Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE CHARLIE 1 4 54¼ 51¾   42½ 11 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 3.00 15% 5.70 2.30 W
2  K'S LITTLE BILL 2 3 43¼ 3.2   12 21 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.20 P
4  WATCH THE DIP 3 5 33 4¼   22 33½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00 10.70  
5  RUMPOLE 4 1 1nk 1nk   32 46¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN M 122 3.50 14% 6.10 3.10  
6  BIG CHICKEN MAN 5 2 2nk 2nk   54 57¾ (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★ 6.00  
SCR  ANOTHER BREEZE               (brooks e)STANLEY O 122 5.00 ★    
 
PID-2   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:142 1:264   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SONG OF INDY 6 5 32 31½ 51¾ 2nk 1hd (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50 33% 2.00 2.90 W
5  NOT ORBINARY 5 6 43 41½ 3½ 1nk 2hd (guciardo joh)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 5.00 15% 5.80 3.60 P
3  ANNIE UP BUCK 3 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 3½ 32½ (guciardo john)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 ★ 3.80 S
4  SWEET MOOCHIE 4 2 64 53 41½ 42 44½ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.00 18% 4.50 3.40  
1  LIMONATA 1 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 53½ 58 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 ★ 3.50  
2  TREASURE THE STORM 2 4 54 65½ 610¼ 615½ 678 (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 10.80  
 
PID-3   07/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:223 :461       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND OF CHARLIE 1 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 13¾ (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 6.00 ★ 1.70  
3  DONTINVADEMYSPACE 3 1 31 31½   21½ 23¾ (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 ★ 3.40 P
2  COLONEL POPPY 2 4 2nk 2nk   31½ 35 (kintz matth)WALKER M 120 2.00 69% 0.50 1.70 S
4  KOTYLOS 4 7 64¾ 64   53½ 47¾ (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★ 18.70  
5  LUNA T 5 3 42 42½   43 59 (cheeks katy)BECKMAN ALICE 110 8.00 30.70  
6  WILLIE WANDO 6 5 52¼ 53   63¾ 69 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 120 10.00 ★ 10.90  
7  HOLD THE WARRIOR 7 6 74¾ 75   75¾ 712¾ (brooks e)KNOTT L 120 4.50 11.20  
 
PID-4   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIVOTAL WOMAN (FR) 1 6 63½ 52   2½ 1hd (sipp burton )ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00 22% 3.60 10.00 W
2  STAR OF SHANGHAI 2 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2hd (hobson simon)ALLEN D 124 1.60 37% 1.70 0.40 P
5  SIREN CALL 5 5 42 41½   43½ 35¾ (markgraf davi)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00 32.50  
3  TUNED UP 3 4 31½ 31½   33 47½ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 2.50 ★ 5.50  
4  GIO'S MY DAD 4 2 52 64   66½ 511 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 4.50 12% 7.50 4.20  
7  DARN TOOTIN 6 1 2½ 2½   56 612 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 10.00 24.80  
SCR  DETAILED               (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 10.00 ★    
 
PID-5   07/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BAHAMIAN PARK 2 6 43 53   1½ 12¼ (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 6.00 24% 3.20 9.10 W
1  OVER IT 1 5 21½ 21½   2½ 22¼ (lucarell)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 29% 2.50 0.60 P
3  GOLDEN OAK 3 7 64½ 74¼   52½ 35 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 ★ 13.20 S
6  LEGIO 6 2 74¾ 42½   32 45½ (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 15% 5.80 8.40  
4  WHOOPS 4 1 53 64   63 56¾ (markgraf davi)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 9.30  
7  KOOSMAN 7 3 32½ 32½   74½ 68 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 11% 8.30 4.60  
5  WILD ENOUGH 5 4 11½ 11½   42½ 79½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00 27.00  
 
PID-6   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:123 1:372   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YADI 2 1 23½ 22 2½ 1½ 14¼ (potts g)ALLEN D 124 2.50 19% 4.20 1.60 W
3  SPETTACOLI (ARG) 3 2 34½ 43 31½ 32 24¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00 14% 5.90 8.20 P
7  MORETHANSOULTITLE 6 4 13½ 12 1½ 2½ 34¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 3.50 20% 4.10 3.60 S
4  GOLD WING 4 5 45 32½ 41½ 44½ 46¾ (guciardo john)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.50 ★ 4.50  
1  CAKE AND EAT IT TO 1 6 68½ 67 65½ 58½ 518¾ (schaber debb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 38.20  
6  ROBBER BARON 5 3 56½ 56 55 610 623½ (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00 2.40  
SCR  CLOONTIA               (brooks e)STANLEY O 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
PID-7   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE QUEENS JULES 3 1 32½ 34½ 31 2½ 1¾ (van thom)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 13% 6.60 0.90 W
5  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT 5 3 47 45 62¾ 42 2¾ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 27% 2.70 2.60 P
1  PEMAQUID PETE 1 2 21 23 2nk 1½ 3¾ (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 ★ 3.80 S
2  D'CRAZINESS 2 6 58½ 68 52¾ 32 43¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00 36% 1.80 7.50  
4  STARSHIP EMPIRE 4 5 68½ 55 41¼ 53½ 55¾ (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 ★ 10.90  
6  POWELL 6 4 11 13 1nk 63¾ 68½ (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 112 12.00 40.90  
 
PID-8   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:132 1:383   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 11½ 11¾ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 1.60  
2  BOOMIN GOOSE 2 7 77½ 66½ 54¼ 42 21¾ (cheeks katy)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 22% 3.60 6.50 P
7  LAUDERDALE 6 3 53½ 55½ 64¾ 32 33 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 ★ 14.50 S
1  RED CAT (CHI) 1 1 2½ 32 32½ 21½ 43 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00 ★ 15.10  
4  SHAKEDOWN 4 6 42 43 42¾ 52½ 55¼ (depasqua)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 16.00  
6  COOPER'S CRESCENT 5 5 31 2½ 2nk 64½ 610½ (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 122 3.00 5.10  
8  FAST FIRE 7 4 65 77 76¼ 77 711¼ (rice adam)AYALA J 122 10.00 18% 4.50 1.80  
SCR  FUEL THE BERN               (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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