Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPUS Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May16 (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 ★    
2  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May30 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
3  INCITATUS Jul21 Jul12 May28 May13 May04 (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
4  LET PEACE PREVAIL Jul27 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May18 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
5  CAKE AND EAT IT TO Aug08 Jul19 Jul07 Jun23 Jun13 (schaber debbie)STANLEY O 122 12.00 ★    
6  SNOW JOB Jul14 Jul05 Jun15 Jun08 May26 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
PID-2   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYPIT Aug03 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01   (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
2  SAILOR'S SALUTE         (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
3  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 124 4.00    
4  HOXIE Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 (schaber debbie)STANLEY O 124 15.00 ★    
5  YO YO MON Jul18 Jun30 Jun09 Mar09 Feb02 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
6  LACEE Aug03 Jul26 Jul18 Jun28 Jun21 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 12.00    
7  DOUBLE DOT Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 May25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
8  EMPEROR'S SONG Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 Jun09 May31 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
 
PID-3   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW PRAMELA Jul21 Jul07 Jun28 Jun09 Feb08 (miller d)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
2  RUNAWAY BREEZE Aug02 Jul14 Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 (rice kevin)WALKER M 117 2.50 ★    
3  RAW HONEY Jul28 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May25 (fiesman )MARTINEZ A 117 4.50 ★    
4  LIGHTNING ROUND Aug11 Jul15 Jul01 Jun09 May06 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
5  CROSSTOWN GIRL Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 Jun05 May12 (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 1.80 72% 0.40    
6  ENDLESS Jun08 May18 Mar11 Feb16 Jan28 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 ★    
7  ORGANZA Jul19 Jun29       (herrington cal)ALLEN D 122 15.00 ★    
 
PID-4   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UP IN ARMS Jul21 Jul04 Jun14 May16 Jan09 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80    
2  GUCCI GAL Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun06   (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  PINCH MINE Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 Jun08 Jun01 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
4  MATCHA Jul20 Jun28 Jun06 Apr27 Mar16 (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 ★    
5  WINNING TOUGH Aug08 Aug01 Jul20 Jun20 Jun06 (depasquale kimb)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 20% 3.90    
6  BELLE'S KINGDOM Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 May31 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.50 ★    
7  KEEP SCROLLING Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 May31 May25 (walsh d)WALKER M 124 6.00    
8  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Aug02 Jul19 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 (hillegas)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
PID-5   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASCADE PARK Jul27 Jul05 Jun16 May25 Jan02 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 117 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  BARBARA Aug02 Jul12 Jun17 May27 Apr15 (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 117 8.00    
3  NOT ORBINARY Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 Jan26 Jan02 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00 ★    
4  VILLAGE QUEEN Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 May24 Apr10 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jul28 Jul07 Jun13 May25 Mar23 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00 ★    
6  BABY DRAGON Aug03 Jul12 Jul04     (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
7  CRACKIN MISCHIEF Jul27 Jul08 May25 Mar27 Feb13 (motion h)GALLARDO A 117 10.00    
8  STARSHIP BELMONT Aug10 Jul17 Jun14 May24 Apr15 (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-6   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY NINETEEN Jul27 May06 Apr09 Mar12 Feb12 (roman malvin)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 10.00    
3  VASSAR'S BOY Jul22 Jun30       (lyster s)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 ★    
4  DARK N DANGEROUS Jul27         (ruberto loui)AYALA J 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
5  CARRONADE Jan08         (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  STRAIGHT TIME Jul27 Jun25 Jun06 Apr15 Feb02 (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
7  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM         (schuster ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00    
8  MY TWO AUNT JOANS         (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★    
9  SWEET AMY Jul20 Jun22       (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 115 8.00    
 
PID-7   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE CROWN Jul03 Jun02 May17     (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 ★    
2  DUNVEGAN DOLL Jul27 Jul04 May14 May03 Apr10 (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 119 6.00    
3  RIGHT TRAPPE Jul27 May26 May11 Apr08 Mar20 (puhl kim)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
4  TWILA MAE Jul27 Jul13 Jun14 May31   (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 8.00 ★    
5  SALT PLAGE Jul30 Jun11       (motion graha)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
6  CHRISTMAS DIAMOND (GB) Jul27 Jul07 Jun11 May27   (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  BATTLE CHARGE Jul06 Jun14 May31 Feb05   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 4.00 ★    
8  FORGOTTEN PEACE Aug03 Jul25 Jun30 Jun16   (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
PID-8   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATLANTIC SUN (GB) Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 Jun16 May16 (clouston edw)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 33% 2.10    
2  ZERO GRAVITY Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 May25   (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 122 12.00    
3  GAGE HAS A GRAY Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 Apr25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 8.00    
4  INCLUSIVE Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 Mar25 Mar03 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 10% 9.40    
5  HONOR COLLECTION Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May25 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
6  STARSHIP EMPIRE Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 May18   (figueroa nel)AYALA J 122 6.00    
7  COUNTY COURT Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 Jun06 (rojas eduardo)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 ★    
8  CLAW Aug01 Jul14 Jul06 Jun23 Jun14 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
9  CEDUNA Jul25 Jul18 Jun15 Jun02 May23 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
10  AULT Jul28 Jul14 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 122 8.00 17% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.