Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOJOMAR 3 4 3½ 33   32 1¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 11% 8.00 1.00 W
MOTI 4 7 6 6   5 2¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 47% 1.10 13.50 P
INTERCEPT 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 4.00 6.90  
WOLFINBARGER 2 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 4 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 10.00 17.40  
THE BEST CANDY 1 6 713¼ 714¼   712¼ 5 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 14% 6.40 6.30  
ROCKET BLAST 5 3 5 4   44 65 (kreiser timothy )CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 2.20  
NEVER COMPROMISE 6 5 42 5   6 77 (reynolds jo)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
SCR  MANAHAWKIN               (thompson)JONES NICOLAS 120 20.00    
 
PEN-2   07/15/2022 5490ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:114 1:361   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST DEAL WITH IT 3 6 6 4 42 22 1¼ (escobar alison)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 17% 4.90 5.50 W
HANFORD 2 4 5 32 1nk 12 2¼ (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 1.60 35% 1.90 0.40 P
TOUCH OF PRINCE 1 2 4 2 2nk 36 3 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 22.20 S
SKIMBLE SHANKS 5 3 3.2 1 3½ 411 418¼ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 15.00 65.10  
SAM LORDS 4 5 2nk 63 511 526 527¼ (doran carl)CORA D 122 12.00 8.50  
KAZTHAROS 6 1 1nk 5 6100 6100 6100 (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 21% 3.80 4.10  
SCR  KAZ MUNNINGS               (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  SKY STYLISH               (voss elizabeth)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
 
PEN-3   07/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:214 :434       :554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINQUE AMORE 5 1 1 19   110 1 (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.80 21% 3.70 0.30 W
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 2 5 2 311   312 2 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 2.90  
WORKIN ECLIPTICAL 1 3 3 29   210 311 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00 13.30  
SAKARI 3 2 46 411   415 415½ (carpio erin)VARGAS L 118 10.00 16% 5.30 7.30  
FRED'S SHEILA 4 4 5 512   516 516¾ (harigeorgiou konsta)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 29.10  
SCR  COLOR FORCE               (johnston rob)CORA D 120 4.00    
SCR  MY LADY'S AUNT MA               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  PINK LILY               (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  TRAVEL GIRL               (kreiser timothy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:112 1:35   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LIMONADA 7 5 55 43 32 11 1 (reck christ)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 2.00  
LIME SQUASH 6 1 1 12 1½ 21 2 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 49% 1.00 4.20 P
OH SO JAZZY 1 2 3 22 2½ 3 38 (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 58.30  
MELODIA 3 9 8 7 5 4 4 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 10.00 8.10  
INANNA'S QUEST 4 6 6 64 42 5 5 (ashby lynn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.00 25% 2.90 1.20  
LAUGH IT OFF 2 8 7 8 6 6 610 (stites p)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 21.50  
LOOP THE LOOP 9 4 44 5 8 7 712½ (shea h)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 31.30  
LIGHTNING ROUND 8 7 99 99 9 912¾ 814¼ (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 48.10  
JANE 5 3 2 3 7 812½ 916½ (rodriguez frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00 54.00  
 
PEN-5   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET TRAXX 6 5 2½ 1½   1 13 (miller a)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 16% 5.40 8.00 W
EXPENSIVE (CHI) 7 1 31 32   2 23 (krebs steven)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 2.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
FRANK N DUCKY 2 2 1½ 2½   33 3 (diaz jorge)NUNEZ Y 124 1.60 1.00 S
GEM JUAN 3 7 76 7   67 4 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 14.20  
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 5 4 41 45   5 5 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 13% 6.50 6.40  
OWIN 4 6 6 5   46 6 (shea h)CORA D 120 12.00 22.70  
ROYAL'S INVASION 1 3 5 67   710 714¾ (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 20% 4.00 11.80  
 
PEN-6   07/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:381   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSH IT 4 2 5 52 1nk 1 1 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
HOT N SPICY LOVE 5 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2 2 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 25% 3.00 3.10 P
COLONEL MOORHEAD 1 5 4 42 43 3 3 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 16% 5.30 2.80 S
BORSA VENTO 6 4 3½ 3 5 416½ 426½ (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 2.30  
ALL TACKED UP 3 3 1½ 1½ 3 520½ 535¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 23.30  
PAL CAL 2 6 6 6 615½ 630½ 642 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00 46.70  
 
PEN-7   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT OF VALOR 1 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 1 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 21% 3.70 1.10 W
GREY QUEST 5 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 2 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 3.20 P
IRON CLASH 3 3 46 5   57 35 (cifarelli fra)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 22.00  
KATZ ME AT NOON 7 4 34 32   3 4 (johnston rob)CORA D 122 2.50 46% 1.20 3.50  
WINNERS WIN 2 6 5 4   44 58 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 8.70  
HAPPY GUY 6 5 79 6   69 6 (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 6% 15.80 36.50  
PICKERING CIRCLE 4 7 6 710   710½ 713¼ (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
 
PEN-8   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:011     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED SLOT 4 4 2½ 1½   1 1nk (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 1.30  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 3 6 67 55   43 2nk (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 7.10  
MONEYONTHELINE 5 1 4 41   5 33 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 3.50 1.80 S
MISTER ARANGUIZ 2 2 1½ 2½   2 4 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 21.30  
JEKYLL ISLAND 1 3 31 3½   32 5 (stowers michell)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 30.00 19.70  
CROWN'S DEFENDER 6 5 52 6   6 6 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 3.40  
SCR  KINGDA KA               (crane clovis)CORA D 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  THIS I KNOW               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.