Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:40   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LTL BEAR SALOON 2 2 24 24 11 14 17½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70 W
4  SUPER REIGN 4 4 44½ 35 34 24 27½ (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 1.40 27% 2.70 2.20 P
3  JOHNNY ICE 3 5 59 57½ 56 37 39 (stowers michelle)BAKER J 124 6.00 ★ 12.90 S
1  COUNTRY HAM 1 3 14 14 21 48½ 420½ (ferreira ferna)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 6.00 14% 6.40 8.80  
5  COMPACT 5 1 34½ 45½ 44½ 58½ 520¾ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 121 3.00 ★ 5.90  
 
PEN-2   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:102 1:364   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NORTHERN THUNDER 4 3 43 44 41½ 21 12½ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 33% 2.00 2.50 W
3  HOT N SPICY LOVE 2 2 31½ 31 2nk 11 22½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 34% 1.90 0.70 P
2  MOTI 1 4 21½ 21 1nk 31 32¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 3.20  
5  PAPA TONY 3 1 11½ 11 31 44½ 47 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★ 8.50  
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  JOZANI R V F               (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 120 50.00    
SCR  DRAMATIZED               (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  THE TRAIN               (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  CAUSE OF ACTION               (geist w)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:213 :442 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THE BEST CANDY 4 5 57 52½   11 12¾ (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 3.20  
3  COLOUR GUARD 2 3 22 31   21 22¾ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 72% 0.40 0.80 P
1  TAKE IT TO SCALE 1 4 44 2½   31½ 35 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 ★ 3.10 S
4  PAGE DOWN 3 1 32 1½   43 410¾ (agnew naoise)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 ★ 26.20  
8  GATOR FIFTY TWO 5 2 12 41   511 526 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 122 4.00 ★ 5.80  
SCR  AGAINST THE ODDS               (zalalas michael)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
SCR  BARILKO               (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50    
SCR  START CASHIN               (king c)BAKER J 124 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOUPER CATCH 3 1 24 26 23½ 13 15¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 41% 1.40 1.00 W
1  O K GAME ON 1 4 48 38½ 35½ 23 25¼ (mcmahon demelza)HIRALDO JOHN 115 3.50 24% 3.10 3.30 P
8  VOUCH 4 2 14 16 13½ 34½ 311 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
4  THE ANGRY MAN 2 3 38 48½ 49½ 49 414 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 2.50 9% 9.60 2.20  
SCR  SCREEN STAR               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  ESKENFORTIME               (salvaggio mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
SCR  ELEMENTARY               (cooney s)HIRALDO JOHN 115 4.00 ★    
SCR  SPIN CYCLE               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
SCR  CRAZY KATER               (aguirre antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:112 1:373   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR NOVEL 1 2 1½ 1½ 11½ 13½ 14¼ (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 ★ 7.60  
3  MIDDLE EARTH 3 1 4¾ 32 21½ 23½ 24¼ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 20% 3.90 0.50 P
2  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 2 3 2½ 2½ 31½ 34 35¼ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 119 4.00 8.80  
4  TUCKERTON BAY 4 4 3½ 54 43½ 46 49¾ (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 12.00 ★ 2.50  
6  JUMP FREE 5 5 52¼ 43½ 54½ 59 514¾ (ferreira fern)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00 ★ 22.60  
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES               (sacco d)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-6   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRENDING UP 5 5 53 31½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 10% 9.50 1.90 W
2  OUR LUCKY MAN 1 4 32 51¾ 31½ 2nk 2¼ (gonzalez cl)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 24% 3.10 2.10 P
7  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE 6 2 1½ 11 2nk 3½ 31¼ (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.50 42% 1.40 2.60 S
3  MAXIMUS AURELIUS 2 6 65 64¼ 53½ 45½ 47 (crook-demasi kath)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 ★ 3.80  
4  WISH FOR PEACE 3 3 42½ 41½ 42 57½ 511½ (stites w)AGUILAR M 117 15.00 20.80  
5  BAVARIA 4 1 2½ 21 64½ 68½ 613¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 ★ 32.10  
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD               (sacco d)CONNER TYLER 117 10.00    
 
PEN-7   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DOLLARIZATION 3 1 63¼ 3.2   2nk 1¾ (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 ★ 10.80  
2  STUDIO B 2 5 31½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 25% 3.10 3.50 P
5  AMERICAN UNITY 5 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 33¾ (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 29% 2.40 2.20 S
6  THE SICARII 6 4 41¾ 4¾   41½ 43¾ (kirby t)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 7.70  
1  PRINCE OF RAIN 1 6 52¼ 51¼   54½ 59½ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 25% 3.00 1.40  
4  GHOST GAME 4 3 1nk 63¼   67½ 611¾ (meister wil)VARGAS L 120 8.00 ★ 12.90  
 
PEN-8   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PANDORAS CHARM 2 3 1½ 1½   11½ 14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.00 1.30  
3  FLY FLY BIRD 3 2 45 45½   34½ 24 (taylor joseph)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 ★ 5.80 P
6  MI PRINCESS DI 5 1 31½ 2½   21½ 34¼ (ippolito ma)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 28% 2.60 7.90 S
4  AWESOME TAP 4 4 55 55½   45 46¾ (nunley randy)LLOYD W 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
1  BARB'S PEPPERMINT 1 5 2½ 33   57 510¼ (sacco d)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 45% 1.20 1.20  
SCR  ASGATA               (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 123 1.60 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.