Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE CHARLIE Jul05 Jun14       (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  K'S LITTLE BILL Jul05 Jun16       (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  ANOTHER BREEZE Jul05 Jun16 Jun06 May23 Apr05 (brooks e)STANLEY O 122 5.00 ★    
4  WATCH THE DIP Jul05 Jun27 Feb21     (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00    
5  RUMPOLE Mar23 Feb23 Jan19     (bowersock maria)ALLEN M 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
6  BIG CHICKEN MAN Jun28         (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
 
PID-2   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMONATA Jan11         (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 ★    
2  TREASURE THE STORM Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 May18   (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
3  ANNIE UP BUCK Jul07 Jun21 Jun02     (guciardo john)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 ★    
4  SWEET MOOCHIE Jul07 Jun16 Apr16 Mar23 Feb16 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.00 18% 4.50    
5  NOT ORBINARY Jul04 Jan26 Jan02     (guciardo joh)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
6  SONG OF INDY Jul04 Jun13       (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
PID-3   07/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND OF CHARLIE         (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 6.00 ★    
2  COLONEL POPPY Jun28         (kintz matth)WALKER M 120 2.00 69% 0.50    
3  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Jun28 May31 May12 May01   (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 ★    
4  KOTYLOS         (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★    
5  LUNA T Jun28         (cheeks katy)BECKMAN ALICE 110 8.00    
6  WILLIE WANDO         (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 120 10.00 ★    
7  HOLD THE WARRIOR Jun14         (brooks e)KNOTT L 120 4.50    
 
PID-4   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIVOTAL WOMAN (FR) Jun29 May16 May03     (sipp burton )ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
2  STAR OF SHANGHAI Jul05 Jun21 Jun07     (hobson simon)ALLEN D 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  TUNED UP Jul11 Jun23 Jun02     (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 2.50 ★    
4  GIO'S MY DAD Jun20 May24 Apr29     (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
5  SIREN CALL         (markgraf davi)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00    
SCR  DETAILED Jun21 Jun06 May20     (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 10.00 ★    
7  DARN TOOTIN Jul13 Apr22 Apr10     (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 10.00    
 
PID-5   07/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER IT Jul05 Jun20 May30 Apr04 Feb19 (lucarell)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  BAHAMIAN PARK Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May17 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
3  GOLDEN OAK Jul12 Jun28 Jun22 Jun07   (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
4  WHOOPS Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 Jun01   (markgraf davi)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00    
5  WILD ENOUGH Jun07 May23 Apr04 Jan11   (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
6  LEGIO Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 Feb02   (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
7  KOOSMAN Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 May30 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
PID-6   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAKE AND EAT IT TO Jul07 Jun23 Jun13 May15   (schaber debb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00    
2  YADI Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May23   (potts g)ALLEN D 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Jul07 Jun29 Jun14 Jun02   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
4  GOLD WING Jun07 Jan12       (guciardo john)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  CLOONTIA Jul07 Jun29 Jun16 Jun06 May17 (brooks e)STANLEY O 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  ROBBER BARON Jun11 May22 May01 Mar26 Jan21 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00    
7  MORETHANSOULTITLE Jul05 Jun07 May23 May16 Apr16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
PID-7   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEMAQUID PETE Jul05 Jun27 Jun16 May30   (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 ★    
2  D'CRAZINESS Jun12 Apr22 Mar30 Mar05 Feb18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  THE QUEENS JULES Jun22 May29 May05 Mar27 Feb20 (van thom)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 13% 6.60    
4  STARSHIP EMPIRE Jul06 Jun15 May18     (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 ★    
5  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 May17   (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  POWELL Jul01 Jun11 Jun02 Apr26 Apr18 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 112 12.00    
 
PID-8   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CAT (CHI) Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 May31   (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00 ★    
2  BOOMIN GOOSE Jun29 Jun15 May31 May16   (cheeks katy)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
3  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Jun15 May30 Apr29 Apr09   (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
4  SHAKEDOWN Jul05 Jun22 Jun15 Jun07 May24 (depasqua)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
SCR  FUEL THE BERN Jul04 Jun13 May16 Jan28 Jan12 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  COOPER'S CRESCENT Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 Jan11   (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
7  LAUDERDALE Jul05 Jun22 May24 Apr16 Apr09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 ★    
8  FAST FIRE Jun29 May18 Mar27 Feb12 Jan22 (rice adam)AYALA J 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.