Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSTREET GAL Jan22         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 12.00    
2  LAURA'S ANGLE Feb02 Jan14       (nichol kevi)INIRIO J 120 6.00 ★    
3  QUEEN ROSEMARY Jan19         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
4  AMATERASU Jan10         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  AMI'S LINK Jan19         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MISS SPRINKLES Jan28         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUCKERTON BAY Jan26 Jan04       (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 2.50 ★    
2  SIMMONS Jan26 Jan07       (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 ★    
3  LONG TOM Feb11 Jan26       (salinas jose)BERRIOS C 120 15.00 ★    
4  BAVARIA Feb02 Jan25       (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 10.00    
5  CRYPT Jan26         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  TRENDING UP Jan19 Jan04       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-3   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNNY CALL Jan28         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00    
2  TIP TOP TAPPER Jan14         (shea h)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
3  R CHERRY Jan26 Jan14       (mick stephen )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
4  WOW FACTOR Jan28         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.70    
5  JESSE THE GREAT Jan26         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  MISS PARFAIT         (fields kevin)CORA D 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
7  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jan26 Jan12       (albright amy)FLORES E 122 6.00 ★    
8  SHAKEM Jan28         (martinez a)OTERO P 122 15.00    
9  GLOSSY MADRINA Jan26 Jan14       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 6% 16.00    
10  NORMANS GIRL GAYLE Jan14         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Feb08 Jan14       (hillegass al)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
SCR  LEFTATTHEALTAR Jan12         (krebs stev)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 10.00    
 
PEN-4   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEARELLA Jan14         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  FOXYNBOSSY         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 ★    
3  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Jan25         (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 8.00 ★    
4  SHE'S A GUNFIGHTER         (albright )VARGAS L 122 3.00 8% 11.70    
5  PSYCHE Feb01         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
6  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Jan25         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 ★    
7  AWESOME TAP Jan25         (nunley rand)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
 
PEN-5   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT CASBY Jan26         (moreno tito)CAMILO D 122 10.00    
2  HEY CONGRATS Feb09 Jan12       (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  WONDER IN Feb01         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  SURE WOULD FOREST Jan26 Jan07       (graci a)OTERO P 122 3.50 ★    
5  NEVERLOOKBACK Jan26 Jan19       (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  C C'S WARRIOR         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 8% 11.00    
 
PEN-6   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 ★    
2  ADY'S MUNNY Jan28 Jan12       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 ★    
3  ORASHI Jan28 Jan12       (albright r)FLORES E 122 15.00    
4  DRAGON BALLET Feb01         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
5  BENCH PRESS Jan28         (agnew naoise)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
6  RISEN SAVIOR Feb01 Jan04       (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  GANDI Jan28 Jan12       (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
8  BLO MY BUDGET Jan28 Jan12       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE STAR PHIL         (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jan25         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 ★    
3  LOST IN NEWYORK         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 9% 10.70    
4  STORMY BONNIE         (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
5  THE GHOST OF N Y         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
6  GIMME A JAMESON         (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-8   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOUCH OF PRINCE Feb08 Jan25 Jan11     (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 8.00 ★    
2  MAXIMUS AURELIUS Jan04         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
3  URBAN MYTH         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  FLAHERTY Feb08 Jan25       (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
5  KINSALER         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 8% 10.90    
6  SPOOKY ONE Jan28 Jan07       (albright r)FLORES E 124 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-9   02/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONESTA Feb01 Jan14       (jacavone john )CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
2  ABOVE THE LINE Feb02 Jan19       (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 12.00    
3  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Jan26 Jan04       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Feb01         (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 3.50    
SCR  YELLOWSTONE GIRL Feb01 Jan25 Jan03     (velazquez a)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 4.00 21% 3.90    
6  FAVORITE DOLL         (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 120 20.00    
7  SEEKING THE THRONE Feb02         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
8  SHOW MAID Feb01         (valdez mo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 5% 18.50    
9  ARCTICA Feb01         (flores l)FLORES E 120 20.00    
10  EMPRESS NEFERTITI         (albright am)INIRIO J 120 8.00 ★    
11  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Jan22 Jan01       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.