Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEPICATO Jan14         (wames j)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 7% 12.70    
2  CRUSH IT Apr01 Feb15 Jan28     (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  MOTI Apr11 Mar11 Feb11 Jan13   (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
4  PAL CAL Apr07 Mar16 Jan28 Jan07   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
5  RON DON SCORESE Apr01 Mar04 Feb15 Jan28   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
 
PEN-2   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON MUSIC Apr22 Mar22 Mar02     (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  CRITICAL THINKING Apr06 Mar16       (shea timoth)INIRIO J 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  SASSY LAD Jan12         (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 4.00 ★    
4  FED CHAIR Apr06 Mar15 Feb15 Feb01   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  GANDI Apr21 Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 (albright r)FLORES E 123 6.00 ★    
6  WISH FOR PEACE Apr07 Mar16 Feb15 Feb01   (stites w)AGUILAR M 121 6.00    
 
PEN-3   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHERE YOU WAS         (rogers w)BAKER J 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  MISTER GARY Apr22 Mar29 Mar16 Mar08 Feb11 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
3  PRATT Feb08 Jan19 Jan07     (stites p)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
4  NAUTICAL NATURE Mar30 Mar01 Feb15 Jan28   (o'hearn heather)LLOYD W 120 12.00    
5  NICE WEATHER Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 Jan12   (agnew nao)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 6% 14.80    
6  CHEEK TO CHEEK Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 Jan26   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAPA TONY Apr06 Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
SCR  RAILMASTER         (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
9  SAVAGERY Apr21         (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  BOURBON CURRENCY         (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
11  VICTOR'S DYNASTY Mar15 Feb28       (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIN COOL CAT Mar29 Mar15 Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  CURLINGTON Apr14 Mar26 Jan07     (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 ★    
3  GALLINIPPER         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  CANTSTOPRUNNING Apr20 Apr04 Mar04 Feb11 Feb01 (ashton patrick)CORREA JULIO 122 4.00 ★    
5  SEIZE THE DAY Apr08 Feb24 Feb18 Jan22 Jan02 (feliciano )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
PEN-5   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODIA Mar11 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11   (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 8.00    
2  SWAN POINT         (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 4.50 ★    
3  MY DIXIE LASS Apr05 Feb18 Jan14     (lawrence )RODRIGUEZ R 117 3.50 ★    
4  QUEEN ROSEMARY Apr27 Mar02 Feb16 Jan19   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
5  MALDIVES MODEL         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  AMATERASU Mar29 Feb16 Jan10     (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-6   05/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Mar22 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
2  BETTER YET Mar29 Feb09 Jan12     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
SCR  LIFE ON THE EDGE Mar08 Feb08 Jan28     (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
4  STUY TOWN BABY Mar21 Feb28 Feb02     (ramirez silv)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 8.00    
5  JANELLE DREAMS Apr13 Apr05 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 (perez rupe)CABALLERO HECTOR 118 10.00 ★    
6  MINESHAFT MAGIC Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  KITTEN'S PEEBLES Mar09 Feb08 Jan28     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
8  KATY THE CAT Mar22 Mar04 Feb09     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO'S DESTINY Apr21 Apr06 Jan04     (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 ★    
2  TEACHER DRAMA Apr28 Mar29 Mar22 Mar04 Feb15 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 ★    
3  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Apr06 Mar18 Mar04 Jan19 Jan04 (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 124 6.00    
4  NEARLY MISSED Apr21 Apr06 Mar04 Feb22 Jan04 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 124 5.00 ★    
5  ALLISON K Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 Mar18 Mar04 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  INTROSPECTION Apr21 Apr08 Mar18 Mar09 Feb09 (moreno-barban lea)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-8   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Apr27 Feb21 Jan31 Jan12   (crane clovis)WHITNEY G 122 10.00    
SCR  THREE POTATOE FOUR Apr18 Apr06 Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  BROOKLYN MOJO Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Jan04 (salinas jose)CORA D 119 10.00    
4  IAMPROUD Apr20 Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  REAWAKENED Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Jan14   (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 8.00 7% 13.30    
6  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Apr20 Mar25 Feb16 Jan25   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 8.00 ★    
7  DIAL ME MAYBE Mar29 Mar05 Feb06 Jan23 Jan01 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.