Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FELLOW Apr29 Apr02 Mar09 Feb08 Jan11 (gonzalez claud)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.00 36% 1.80    
CHILLING SECRET Apr29 Mar23 Feb18 Feb02 Jan13 (reynolds a)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
JOZANI R V F Mar09 Feb11 Feb02 Jan07   (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ORASHI Apr29 Mar25 Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 1.60    
SECOND LINE DAVID Apr29         (crane clovis)CORA D 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
 
PEN-2   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF BIRD         (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50    
GROTON ST SCOUT Mar23 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12   (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
FAIR LASSIE Apr21 Mar18 Jan14     (graci a)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  MARIE FROM PARIE Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb22   (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 124 8.00    
TIZ PROMISING RVF Apr28 Apr08 Mar23 Feb22 Feb09 (zalalas michael)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
SMOKIN CLASS Mar30 Mar08 Feb18 Jan25 Jan04 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 9% 9.70    
 
PEN-3   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE THE LINE Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 (miller marl)VARGAS L 120 5.00    
WOW FACTOR Apr28 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Jan28 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
BLEZNIATKA Apr28         (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
OH SO JAZZY Mar30 Jan26       (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 6.00    
SHOW MAID Apr28 Apr07 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
WINDY GLO SAL Apr27 Mar15 Feb09 Jan19   (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 1.80 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESASMOKIN Apr21 Mar29 Mar16 Feb02 Jan11 (hillegass alexandra)FLORES E 120 15.00    
SHOWER THE PEOPLE         (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
SHADOW BOAT Apr22 Mar18 Mar11 Feb08 Jan11 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00    
WONDER IN Apr21 Mar29 Feb16 Feb01   (beattie d)WHITNEY G 120 1.60 61% 0.60    
GRANDFIRE Apr04 Mar04 Feb23 Jan25   (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
G DADDY Apr21 Mar18 Feb23 Feb01   (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 8% 12.20    
I SEE THE STARS Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 Feb02 Jan11 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 120 4.00    
 
PEN-5   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY FOX May01 Apr01 Mar22 Feb25 Jan16 (gonzalez claud)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 2.50    
ADVOCATE HARBOR Apr05 Mar15 Feb16 Jan25   (reid rober)GOMEZ ANTONIO 112 1.50    
OUR BELLA NICOLE Mar25 Mar04 Feb01     (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
BIG CHEEKS Apr06 Mar08       (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
DENALI RAE Apr01 Mar16 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 117 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAGICAL MAN Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar08 Feb23 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 120 4.00    
REBEL RULER Apr29 Mar16 Feb25 Feb09   (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  ROYAL'S INVASION Apr22 Jan11       (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 118 15.00    
HELMS DEEP (GB) Apr22 Apr01       (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
DOMINANT FACTOR Apr29 Mar20 Mar01 Feb18 Jan14 (hillegass alexandra)FLORES E 120 5.00    
CRYPT Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
PEN-7   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY OF DREAMS Apr21 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan19 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
EXTRA CRUNCHY Jan19         (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 4.00    
BOUND BY TRUTH Apr21 Mar29 Jan11     (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 8.00    
FAIRY DREAMS Apr22         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50    
SOCIAL EXCLUSION Apr20 Mar25 Mar11 Feb08 Jan14 (hillegass alexandra)FLORES E 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
SPECIAL BEAM         (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 119 3.00    
 
PEN-8   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TIME BAY Apr27 Mar25       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Apr22 Mar22 Mar02 Jan28 Jan07 (kreiser c)FLORES E 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB)         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
THE LITTLE SPROUT Apr27         (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00    
LTL BEAR SALOON Apr08 Feb08 Jan12     (houghton thom)INIRIO J 121 4.00    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Mar23 Feb25       (rawles alcin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
BUFF AND SHINE Apr27 Mar23 Mar01 Feb08 Jan04 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.