Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RON DON SCORESE 4 1 12 11 1 1½ 1¾ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 17% 4.90 0.60 W
SEPICATO 1 4 3 3 3 2½ 2¾ (wames j)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 7% 12.70 5.50 P
CRUSH IT 2 3 43 21 2 3½ 3 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 1.80 44% 1.30 1.50 S
PAL CAL 3 2 22 4 48 411½ 423 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 14.90  
SCR  MOTI               (graci a)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON MUSIC 1 3 3 31   32 1½ (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 13% 6.70 1.50 W
FED CHAIR 4 1 11 1½   1½ 2½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 30% 2.40 3.00 P
GANDI 5 2 21 2½   2½ 3¾ (albright ge)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 12.20 S
CRITICAL THINKING 2 4 4 42   4 4 (shea timothy )INIRIO J 121 3.00 22% 3.50 8.90  
WISH FOR PEACE 6 5 5 56   510½ 511 (stites w)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 6.80  
SASSY LAD 3 6 6 611   619 633½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 4.00 2.80  
 
PEN-3   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:22 :443       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVAGERY 6 1 1nk 12   15 1 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 57% 0.80 1.50 W
PAPA TONY 5 3 3 35   3 2 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 15.40  
NICE WEATHER 3 2 2nk 22   25 3 (agnew naois)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 6% 14.80 1.60 S
CHEEK TO CHEEK 4 6 66 6   4 44 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
11  VICTOR'S DYNASTY 7 4 5 48   5 55 (farro patri)HERNANDEZ A 113 12.00 8.40  
NAUTICAL NATURE 2 5 45 58   610½ 69 (o'hearn heather)LLOYD W 120 12.00 21.20  
PRATT 1 7 711 715½   717 715¾ (stites p)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 40.60  
SCR  BOURBON CURRENCY               (wolfe j)VARGAS L 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  MISTER GARY               (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
SCR  RAILMASTER               (merryman mi)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
SCR  WHERE YOU WAS               (rogers w)BAKER J 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINGTON 2 5 410½ 5 4 3 1nk (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 0.50  
SEIZE THE DAY 5 2 13 14 1 1½ 2nk (feliciano be)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 5.00 12% 7.40 7.30 P
GALLINIPPER 3 1 23 24 2 2½ 3 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 26% 2.90 12.20 S
MAIN COOL CAT 1 4 510½ 4 32 42 4 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 26% 2.90 3.10  
CANTSTOPRUNNING 4 3 3 35 54 58 513½ (ashton patrick)CORREA JULIO 122 4.00 6.10  
 
PEN-5   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMATERASU 6 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 1¼ (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 120 2.50 34% 1.90 4.50 W
MY DIXIE LASS 3 5 42 2nk 1nk 2nk 2¼ (lawrence ja)VARGAS L 117 3.50 2.60 P
QUEEN ROSEMARY 4 2 2nk 42 32 32 3¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 4.70 S
SWAN POINT 2 4 53 6 5 46 4 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 4.50 4.90  
MELODIA 1 6 6 31 6 619 523 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 8.00 15.50  
MALDIVES MODEL 5 3 3 5 4 516 633½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 44% 1.30 1.80  
 
PEN-6   05/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:124 1:394   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER YET 2 2 4 22 2nk 2nk 1¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 1.90  
SLEEPY N JOYFUL 1 4 1 12 1nk 1nk 2¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 2.70  
KATY THE CAT 6 1 5 4 310 37 37 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 24% 3.10 5.40 S
JANELLE DREAMS 4 6 613¾ 610 413 4 4 (perez rupert)CABALLERO HECTOR 118 10.00 14.90  
MINESHAFT MAGIC 5 5 2 35 515 531½ 544½ (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 16% 5.40 2.50  
STUY TOWN BABY 3 3 3 59 617½ 636½ 645¼ (ramirez silvin)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 8.00 9.10  
SCR  KITTEN'S PEEBLES               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  LIFE ON THE EDGE               (salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
 
PEN-7   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:142 1:28   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S DESTINY 1 5 4 4 3 3½ 1nk (beattie d)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 4.70  
ALLISON K 5 6 66 6 54 2nk 2nk (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 23% 3.40 3.60 P
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 3 2 31 2 1½ 1nk 35 (wolfe j)VARGAS L 124 6.00 8.50  
TEACHER DRAMA 2 3 53 5 4 42 4 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 1.30  
NEARLY MISSED 4 1 1½ 1 2½ 5 512¼ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 124 5.00 8.00  
INTROSPECTION 6 4 2½ 3 64 6 614¾ (moreno-barban leand)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 47% 1.10 4.90  
 
PEN-8   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IAMPROUD 2 2 1 16   111½ 116½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 35% 1.90 1.50 W
DIAL ME MAYBE 5 1 2 36   211½ 216½ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 119 2.50 23% 3.30 0.90 P
SMOKE AND MIRRORS 4 3 3 26   312 316¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 8.00 11.70 S
PRETTY SPECTACULAR 1 5 5 511¼   520½ 418¾ (crane clovis)WHITNEY G 122 10.00 11.70  
REAWAKENED 3 4 47 411   420 522 (meister willi)INIRIO J 122 8.00 7% 13.30 5.70  
SCR  BROOKLYN MOJO               (salinas jose)CORA D 119 10.00    
SCR  THREE POTATOE FOUR               (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.00 10% 9.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.