Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  S S ALASKAN CRUZ         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
LATE IN THE GAME         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 33% 2.00    
SPECTACULO         (runco c)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
WITH SECRET ENERGY         (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
MOVED BY JUBA         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
WHAT AN OX         (lucas anthony)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50    
 
CT-2   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY MARCH Jan01         (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00    
WILD CAPPUCINO         (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  WIN THEN GRIN Jan01         (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
TONALA         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20    
UNEXPECTEDLY         (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 122 15.00    
PAINT IT GREEN         (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 8.00    
ESTHER'S FORTUNE         (butts e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 7% 13.90    
 
CT-3   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER VICTORY         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
BROTHER CORBIN         (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 12.00 12% 7.30    
ROOKIE SALSA         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 120 2.00    
HOBE SOUND (IRE)         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
MARTINKELLY Jan04         (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
BOASTER         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.50    
 
CT-4   01/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE BUT NAUGHTY         (jackson g)CULLUM W 122 15.00 6% 15.10    
CATS DIAMOND BOY         (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 122 20.00    
CHEROKEE WIND         (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 15.00 6% 15.10    
MANHATTAN WEAVE         (mcclure l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
WATCHING SNOW FLY         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
REMYS GUNSMOKE         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 1.40 15% 5.80    
MATH MAN MARCO         (velez irv)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  ROAD PARTY         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
SCR  ROCKET J.         (kopecki sara)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
 
CT-5   01/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS HEADLEY Jan02         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.80 16% 5.10    
MAKE IT A DOUBLE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
COMPETENT         (tomczak mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 20.00    
STYLISH PAINT         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
NANCYSAIDSO         (scott l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 5% 18.00    
COUNTRY MAGIC         (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
BELLA GIANNA         (butts mike)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 11% 8.40    
 
CT-6   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL P         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
BOP MARLEY         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
LET US MAKE GOLD         (frock charl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00    
SCR  POLITICAL DECISION         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
ROOF TOP BAR         (butts e)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00    
SCR  NEVER COMPROMISE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
DESHACKLED         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
TWEET THIS         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
10  ELVIRUS         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   01/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARM SUNNY BREEZE         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
GAMING JACK         (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
MOSBY'S RANGER         (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
BLACK CANDY         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.00 15% 5.70    
FLUENT IN SARCASM         (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
STRETCH THE TRUTH         (king yolonda)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
GRAN CITY         (tomczak mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.00 7% 12.50    
TO THE FRONT         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 56% 0.80    
 
CT-8   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLE ME         (butts mike)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
LADY MACHO         (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
WICKED JANE         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DUSTWHIRL WONDER         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE TINA         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
ALPINE MOON         (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
JESSICA         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 13% 6.90    
KALENJIN         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
CT-9   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.8K) 4UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HACKER MAN         (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 30.00    
SUCCESSFUL ZIP         (boyce b)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 10.00    
ODDS ON         (arriagada juan)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
BANKER'S ISLAND         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
SUNMAN         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.60 13% 6.90    
ADMIRE (GB)         (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 57% 0.80    
FIT BUT FAT         (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
IRISHTOWN         (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
PECULIAR SENSATION         (lane j)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
SCR  WONDER HOW         (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.