Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY HAM May05 Mar22       (ferreira f)GILARDO COURTNEY 114 6.00 14% 6.40    
2  LTL BEAR SALOON May12 Apr08 Feb08 Jan12   (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  JOHNNY ICE May06 Apr20 Feb08     (stowers michelle)BAKER J 124 6.00 ★    
4  SUPER REIGN May06 Apr20 Mar23 Mar16 Jan28 (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 1.40 27% 2.70    
5  COMPACT May05 Apr08 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 121 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE TRAIN         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 7% 13.60    
2  MOTI Apr11 Mar11 Feb11 Jan13   (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
3  HOT N SPICY LOVE Apr01 Mar04 Feb23 Jan23   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  JOZANI R V F May12 Mar09 Feb11 Feb02 Jan07 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 50.00    
5  PAPA TONY May07 Apr06 Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  DRAMATIZED Jan31 Jan12       (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
8  NORTHERN THUNDER Apr28 Apr01 Mar11     (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  CAUSE OF ACTION May11 Mar29 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28 (geist david)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE IT TO SCALE Apr27 Mar30 Jan19     (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  START CASHIN Apr27 Mar18 Feb23 Feb01   (king c)BAKER J 124 8.00 ★    
3  COLOUR GUARD May06 Apr08 Mar18 Feb15 Feb02 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 72% 0.40    
4  PAGE DOWN May06 Apr21 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 (agnew naoise)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  BARILKO Feb22 Jan18       (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50    
6  THE BEST CANDY May06 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  AGAINST THE ODDS May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb23 Feb01 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
8  GATOR FIFTY TWO Mar29 Mar11 Feb23 Feb10   (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O K GAME ON Apr01 Feb11       (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 115 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  CRAZY KATER Jan25         (aguirre ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
SCR  SCREEN STAR May06 Apr20 Apr08 Mar11 Feb23 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
4  THE ANGRY MAN Apr18 Mar16 Feb23     (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 2.50 9% 9.60    
SCR  SPIN CYCLE Mar04 Feb15 Jan19 Jan07   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
6  SOUPER CATCH Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb02   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  ELEMENTARY         (cooney s)HIRALDO JOHN 115 4.00 ★    
8  VOUCH Apr28 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Jan26 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ESKENFORTIME Jan26         (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR NOVEL May08 Apr20 Apr08 Mar25 Mar09 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 ★    
2  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT May11 Apr08 Mar22 Feb25 Jan28 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 119 4.00    
3  MIDDLE EARTH Apr29 Feb15 Feb02 Jan04   (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  TUCKERTON BAY Apr22 Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES Apr29 Feb15 Jan25     (sacco gregory )CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  JUMP FREE Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Feb25 (ferreira fe)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Apr02 Feb20 Jan27 Jan16   (sacco gregory )CONNER TYLER 117 10.00    
2  OUR LUCKY MAN Apr01 Mar04 Feb26 Jan25   (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  MAXIMUS AURELIUS Mar28 Feb16 Jan04     (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 ★    
4  WISH FOR PEACE May07 Apr07 Mar16 Feb15 Feb01 (stites w)AGUILAR M 117 15.00    
5  BAVARIA May06 Mar22 Feb16 Feb02 Jan25 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 ★    
6  TRENDING UP Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 10% 9.50    
7  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Apr28 Mar29 Feb21 Jan28 Jan07 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-7   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF RAIN Mar29 Mar07       (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  STUDIO B Apr28 Apr19 Mar23 Mar13 Feb11 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
3  DOLLARIZATION May06 Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 Feb01 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 ★    
4  GHOST GAME Mar23 Mar13 Feb21 Jan11   (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 ★    
5  AMERICAN UNITY Apr13 Mar15 Jan16     (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  THE SICARII Mar15 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04   (kirby jo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
 
PEN-8   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARB'S PEPPERMINT         (sacco gregory )CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  PANDORAS CHARM         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.00    
3  FLY FLY BIRD May07 Apr25 Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 (taylor jose)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 ★    
4  AWESOME TAP May11 Apr21 Mar29 Mar16 Mar04 (nunley randy)LLOYD W 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASGATA Apr28 Apr06 Mar29 Mar16 Feb01 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 123 1.60 ★    
6  MI PRINCESS DI         (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.