Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - April 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSIN COUSIN Mar15 Feb16       (lake a)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 3.00 ★    
2  BELLA PRIMA Mar04 Feb01       (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  NO MORE MISCHIEF Jan27         (englehart)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Feb16 Jan25       (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
5  SHOW'EM WHO'S BOSS         (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Mar25 Feb16 Jan25     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50    
2  SHASHKA Mar11 Feb18       (albright ge)INIRIO J 119 8.00 ★    
3  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Mar25 Mar11 Feb08 Jan14   (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  LEGS LIKE SHACK Apr01 Jan25       (fields ke)VARGAS L 119 2.50 ★    
5  IAMPROUD Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 Jan11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  SPILL THE TEA Apr07 Mar18 Feb11 Jan19   (hillegass alexand)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-3   04/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER ARANGUIZ Apr07 Mar30 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  FLAHERTY Mar30 Feb08 Jan25     (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  RENEE'S Z VA Mar23 Feb23       (d' anthony)LLOYD W 121 15.00    
SCR  GIANFORTE Mar30 Mar16       (shea timo)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 ★    
5  WAR NOVEL Apr08 Mar25 Mar09 Feb25 Feb18 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  JOHNNY ICE Feb08         (stowers michelle)BAKER J 124 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE KATZ Feb23 Jan25       (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
8  TASTY'S BULLSEYE Feb08 Jan25       (mick r)FLORES E 124 15.00    
9  SUPER REIGN Mar23 Mar16 Jan28     (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-4   04/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITESSE Mar30 Mar15 Jan12     (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.00 ★    
2  KATHERN'S JOY Apr01 Mar15 Mar04 Feb20 Jan26 (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  AUTOMATE Jan19         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
4  BUILT THAT WAY Apr07 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 ★    
5  BOYS OF QUEENS Mar04 Feb15 Jan28 Jan07   (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 6.00    
6  LEGIT (IRE) Mar15 Feb07 Jan16     (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-5   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO HALAINN         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
2  NYX AND CHAOS Mar25 Mar04 Feb01     (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 64% 0.60    
3  PINK LILY Apr06         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 3.00 ★    
4  OUR JESSICA JOAN         (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  MAMI CHULA         (carpio erin)FLORES E 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  STANDUP OR SHUT UP Mar16 Feb16       (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 9% 10.80    
 
PEN-6   04/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPPOLINO Mar30 Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 8% 11.20    
SCR  SOUL FIGHT Mar30 Mar11 Feb15 Jan19   (hillegass alexand)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
3  HOLD THE IRISH Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
4  COURT AND SPARK Mar09 Feb17 Jan23 Jan09   (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Mar30 Mar09 Feb23 Feb08   (johnston rob)CORA D 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  I SEE THE STARS Mar30 Mar18 Feb02 Jan11   (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 10.00    
7  DIGGERS DIAMOND Mar29 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 (noble james)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   04/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN CROSS Mar22 Mar11 Mar01     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  LIME SQUASH Mar08 Feb22 Jan11     (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  TINAS SHINING STAR Mar11 Jan23       (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 117 2.50 ★    
4  FALSE RULING Mar30 Mar18 Feb22 Feb01   (farley j)LLOYD W 122 10.00    
5  SPECTACULLARI         (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  SMART TART Mar18 Feb25 Feb11 Feb01 Jan12 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
7  BROOKLYN MOJO Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Jan04   (salinas jose)CORA D 119 12.00 9% 10.10    
 
PEN-8   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL KAZ Feb23 Feb08       (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
2  SILVER TOKEN Apr08 Mar25 Mar09 Feb18 Jan25 (o'callahan car)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
3  IRON CLASH Mar25 Mar11 Jan25     (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 122 15.00    
4  SCREEN STAR Apr08 Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 Jan07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  TALENTED T J Mar15 Mar02       (ippolito mark)BAKER J 119 4.50 ★    
6  BERMONDSEY Mar23 Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 Jan07 (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 2.50 8% 10.90    
7  GIMME A JAMESON Apr06 Mar02 Feb16     (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.