Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZELIG 2 2 1½ 1½   13 17¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 0.69 W
3  W W KAN DO 3 5 2½ 2½   33½ 27¼ (rodriguez eduardo)HOLMES GAGE 117 5.00 17% 5.00 7.49 P
7  MESSIAH 7 3 42 31   23 38¼ (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 119 2.00 3.88  
1  AREYOUTALKINGTOME 1 6 32 42   45½ 49½ (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 10% 9.50 14.83  
6  MASON A. P. 6 4 79½ 66   68½ 510¼ (hill f)MILLER CHASE 124 8.00 11.24  
4  PEQUENO GRANDE 4 7 54½ 54   58 611¾ (larue steve)EMIGH A 124 20.00 5% 18.50 ######  
5  RED ALERT 5 1 67 78½   713½ 722¼ (hancock l)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 4.50 ★ 5.84  
 
ELP-2   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:123 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MARKITOFF 10 4 22½ 21 1½ 11½ 11 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.50 5.87  
8  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 8 5 43½ 33 31 31½ 21 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.50 7% 12.70 1.08 P
2  FLY NIGHTLY 2 6 66¼ 64½ 42 21½ 31¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 3.00 39% 1.60 4.98 S
1  PLAYOFF BOUND 1 1 76¼ 86¾ 88 66½ 42½ (toye )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 12.00 5% 19.00 25.12  
5  PEERLESS COURT 5 2 12½ 11 2½ 42 54½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 15.00 7.70  
9  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME 9 9 910¼ 98¾ 65½ 55½ 65¼ (stinson w)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 25% 3.00 11.61  
6  MOLIERE 6 11 1012¼ 1011¼ 910 79½ 76½ (warpool shane)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 8.00 10.44  
11  THE BOSS FACTOR 11 8 87¾ 76½ 77 810 810 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 24.95  
3  MAJORS VINDICATION 3 7 56 44 54½ 910¼ 910¾ (stall m)JOHNSON M 123 12.00 31.54  
4  ROAR OF THE LION 4 10 1114¼ 1111¾ 1113½ 1013¼ 1015½ (lynch e)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 20.00 70.20  
7  JUST GUN IT 7 3 33½ 54½ 1013½ 1119¼ 1156½ (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00 58.08  
 
ELP-3   07/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRACE'S SECRET 2 6 64½ 54½ 53½ 2½ 13¾ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 124 1.40 26% 2.90 0.57 W
1  STUPENDOUS 1 1 32½ 32½ 32 42½ 23¾ (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.80 51% 1.00 5.54 P
4  SWEET TRUFFLES 4 4 21 21 21 32 34 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 ★ 3.12 S
3  SUM MORE BIZZNESS 3 2 11 11 11 1½ 47¼ (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 ★ 32.34  
6  YELLOW CREEK ROAD 6 5 54 65 67 59½ 518¾ (hancock a)COURT K 118 20.00 18.87  
5  TOTAL DISCRETION 5 3 43 42½ 43 69½ 623¼ (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 ★ 8.92  
SCR  DARENE               (moquett ronald )GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
 
ELP-4   07/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:124 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  C C CRUISE CONTROL 2 7 43 42½ 31½ 1½ 14½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 8.21  
9  WHAT AN HONOR 9 10 911 77½ 52¼ 43 24½ (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 11.21  
7  AMERICAN APPLE 7 4 21 21 2nk 2½ 35¾ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 3.23  
10  FLASHY GEM 10 6 32 32 42 54½ 46 (cox brad )DE CRUZ 119 6.00 3.83  
3  RUM RUNNER READY 3 1 11 11 1nk 31 57 (morey e)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 7.80  
8  LADY SQUARED 8 3 55 55½ 66¾ 610 612 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 6% 15.60 7.79  
1  CATHERINE BLAZE 1 2 89½ 99½ 810¾ 710½ 713¾ (leonard georg)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 65.96  
5  MISS ADDIE LYNN 5 8 79 89 710¼ 812 817¾ (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 6% 16.50 61.34  
4  CORVINA 4 5 65½ 66 910¾ 918 947¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 26% 2.80 6.72  
6  THIRTY CARATS 6 9 1031 10100 10100 10100 10100 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 4.22  
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF               (leonard georg)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 ★    
SCR  SOUTHLAWN               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
ELP-5   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AIR COMBAT 10 1 2½ 1½   11½ 13½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 11% 7.80 2.73 W
6  SCRATCHOFF 5 3 42 32½   32 23½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 20.00 26.99  
3  PINE VALLEY 3 2 1½ 2½   21½ 36¾ (brisset rodo)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 1.85  
2  VALE 2 9 1014 1012   710 47¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 7.96  
1  NORGAY 1 7 86 88   58½ 58¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 21% 3.80 8.65  
10  LEVITY 8 8 75½ 66½   47½ 69¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 8.90 DH
11  LUCKY DEVIL 9 10 910 78   69 69¼ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 12% 7.70 20.67 DH
9  MR. MARIAH 7 6 52½ 55½   912 816½ (pittman bonnie)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 30.00 ######  
7  SHAKEDOWN STREET 6 5 63 99½   1013½ 917 (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 32% 2.10 9.80  
4  KIAWAH BREEZE 4 4 32 44   810½ 1020¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 ★ 9.60  
SCR  CALL ME FAST               (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00    
SCR  WORDS OF WISDOM               (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
ELP-6   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:111 1:363   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMERICAN HERO 5 2 65¾ 66½ 65 4¾ 11¼ (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 12% 7.50 6.38 W
7  WATCH THE MUSIC 6 7 78¾ 89½ 75 1½ 21¼ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 26.65  
1  CAMP DADDY 1 1 31½ 52 41½ 3½ 33¼ (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 8.65  
9  FORT DEFIANCE 8 5 42 31 31 2½ 44¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 6.65  
4  WINTERWOOD 3 8 810¾ 79 86 63¼ 54½ (brennan ter)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 23.51  
2  MY BUDDY B 2 3 11½ 1½ 1½ 5¾ 66½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 3.26  
8  GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 4 21½ 2½ 2½ 74¼ 713 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 20.00 5.39  
5  FROOME (IRE) 4 9 911¼ 99½ 910 811¼ 824¼ (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 30.00 86.68  
10  CREATIVE MIRACLE 9 6 52¼ 41½ 53½ 911½ 925 (cox brad )DE CRUZ 122 2.00 12% 7.40 1.75  
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY               (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  LESLIE CHOW               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  OPEN ROAD               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
 
ELP-7   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :45 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PALM COTTAGE 1 2 1½ 11½   13½ 16½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 35% 1.90 4.29 W
3  LITTLE BLAZE 2 3 2½ 21½   23½ 26½ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 42% 1.40 0.40 P
6  WINGS OF AN ANGEL 4 4 42 44   36 311¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.50 ★ 6.48 S
7  MOLLIE KATE 5 7 52½ 65½   58½ 413½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 10.45  
4  BABY BLUE EYES 3 5 31½ 33½   46½ 513¾ (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 38.57  
8  JUMAKAN BOURBON 6 6 76½ 78½   611 615¼ (minnock g)LANERIE J 118 20.00 29.77  
9  DULCIMER DAME 7 1 63 55   711½ 719 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 ★ 30.48  
SCR  STELLAR GRACE               (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 12.00    
SCR  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI               (stewart dall)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:233   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HAWK OF WAR 10 7 76 84 82½ 31 1hd (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.50 52% 0.90 4.37 W
6  RISK MANAGER 6 10 1011½ 96 72¼ 21 2hd (gutie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 ★ 4.70 P
7  VINTAGE PRINT 7 6 54½ 63 3½ 11 3¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 9% 9.60 2.21 S
2  HOZIER 2 3 32 32 61¾ 53 44 (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 11.88  
1  ABSAM 1 9 86½ 73½ 94 86 55¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 12.72  
8  PEEKACHO 8 1 65 53 4¾ 74½ 66 (vance r)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 6% 17.00 28.64  
4  QUARI MASTER 4 4 11 11 1nk 41½ 76 (lobo h)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 30.25  
5  SOUNION 5 2 43½ 42½ 5¾ 96¼ 86½ (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 5% 19.00 6.35  
9  KOUFAX 9 5 21 21 2nk 63½ 97¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 12.22  
3  HAIG POINT 3 8 99 106½ 109 1011¼ 1013½ (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 7.92  
SCR  PALACE KITTEN               (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.