Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPUS 1 5 56 5   42 1½ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 2.00  
INCITATUS 3 4 3 31   1nk 2½ (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 9% 10.30 7.10 P
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 2 3 43 4   53 33 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00 6.10  
SNOW JOB 6 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 44 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 48% 1.10 1.00  
LET PEACE PREVAIL 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 5 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 11% 8.30 8.00  
CAKE AND EAT IT TO 5 6 68 6   6 6 (schaber debbie)STANLEY O 122 12.00 62.00  
 
PID-2   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:14 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILOR'S SALUTE 2 2 4 4 31 1½ 1 (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00 13% 6.80 4.30 W
KEYPIT 1 1 2 3 21 2½ 2 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 15% 5.70 3.00 P
LACEE 6 3 56 56 43 32 3 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 12.00 29.80  
DOUBLE DOT 7 7 711 7 54 65 4 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 8.00 12% 7.50 8.60  
YO YO MON 5 6 6 68 6 4 5 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 119 3.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 3 5 1 1½ 11 5 6 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 1.20  
EMPEROR'S SONG 8 4 3 2½ 7 713 725 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 10.00 39.40  
HOXIE 4 8 813 811 812 823 840¾ (schaber debbie)STANLEY O 124 15.00 99.00  
 
PID-3   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:254 :51 1:153 1:274   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSTOWN GIRL 5 6 54 55 52 2½ 1½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 1.80 72% 0.40 1.70 W
LIGHTNING ROUND 4 7 7 67 63 52 2½ (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00 28.50  
RAW HONEY 3 1 22 32 2nk 1½ 3 (fiesman )MARTINEZ A 117 4.50 5.50 S
RUNAWAY BREEZE 2 2 44 43 4 3 4 (rice kevin)WALKER M 117 2.50 1.50  
NOW PRAMELA 1 3 65 78 7 64 53 (miller d)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 66.10  
ENDLESS 6 5 3 21 31 42 6 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 3.40  
ORGANZA 7 4 12 11 1nk 7 710¼ (herrington cal)ALLEN D 122 15.00 36.10  
 
PID-4   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP IN ARMS 1 7 6 7   3 11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80 1.30  
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 8 2 5 5   2½ 21 (hillegas)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 10% 8.60 16.70 P
BELLE'S KINGDOM 6 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 31 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.50 3.30 S
GUCCI GAL 2 5 42 4   4 42 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.80  
PINCH MINE 3 8 7 6   64 54 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 9.30  
KEEP SCROLLING 7 1 3½ 31   53 66 (walsh d)WALKER M 124 6.00 14.90  
MATCHA 4 6 8 8   7 7 (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 32.40  
WINNING TOUGH 5 3 1½ 2nk   811 810½ (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 15.00 20% 3.90 19.90  
 
PID-5   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASCADE PARK 1 6 34 42 4 31 1¾ (pappada michae)ALLEN D 117 2.00 42% 1.40 1.70 W
VILLAGE QUEEN 4 5 23 21 1nk 1nk 2¾ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 2.50 35% 1.90 1.80 P
BARBARA 2 1 13 11 2nk 2nk 34 (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 117 8.00 10.10  
STARSHIP BELMONT 7 4 5 31 3½ 4 4 (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 6.70  
BABY DRAGON 5 2 6 64 65 55 5 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00 34.20  
CRACKIN MISCHIEF 6 3 44 5 53 6 6 (motion h)GALLARDO A 117 10.00 4.70  
NOT ORBINARY 3 7 711½ 78 7 722½ 743 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00 12.50  
SCR  LOVELY EVER AFTER               (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00    
 
PID-6   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VASSAR'S BOY 2 6 4 43   21 1¼ (lyster s)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 12.60  
STRAIGHT TIME 5 4 3 31   3 2¼ (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 14% 6.10 2.60 P
DARK N DANGEROUS 3 1 1½ 11   11 3¾ (ruberto loui)AYALA J 124 4.00 45% 1.20 1.60 S
CARRONADE 4 8 88 7   6 4 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 120 3.00 20% 4.00 3.20  
LUCKY NINETEEN 1 2 2½ 21   4 5 (roman malvin)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 8.60  
SWEET AMY 8 7 66 55   56 6 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 115 8.00 20.60  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 7 5 76 6   7 7 (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 5.00 14.70  
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM 6 3 55 88   813 814¾ (schuster ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00 28.40  
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 10.00    
 
PID-7   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:132 1:373   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATE CROWN 1 6 57 4 32 2 1¼ (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 4.10  
BATTLE CHARGE 7 3 11 11 11 1 2¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 4.00 4.80 P
FORGOTTEN PEACE 8 4 21 21 21 3 35 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 2.50 48% 1.10 1.70 S
CHRISTMAS DIAMOND (GB) 6 7 6 6 5 44 4 (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 26% 2.80 3.10  
RIGHT TRAPPE 3 2 34 3 42 55 57 (puhl kim)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 39.10  
TWILA MAE 4 1 89 88 76 6 6 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 8.00 13.00  
DUNVEGAN DOLL 2 8 7 7 87 7 7 (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 119 6.00 9.90  
SALT PLAGE 5 5 46 55 65 811½ 812¾ (motion graha)ALLEN D 122 15.00 21.80  
 
PID-8   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:134 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDUNA 9 5 4 44 2nk 1 1 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 1.20  
STARSHIP EMPIRE 6 7 710 76 6 2 2 (figueroa nel)AYALA J 122 6.00 8.20  
INCLUSIVE 4 6 6 6 4 3 3 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 10% 9.40 4.10 S
10  AULT 10 4 5 5 5 4 4 (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 122 8.00 17% 5.10 21.90  
GAGE HAS A GRAY 3 2 33 32 3½ 5 55 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 8.00 6.40  
HONOR COLLECTION 5 8 913 9 9 7 6 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 14% 6.20 11.30  
COUNTY COURT 7 10 813 8 10 8 7 (rojas eduardo)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 21.40  
ATLANTIC SUN (GB) 1 3 1½ 11 1nk 6 89 (clouston edw)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 33% 2.10 15.80  
ZERO GRAVITY 2 9 1016½ 10 8 9 99 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 122 12.00 12.40  
CLAW 8 1 2½ 21 7 10 1012 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00 59.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.