINT 4 6 66¾     712 511½ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 18.20  
5  NANCYSAIDSO 5 3 42¼     511½ 613¾ (scott l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 5% 18.00 26.00  
6  COUNTRY MAGIC 6 8 87¾     612 715¼ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 31.80  
7  BELLA GIANNA 7 2 77¼     815 817 (butts mike)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 ★ 53.30  
 
CT-6   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISSIONSNINETYNINE 5 3 1½ 1½   12½ 11 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 ★ 4.20  
2  BOP MARLEY 2 4 84 66   45 21 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 33.60  
1  PISTOL P 1 1 31 42½   35 32½ (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.50 5% 19.00 2.40 S
3  LET US MAKE GOLD 3 2 63 76½   75¾ 43¼ (frock charl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00 43.10  
8  DESHACKLED 6 5 2½ 2½   22½ 54 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00 2.60  
9  TWEET THIS 7 6 52 54   65¼ 66¼ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 39% 1.60 3.50  
10  ELVIRUS 8 8 41½ 32½   55¼ 78¼ (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5.00  
5  ROOF TOP BAR 4 7 73 87½   810¾ 810¾ (butts e)LARROSA G 120 10.00 46.10  
SCR  NEVER COMPROMISE               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  POLITICAL DECISION               (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   01/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:23 :463       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TO THE FRONT 8 2 11     1nk 11½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 56% 0.80 0.20 W
4  BLACK CANDY 4 7 42     2nk 21½ (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.00 15% 5.70 3.70 P
7  GRAN CITY 7 1 31½     45¼ 34½ (tomczak mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.00 7% 12.50 9.80 S
5  FLUENT IN SARCASM 5 4 21     35 47 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 ★ 58.00  
3  MOSBY'S RANGER 3 5 65     57¼ 59¼ (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00 39.90  
2  GAMING JACK 2 6 76     612¼ 611¾ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00 ★ 24.90  
1  WARM SUNNY BREEZE 1 8 89     814¾ 713½ (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00 46.40  
6  STRETCH THE TRUTH 6 3 52     712¾ 815¼ (king yolonda)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 51.70  
 
CT-8   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JESSICA 7 5 11 1½   1½ 1hd (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 13% 6.90 1.20 W
8  KALENJIN 8 8 21 2½   2½ 2hd (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 3.00 31% 2.20 5.00 P
6  ALPINE MOON 6 7 64½ 32   34½ 33¾ (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 29% 2.50 6.70 S
3  WICKED JANE 3 2 78 77   69 44½ (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
2  LADY MACHO 2 1 32 42½   45 56¼ (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★ 11.40  
5  TAKE CHARGE TINA 5 6 54 53½   58 66½ (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 11.30  
1  DAZZLE ME 1 4 88 88   711½ 711¾ (butts mike)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 20.40  
4  DUSTWHIRL WONDER 4 3 43 64   814½ 814¼ (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00 47.40  
 
CT-9   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.8K) 4UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUNMAN 5 9 715½ 713   67 1½ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.60 13% 6.90 1.60 W
6  ADMIRE (GB) 6 6 511½ 510   21½ 2½ (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 57% 0.80 7.10 P
4  BANKER'S ISLAND 4 3 614½ 612½   77 31 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 78.90  
7  FIT BUT FAT 7 2 2nk 11   11½ 45¼ (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 ★ 14.00  
2  SUCCESSFUL ZIP 2 4 48½ 49   45 55½ (boyce b)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 10.00 28.20  
3  ODDS ON 3 1 1nk 21   34 65¾ (arriagada juan)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 8% 12.00 0.90  
9  PECULIAR SENSATION 9 7 37 36   56 76½ (lane j)BATISTA A 122 12.00 17.80  
8  IRISHTOWN 8 8 919 917   912¼ 86½ (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 15.00 ★ 61.80  
1  HACKER MAN 1 5 816 814   812 911 (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 30.00 ######  
SCR  WONDER HOW               (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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