Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD PLAY 3 5 5 43   1nk 15 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 1.80 57% 0.80 0.80 W
MARK THE MOOSE 4 1 33 32   3 25 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 116 6.00 5.40  
WROTE IN STONE 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 36 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 7.20 S
GUN LAP 2 4 2½ 2½   42 48 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.00 5.80  
CREATIVE CHOICE 5 2 44 53   5 59 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.50 18% 4.60 3.10  
SCR  STUDYLONGSTDYWRONG               (rogers michael)SPIETH S 116 8.00    
 
PID-2   07/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:141 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD ME CLOSER 2 4 21 21 1½ 1 12 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 3.40  
MOTITO 3 6 44 43 2½ 2 22 (girten tim)ALLEN D 119 1.80 36% 1.80 0.90 P
VACCINA 4 5 6 6 43 33 3 (judd cassandra)MARTINEZ W 119 6.00 35% 1.80 8.30 S
GEARED UP 7 7 76 54 54 4 4 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 2.00 3.20  
HIDDEN SPRINGS 5 1 3 33 6 58 512 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 8.00 19.50  
RIO DEL ARMOUR 6 2 55 7 75 6 612½ (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 16.40  
TUNED UP 1 3 11 11 3 711½ 721½ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 15.00 34.00  
 
PID-3   07/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:232 :472       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLDLY BEAUTY 3 1 11 1½   11 1¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 67% 0.50 0.90 W
ANOTHERDAYGONEBY 2 2 3 32   21 2¼ (brooks geral)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.00 3.10 P
ANA L 4 3 21 2½   33 3 (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 120 3.50 4.40 S
WINE WITH A ROSE 5 4 4 42   44 4 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.00 3.90  
FUNNEE 1 5 5 53   5 516¾ (dickey keith)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 11.50  
SCR  LT. LYDIA               (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
 
PID-4   07/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:142 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING CHARLIE 3 2 1½ 11 11 1 1 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 5.00 7.70  
YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 2 3 2½ 21 31 4 2 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 4.00 31% 2.30 8.00 P
BLUNDER 5 6 56 54 5 2 3 (desormeaux kei)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 11% 8.40 1.40 S
HOFBURG PALACE 6 5 43 3 21 3 4 (trombett)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 7.80  
AMBUSHED 4 4 3 4 4 5 5 (guciardo joh)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 4.50 10.70  
PIZZA CHARLIE 1 1 6 6 68 614¾ 631½ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 38% 1.60 1.60  
 
PID-5   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 4 1 3 3.2   1½ 1¼ (hayes l)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 6.50  
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 2 5 6 6   53 2¼ (figueroa nelson)STANLEY O 122 5.00 9% 9.90 2.50 P
SAMURAI ZIP 1 4 43 4   4 3 (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00 41% 1.40 2.70 S
LET PEACE PREVAIL 5 2 1nk 2nk   2½ 4 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 29.60  
LAWN DART 6 3 2nk 1nk   3 5 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 16% 5.10 1.10  
LEAVEITALONELARRY 3 6 5 5   6 65 (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 31.70  
SCR  CHARLIE CHARLIE               (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  THISAINTJUMPSTREET               (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 117 8.00    
 
PID-6   07/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:133 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPHA PREDATOR 5 5 5 53 42 1nk 12 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 0.70  
SPORTINI 1 4 4 43 21 3.2 22 (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 124 4.50 11.20 P
BIG FRANK 4 1 33 3 32 4 3 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00 27% 2.80 6.80 S
BOURBON BROWN 6 3 1 11 11 2nk 4 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 41% 1.40 3.90  
DOMINANT FACTOR 3 6 67 66 6 5 5 (hillegass ale)WHISMAN AVERY 122 5.00 18.30  
GENERALONAMISSION 2 2 2 21 5 6 611 (stokes lance)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00 4.60  
 
PID-7   07/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANZ JOSEF 1 4 34 3   2nk 1 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 2.80  
BIG BOSS BEN 3 2 44 4   3.2 2 (sharp joe)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 10% 8.70 2.40 P
QUARTERMASTER 6 5 5 5   5¾ 3 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 12.00 9.20 S
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 7 3 1 1½   1nk 4 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00 8% 11.90 9.10  
PRESS SNOOZE 4 6 67 6   6 53 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 49% 1.00 2.90  
MCQUEEN'S BULLITT 2 7 7 76   7 6 (trombett)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 5% 18.50 6.60  
DEL GRIFFITH 5 1 2 2½   4¾ 75 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 10.80  
SCR  NOTACATBUTACARD               (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   07/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL ME AGAIN 1 8 811½ 8 74 3½ 11 (englehart jer)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 3.60  
MOLISE 4 6 56 6 4 2½ 21 (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 4.50 2.50  
MACRELLETTA 8 5 67 56 3 1½ 3 (farro pa)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 22% 3.60 14.10 S
BUNNY PRINCESS 7 7 7 7 8 5 49 (adorno l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 14% 6.30 25.80  
C J 'S CAT FIVE 6 3 33 22 2 43 512½ (connelly tere)BECKMAN ALICE 112 12.00 9.00  
TOOSWEETFORME 5 1 4 44 5 76 616¾ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 8.00 32.90  
LIBERTALIA 3 2 1 12 1 65 718 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 3.00 30% 2.30 3.70  
MY GIRL MELLY 2 4 2 32 6 810 826¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00 9% 10.70 2.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.