Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEST CANDY Jun23 May21 May06 Apr08 Mar25 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  MANAHAWKIN Jul02 May24 May10 Mar29 Mar09 (thomps)JONES NICOLAS 120 20.00    
3  WOLFINBARGER Jun01 May11 Apr21 Mar30   (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
4  JOJOMAR Jun22 Jun01 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 11% 8.00    
5  MOTI Jun22 Jun10 May21 Apr11 Mar11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 47% 1.10    
6  ROCKET BLAST Jul06 Jun10 May19 Apr21 Mar29 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 ★    
7  NEVER COMPROMISE May04 Mar31 Mar09 Feb05 Jan26 (reynolds )HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  INTERCEPT Jun29 Jun10 May11 Apr22 Apr08 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 4.00    
 
PEN-2   07/15/2022 5490ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCH OF PRINCE Jun16 Jun02 May05 Mar30 Mar22 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 ★    
2  HANFORD Jun16 May26       (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  JUST DEAL WITH IT         (escobar alison)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SKY STYLISH         (voss elizabeth)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
SCR  KAZ MUNNINGS Jun01         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
6  SAM LORDS Jun17         (doran carl)CORA D 122 12.00    
7  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul01 Jun10       (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 15.00    
8  KAZTHAROS Jul01 Apr22 Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-3   07/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRAVEL GIRL Jun24 May25 Apr07 Mar05 Jan02 (kreiser timot)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  COLOR FORCE Jun30 May26 Apr06 Mar09 Mar02 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 4.00    
3  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Jul01 Jun15       (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00    
4  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jun16 Jun01       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
SCR  MY LADY'S AUNT MA Jun16 May20 May06     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  PINK LILY Jun15 Apr20 Apr06     (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  SAKARI Jun23         (carpio er)VARGAS L 118 10.00 16% 5.30    
8  FRED'S SHEILA Jun30 Jun15       (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
9  CINQUE AMORE Jun15         (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-4   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH SO JAZZY Jul01 May12 Mar30 Jan26   (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
2  LAUGH IT OFF Jun23 Jun15 May25 Mar23 Mar14 (stites william)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
3  MELODIA Jul01 May27 May07 Mar11 Feb22 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 10.00 ★    
4  INANNA'S QUEST Jul08 Jun25 Jun08     (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
5  JANE Jun24 May27       (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00    
6  LIME SQUASH Jul01 Apr20 Mar08 Feb22 Jan11 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
7  LA LIMONADA Jul01 Jun15       (reck chri)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
8  LIGHTNING ROUND Jul01 Jun09 May06 Mar23 Mar08 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
9  LOOP THE LOOP Jul01 Jun24 May27     (shea h)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL'S INVASION Jun10 Jun01 Apr22 Jan11   (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  FRANK N DUCKY Jun29 Jun17 May24 May02 Apr06 (diaz jorge)NUNEZ Y 124 1.60 ★    
3  GEM JUAN Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 May20 May06 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
4  OWIN Jun29 Jun16 Jun01     (shea h)CORA D 120 12.00    
5  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Jul06 Jun29 Jun16 May11 May02 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 13% 6.50    
6  AFLEET TRAXX Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 May20 May06 (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
7  EXPENSIVE (CHI) Jun29 Jun04 May20 Apr22 Mar22 (krebs steve)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-6   07/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL MOORHEAD Apr27 Jan19       (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
2  PAL CAL May07 Apr07 Mar16 Jan28 Jan07 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00 ★    
3  ALL TACKED UP Jun15 May20 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
4  CRUSH IT Jun24 May07 Apr01 Feb15 Jan28 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  HOT N SPICY LOVE Jul01 Jun01 May21 Apr01 Mar04 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  BORSA VENTO Jul05 Jun15 May30 May11 Mar22 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT OF VALOR Jul01 Jun17 May21 Apr22 Mar25 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
2  WINNERS WIN Jul01 Jun20 Jun14 May21 Apr13 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
3  IRON CLASH Jun17 May20 May05 Apr20 Mar25 (cifarelli f)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
4  PICKERING CIRCLE Jul01 Jun03 May11 Mar22   (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREY QUEST Jun23 May11 Mar29 Mar02 Feb15 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 ★    
6  HAPPY GUY Jun30 Jun17 May20 May05 Mar25 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 6% 15.80    
7  KATZ ME AT NOON Jun17 Jun03 May05 Mar23 Feb23 (johnston rob)CORA D 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-8   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEKYLL ISLAND Jun30 Jun17       (stowers miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 30.00    
SCR  THIS I KNOW Jun30         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  KINGDA KA Jun30 Jun16 May26     (crane clovis)CORA D 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  MISTER ARANGUIZ Jun24 Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 Apr07 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
5  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jun16 Jun02       (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
6  SPEED SLOT         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
7  MONEYONTHELINE Jun29 May26 May11     (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 3.50 ★    
8  CROWN'S DEFENDER         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.