Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:14 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FELLOW 1 3 1½ 11 2nk 2nk 12 (gonzalez cl)HERNANDEZ A 115 2.00 36% 1.80 1.40 W
CHILLING SECRET 2 2 2½ 21 1nk 1nk 22 (reynolds a)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 4.90 P
ORASHI 4 5 3 3 3½ 33 3 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 1.60 1.10 S
SECOND LINE DAVID 5 1 4 43 4 46 48 (crane clovis)CORA D 122 4.00 32% 2.20 7.00  
JOZANI R V F 3 4 55 57 5 57 511½ (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
 
PEN-2   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR LASSIE 3 5 34 3½   1½ 12 (graci a)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 36% 1.80 0.30 W
TUFF BIRD 1 3 22 2nk   2½ 22 (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 4.00 P
GROTON ST SCOUT 2 2 44 4   3 32 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 27% 2.70 6.00 S
TIZ PROMISING RVF 4 4 59 57   45 45 (zalalas michael)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 11.80  
SMOKIN CLASS 5 1 12 1nk   57 510 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 9% 9.70 21.50  
SCR  MARIE FROM PARIE               (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 124 8.00    
 
PEN-3   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:214 :45 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOW FACTOR 2 1 2 21   1nk 11 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 46% 1.20 1.90 W
WINDY GLO SAL 6 2 1 11   2nk 21 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 1.80 20% 4.10 0.70 P
ABOVE THE LINE 1 4 3 35   34 33 (miller marl)VARGAS L 120 5.00 15.80 S
OH SO JAZZY 4 6 411½ 4   5 4 (nunley rand)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 9.30  
BLEZNIATKA 3 3 512 5   4 5 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 17.50  
SHOW MAID 5 5 612½ 612½   6 65 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 8% 11.30 8.50  
 
PEN-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G DADDY 6 1 1 2nk   2nk 1 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 8% 12.20 1.60 W
HESASMOKIN 1 7 4 5   32 2 (hillegass ale)NUNEZ Y 120 15.00 29.80 P
WONDER IN 4 4 2 1nk   1nk 3 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 120 1.60 61% 0.60 1.20 S
I SEE THE STARS 7 3 55 4   43 4 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 120 4.00 9.00  
GRANDFIRE 5 2 33 3   54 55 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6.90  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 2 5 68 6   7 6 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 6% 14.90 16.30  
SHADOW BOAT 3 6 79 7   6 7 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00 15.70  
 
PEN-5   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CHEEKS 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 1nk (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 31% 2.30 2.90 W
OUR BELLA NICOLE 3 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk (trombetta michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 29% 2.40 6.60 P
ADVOCATE HARBOR 2 1 4 44 3 34 3 (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 112 1.50 2.00 S
LADY FOX 1 5 5 57 4 47 4 (gonzalez claud)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 2.50 1.10  
DENALI RAE 5 2 2½ 3 58 518 526¾ (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 117 8.00 24.30  
 
PEN-6   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:113 1:244   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELMS DEEP (GB) 3 2 1½ 1 14 1 1 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 12% 7.30 9.90 W
MY MAGICAL MAN 1 1 4 4 47 4 2 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 120 4.00 7.10  
REBEL RULER 2 3 2½ 2 24 2 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00 S
DOMINANT FACTOR 4 5 57 510 510½ 5 4 (hillegass ale)NUNEZ Y 120 5.00 22.20  
CRYPT 5 4 3 3 3 3 512¼ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.60 1.10  
SCR  ROYAL'S INVASION               (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 118 15.00    
 
PEN-7   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY OF DREAMS 1 3 4 3½   11 14 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 52% 0.90 1.10 W
EXTRA CRUNCHY 2 5 2nk 41   31 24 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 4.00 2.60 P
BOUND BY TRUTH 3 2 1nk 1nk   21 3 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 8.00 9.30  
FAIRY DREAMS 4 4 53 5   55 48 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50 5.10  
SPECIAL BEAM 6 1 3½ 2nk   44 511¼ (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 119 3.00 4.50  
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 5 6 6 6   6 612¾ (hillegass ale)NUNEZ Y 122 5.00 24% 3.20 26.80  
 
PEN-8   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 2 5 41 31   1 18 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 47% 1.10 0.80 W
BUFF AND SHINE 7 1 3½ 1½   2 28 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 3.40 P
DOUBLE TIME BAY 1 4 1½ 4   3 313¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50 15.60 S
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 3 7 7 7   6 414¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 3.50  
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 6 3 5 6   7 515 (rawles alcin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00 24% 3.10 28.30  
LTL BEAR SALOON 5 2 2½ 2½   44 615¾ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 121 4.00 16.80  
THE LITTLE SPROUT 4 6 6 52   57 717¼ (zalalas michael)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 13.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.