Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - April 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA PRIMA 2 1 2½ 1   1 1 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 4.00 1.40  
SHOW'EM WHO'S BOSS 4 4 32 32   2 2 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 3.60 P
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN 3 3 4 4   4 3 (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 18% 4.40 3.20 S
KISSIN COUSIN 1 2 1½ 2   35 410¾ (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 114 3.00 1.80  
SCR  NO MORE MISCHIEF               (englehart)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-2   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :461 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGS LIKE SHACK 4 2 2 21   11 1 (fields ke)VARGAS L 119 2.50 3.50  
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 3 4 4 3   3 2 (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 122 3.50 41% 1.40 7.70 P
IAMPROUD 5 1 1 11   21 35 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 0.40 S
SHASHKA 2 3 3 47   48 46 (albright ge)INIRIO J 119 8.00 15.90  
SMOKE AND MIRRORS 1 5 5 5   513 514½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 6.40  
SCR  SPILL THE TEA               (hillegass alexand)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-3   04/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:141 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR NOVEL 2 1 1 1 13 18 113¾ (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 30% 2.40 0.10 W
SUPER REIGN 5 2 2 2 23 28 213¾ (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 4.50 8.10 P
TASTY'S BULLSEYE 4 3 4 3 38 317 323½ (mick r)FLORES E 124 15.00 24.80  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 1 4 35 44 4 417½ 425 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 124 8.00 9.50  
JOHNNY ICE 3 5 59 5 510½ 521 529¼ (stowers michelle)BAKER J 124 10.00 16.00  
SCR  DOUBLE KATZ               (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  FLAHERTY               (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  GIANFORTE               (shea timo)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00    
SCR  RENEE'S Z VA               (d' anthony)LLOYD W 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   04/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTOMATE 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 1¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 16% 5.20 2.00 W
BUILT THAT WAY 4 5 3 3 3 3½ 2¼ (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 4.00 P
KATHERN'S JOY 2 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 3¼ (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 31% 2.20 9.20 S
LEGIT (IRE) 6 4 54 4 4 4¾ 4½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 25% 3.00 2.50  
BOYS OF QUEENS 5 6 6 610 511½ 5 5 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 6.00 19.10  
VITESSE 1 3 44 57 612 611¾ 6 (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.00 2.90  
 
PEN-5   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK LILY 2 3 1½ 1   1 1 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 3.00 1.30  
OUR JESSICA JOAN 3 1 2½ 2   2 2 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 2.20 P
NYX AND CHAOS 1 2 31 3   3 317 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 64% 0.60 1.00 S
SCR  GO HALAINN               (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
SCR  MAMI CHULA               (carpio erin)FLORES E 121 8.00    
SCR  STANDUP OR SHUT UP               (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 9% 10.80    
 
PEN-6   04/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:133 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURT AND SPARK 3 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 11 1¼ (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 15% 5.80 1.30 W
HOLD THE IRISH 2 4 42 5 53 21 2¼ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 7.80 P
DIGGERS DIAMOND 4 1 3½ 3½ 3½ 3 3 (noble james)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 2.50 1.40 S
RIPPOLINO 1 5 53 42 4 42 4 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 8% 11.20 5.40  
I SEE THE STARS 5 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 5 510 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 10.00 9.90  
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES               (johnston rob)CORA D 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SOUL FIGHT               (hillegass alexand)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-7   04/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIME SQUASH 2 2 11 1½ 11 11 1 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.90 W
SPECTACULLARI 5 5 5 4 21 21 2 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 P
SMART TART 6 6 7 7 710½ 4 3 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 5.80  
NORTHERN CROSS 1 1 3 53 5 55 46 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 14% 6.00 3.70  
FALSE RULING 4 4 4 3 44 3 5 (farley j)LLOYD W 122 10.00 51.70  
TINAS SHINING STAR 3 7 6 6 6 79 610 (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 117 2.50 3.30  
BROOKLYN MOJO 7 3 21 2½ 3 6 711 (salinas jose)CORA D 119 12.00 9% 10.10 29.50  
 
PEN-8   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREEN STAR 3 5 4 4   3 1nk (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 22% 3.60 0.60 W
BERMONDSEY 5 2 32 2   21 2nk (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 2.50 8% 10.90 3.90 P
GIMME A JAMESON 6 1 1 1   11 32 (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00 4.60  
IRON CLASH 2 4 68 5   5 4 (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 122 15.00 68.90  
TALENTED T J 4 3 2 3   4 5 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 119 4.50 7.80  
SILVER TOKEN 1 6 57 69   69 6 (o'callahan car)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 8% 10.90 9.60  
SCR  ROYAL KAZ               (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.