Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CUCKOO FORCONONUTS 2 2 11 1½   11 12½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 55% 0.80 5.60 W
4  ORIGINALY FROM DOT 4 3 42 2½   21 22½ (riviezzo ralp)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 2.00 ★ 0.90 P
1  FAIR LASSIE 1 4 31½ 31½   35 35¾ (graci a)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 12% 7.10 3.50 S
3  MS TEEK 3 1 21 44   414 417 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★ 2.20  
SCR  TRIXIE'S TIME               (moreno tito)FLORES E 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   04/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:42   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEACEARELLA 2 1 11 12 12½ 12 11¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.20 40% 1.50 0.50 W
3  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL 3 2 21 22 33½ 22 21¼ (cooper steve)WHITNEY G 124 15.00 13% 6.70 13.70 P
1  LIFE IS ETERNAL 1 4 32 32 22½ 32 32½ (geist david)VARGAS L 124 4.00 ★ 3.80 S
5  V W TURBO 5 3 42½ 42½ 44 48½ 414¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 25% 3.00 5.30  
4  AWESOME TAP 4 6 65½ 66¾ 510 512 518¾ (nunley randy)LLOYD W 124 10.00 14.70  
6  SIMPLE JUSTICE 6 5 54½ 56½ 613 615 619 (mick r)FLORES E 124 5.00 ★ 19.90  
 
PEN-3   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROCKET BLAST 7 1 52½ 43   42 1½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 0.60  
7  C C'S WARRIOR 6 6 42 53   52½ 2½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 9% 10.40 20.50 P
5  WONDER IN 4 3 11 11½   11½ 3¾ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 13% 6.60 4.20 S
1  WOLFINBARGER 1 4 31½ 32   32 41¾ (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 ★ 17.90  
6  G DADDY 5 2 21 21½   21½ 53 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 5.40  
4  BLUEGRASS POSSE 3 5 66 66½   65 64¾ (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 10% 8.90 7.60  
2  HESASMOKIN 2 7 79 79   76½ 76¼ (hillegass alexandra)FLORES E 124 12.00 36.90  
SCR  VICTORY ELEMENT               (hillegass ale)INIRIO J 124 5.00 41% 1.50    
 
PEN-4   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST 3 1 2½ 11   12½ 1½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 20% 4.10 16.00 W
1  CARDI G 1 4 1½ 21   22½ 2½ (velazquez dani)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.50 ★ 6.00 DQ↓4
4  TIMELY TRADITION 4 3 54 33   43½ 31¾ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 38% 1.60 0.30 P
5  TANYA'S GEM 5 5 33½ 43   33½ 42 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 5.60 S
2  ALLURE FORTUNE 2 2 44 54   55 53¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 ★ 8.40  
 
PEN-5   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  POSITIVE FORCE 2 3 1nk 11   13 17½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 10.00 11% 8.20 13.80 W
4  MORISSETTE 4 4 56½ 59   46½ 27½ (betancourt eli)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00 ★ 9.70 P
3  UNO TIGRESS 3 1 2nk 21   23 38¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.50 31% 2.30 0.30 S
1  MAD MARY 1 5 42½ 45   59 49¾ (arce josue)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 8.80  
5  LADIES SIGNATURE 5 2 31 34   34½ 520¾ (moreno-barban leandr)FLORES E 122 2.50 18% 4.60 4.10  
SCR  GRACE'S DRAMA               (santaella-cal)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-6   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NIMITZ CLASS 6 2 21 1nk   12 13¼ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 62% 0.60 0.30 W
7  MACHO SMOKE 7 3 42 32½   22 23¼ (velez irvin)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 ★ 5.20 P
5  LONG TOM 5 4 714 712   611½ 39 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 34.80  
1  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 1 6 32 42¾   36½ 410¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 ★ 9.50  
2  DREAMERS REWARD 2 5 53½ 52¾   510 514¼ (wames j)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 30.40  
4  GANDI 4 1 11 2nk   47½ 616 (albright r)FLORES E 121 3.50 10% 8.80 11.50  
3  PAGE DOWN 3 7 612½ 611¾   721½ 739¼ (agnew naoise)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 ★ 11.50  
 
PEN-7   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAJESTIC GREELEY 6 4 31½ 1½   14 12¼ (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 20% 4.00 0.90 W
7  SKY OF DREAMS 7 1 53½ 42   24 22¼ (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 44% 1.30 1.30 P
2  MYSTERY ITEM 2 6 42 53½   59½ 38 (kravets m)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 ★ 11.90 S
3  LOIS'S CAUSE 3 3 1½ 2½   36 410 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
1  BOUND BY TRUTH 1 5 2½ 32   48 510¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 10.00 32.60  
5  ESTA CHUCK 5 7 78½ 68½   613 611¾ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 ★ 29.50  
4  ALDINA 4 2 65 78¾   717 718¼ (carpio erin)FLORES E 122 10.00 49.40  
 
PEN-8   04/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:142 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIA ANGELINA 2 1 31½ 2nk 11½ 14½ 11 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 13% 6.40 3.60 W
6  ALLISON K 6 4 68 610½ 611½ 58 21 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 4.10  
7  GIZMO'S DESTINY 7 6 55 53½ 53½ 35 32¼ (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 ★ 6.70 S
1  NEARLY MISSED 1 5 21½ 31½ 21½ 24½ 43¼ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 49% 1.10 8.10  
3  INTROSPECTION 3 2 43½ 42 42½ 47½ 59 (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 8% 11.30 1.20  
4  MAGALIE 4 3 11½ 1nk 32½ 611 616½ (ferreira ferna)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 20.00 28.40  
5  WICKED T 5 7 724 740½ 766½ 771 785½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00 ★ 13.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.