Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:134 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMATERASU 4 2 3½ 1nk 1½ 12½ 12¾ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 2.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
3  QUEEN ROSEMARY 3 3 52¼ 51¼ 31 22½ 22¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★ 2.70 P
1  BACKSTREET GAL 1 4 1½ 2nk 53½ 47 310½ (milosevic )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00 6.30  
5  AMI'S LINK 5 1 2½ 3.2 2½ 36½ 414¼ (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 45% 1.20 1.60  
2  LAURA'S ANGLE 2 5 42 41¼ 43½ 58 516¼ (nichol kevi)INIRIO J 120 6.00 ★ 15.00  
SCR  MISS SPRINKLES               (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BAVARIA 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 11 12½ (farro patricia)BEATO INOEL 113 10.00 5.30  
6  TRENDING UP 6 1 21 31 2nk 21 22½ (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.40 P
2  SIMMONS 2 2 42½ 43 31½ 33 35½ (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 ★ 19.50 S
5  CRYPT 5 6 54½ 54½ 43½ 44 46¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 19% 4.20 8.40  
1  TUCKERTON BAY 1 4 31 2½ 53¾ 514 515 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 2.50 ★ 5.60  
3  LONG TOM 3 5 67½ 68½ 67¾ 614½ 616 (salinas jose)BERRIOS C 120 15.00 ★ 20.50  
 
PEN-3   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JESSE THE GREAT 5 8 64¼ 41½   2½ 1½ (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.50 W
9  GLOSSY MADRINA 9 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 2½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 6% 16.00 4.30 P
4  WOW FACTOR 4 6 41¾ 31   31½ 31 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.70 5.90 S
6  MISS PARFAIT 6 4 2nk 2nk   42½ 44¼ (fields kevin)CORA D 122 5.00 15% 5.70 7.10  
2  TIP TOP TAPPER 2 1 3.2 52   55½ 54¾ (shea h)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 3.10  
7  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 7 5 52¼ 62½   66½ 67¼ (albright amy)FLORES E 122 6.00 ★ 16.70  
3  R CHERRY 3 10 1010¾ 76½   710 711 (mick stephen )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00 97.30  
10  NORMANS GIRL GAYLE 10 7 910¾ 98½   813 815¾ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00 38.80  
8  SHAKEM 8 2 75¼ 87½   916 920 (martinez a)OTERO P 122 15.00 ######  
1  MUNNY CALL 1 9 87¾ 109   1018 1020¼ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 54.90  
SCR  LEFTATTHEALTAR               (krebs stev)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 10.00    
SCR  SOCIAL EXCLUSION               (hillegass al)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SMOKE AND MIRRORS 6 1 2nk 11½   12½ 12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 ★ 6.70  
7  AWESOME TAP 7 4 710¾ 66¼   45 22 (nunley rand)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 6.40  
4  SHE'S A GUNFIGHTER 4 5 33 21½   22½ 32½ (albright )VARGAS L 122 3.00 8% 11.70 2.80 S
5  PSYCHE 5 2 1nk 31½   33 43½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 10.10  
1  PEACEARELLA 1 3 56¼ 45½   57 55¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 60% 0.70 1.30  
3  MY BRIDGET VERDOT 3 7 68¼ 76¼   611 68 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 8.00 ★ 17.40  
2  FOXYNBOSSY 2 6 43¼ 55¾   714½ 715¼ (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 ★ 8.10  
 
PEN-5   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NEVERLOOKBACK 5 1 33 32   31½ 11¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 14% 6.10 3.80 W
3  WONDER IN 3 4 2½ 1nk   11½ 21¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 20% 4.10 1.30 P
1  THE GREAT CASBY 1 6 58 68¼   46½ 33¼ (moreno tito)CAMILO D 122 10.00 17.90  
2  HEY CONGRATS 2 3 1½ 2nk   21½ 44¼ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.70  
6  C C'S WARRIOR 6 5 69½ 58   57 55½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 8% 11.00 32.30  
4  SURE WOULD FOREST 4 2 47 47   67½ 612¾ (graci a)OTERO P 122 3.50 ★ 6.90  
 
PEN-6   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:141 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLO MY BUDGET 7 5 64½ 63¼ 21½ 13 13¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 50% 1.00 0.80 W
2  ADY'S MUNNY 1 2 21 22 32 45 23¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 ★ 6.20 P
5  BENCH PRESS 4 7 75 75¼ 54½ 56 34 (agnew naoise)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 19.80  
6  RISEN SAVIOR 5 6 43 53 65½ 35 44 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 6.00 6.30  
3  ORASHI 2 4 11 12 11½ 23 56¾ (albright r)FLORES E 122 15.00 60.80  
7  GANDI 6 1 53 42½ 43 610½ 613¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 7.80  
4  DRAGON BALLET 3 3 32 32 79½ 725½ 736 (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 4.50 13% 6.70 3.50  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOST IN NEWYORK 3 5 32 3½   2nk 11 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 9% 10.70 4.50 W
1  FIVE STAR PHIL 1 2 21 1nk   1nk 21 (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.00 P
2  YO NESSROUNDONKERN 2 3 42½ 41   32 34½ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 ★ 3.10 S
4  STORMY BONNIE 4 6 54½ 54   55¼ 47¼ (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 3.60  
6  GIMME A JAMESON 6 1 11 2nk   42¼ 510¼ (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 24% 3.20 3.80  
5  THE GHOST OF N Y 5 4 67½ 69   68¼ 616¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★ 25.30  
 
PEN-8   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:123 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAXIMUS AURELIUS 1 3 21½ 21½ 15 19 112 (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 35% 1.80 0.20 W
3  URBAN MYTH 2 2 33 32 25 29 212 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 3.00 32% 2.20 3.50 P
5  KINSALER 3 1 11½ 11½ 35 312½ 318¼ (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 8% 10.90 10.90 S
6  SPOOKY ONE 4 4 45 43 49 423½ 440¾ (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 4.00 ★ 6.90  
SCR  FLAHERTY               (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
SCR  TOUCH OF PRINCE               (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-9   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FLOWER'S FORTUNE 10 1 22 21½ 11 1½ 12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 ★ 2.00  
3  SLEEPY N JOYFUL 3 5 32½ 33 21 2½ 22 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 50% 1.00 2.90 P
6  FAVORITE DOLL 5 3 44½ 44½ 31 3½ 32½ (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 120 20.00 8.70  
1  HONESTA 1 7 911 911 813¾ 89¼ 45¼ (jacavone john )CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 11.10  
2  ABOVE THE LINE 2 4 12 11½ 41¼ 43½ 56¼ (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 12.00 9.20  
4  SWITCHRATTLENROLL 4 6 65½ 66 67¼ 68½ 66½ (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 3.50 4.60  
7  SEEKING THE THRONE 6 8 55½ 55 56¼ 56½ 78 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 10.80  
8  SHOW MAID 7 9 88 78 710¼ 78¾ 89¼ (valdez mo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 5% 18.50 33.20  
9  ARCTICA 8 2 76 89½ 914¼ 913¼ 912¾ (flores l)FLORES E 120 20.00 47.50  
10  EMPRESS NEFERTITI 9 10 1012½ 1015 1020¼ 1021¾ 1032¼ (albright am)INIRIO J 120 8.00 ★ 28.10  
SCR  YELLOWSTONE GIRL               (velazquez a)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 4.00 21% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.