Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:102 1:35   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN BY SPEED 1 4 5 4 33 2 1 (milian j)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 15% 5.90 2.70 W
CHARGE IT JENN 4 2 33 2 2 1 2 (carrascojr )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 16% 5.40 0.60 P
ELUSIVE RYDER 3 5 6 7 66 34 3 (velazquez daniel)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 30% 2.40 4.30 S
LADY BREXIT 6 6 44 5 43 56 4 (pattershall mar)REQUENA PEDRO 120 4.50 18.30  
FRISKY FEELING 2 7 7 6 5 69 512 (gonzalez-mili)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 6.00 16.90  
WOW FACTOR 7 1 1 1 1 45 613¾ (valdez moises)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 34.50  
LIGHTNING ROUND 5 3 2 3 7 7 714¼ (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 45.00  
SCR  QUEEN ROSEMARY               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-2   08/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:214 :44       :551   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE FIRE 3 2 21 2½   12 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 13% 6.80 2.10 W
MIZZEN MONEY 4 3 33 3   3 2 (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 1.90 P
MADE TO HUSTLE 5 1 11 1½   22 3 (rogers rona)RODRIGUEZ R 117 4.50 3.70  
GLOBAL NATION 2 5 48 46   47 4 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 8% 11.30 2.90  
LUPI 1 4 510 515   519 527¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 10.70  
SCR  ACT OF VALOR               (mick stephen)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 8.00    
SCR  MISTER GARY               (carpio erin)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
SCR  TRADERS LUCK               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 8.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  UNIMPEACHABLE               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-3   08/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:212 :44       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DAY DIVA 4 2 2 32   3.2 1¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 4.10  
PAPI'S BABY GIRL 5 3 32 2   2nk 2¼ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 12% 7.10 5.10 P
ZIPPY JO 6 1 1 1   1nk 3¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 10.20  
GRAND SKYLARK 2 5 4 4   4 4 (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 0.70  
BALI 1 4 510½ 510½   5 5 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 5.40  
SMOKIN CLASS 3 6 611 612½   6 611 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 20.00 44.20  
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE               (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  WILDCATTIN               (shaw j)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 12.00 7% 13.00    
 
PEN-4   08/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:23 :471       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SIMPLY STATED 8 8 4     1 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00 6.50  
IOANNA 7 4 3.2     3 2 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 118 8.00 6.60  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 4 1 2nk     2 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 29% 2.50 1.70 S
ROSE OF SHANAKILL 3 6 5     56 47 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 20.00 19.20  
OUTSPEND 6 3 7     6 5 (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 6.90  
FORTUNE TELLER 5 2 1nk     44 6 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 25% 3.00 4.10  
MADISON COUNTY 2 5 6     7 712 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00 7.80  
UPTOWN ANGEL 1 7 810¾     812 815¼ (wames j)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
SCR  SPECIAL REWARD               (crane clovis)WHITNEY G 118 5.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  TICK ALERT               (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN CHESTNUT 2 1 1 15   15 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 4.80  
HIS NAME IS SUE 4 5 2 25   25 2 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 1.60 72% 0.40 0.50 P
AGAINST THE ODDS 1 4 6 610½   58 3 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00 8.60  
KUDURO 3 2 5 59   48 4 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 9.80  
KADENS COURAGE 5 6 36 36   3 5 (arce josue)REQUENA PEDRO 122 6.00 6.50  
IMPACTFUL 6 3 46 49   611 611¾ (hawthorne anne)CORA D 122 6.00 21.20  
SCR  CUMBERLAND GAP               (shea h)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
SCR  SUNMAN               (pickett cryst)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKES SHIRL 1 6 5 43   11 12 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 5.00 5.60  
COLOUR GUARD 2 1 2nk 3   3 22 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 75% 0.30 1.10 P
ROCKIN COWBOY 3 7 83 6   43 3 (gonzalez-mili)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 3.00 3.00 S
GO HUSKIES 5 2 31 54   5 44 (correnti arman)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 22.50  
SIR ROCKPORT 8 4 1nk 1   21 5 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.50 14.40  
COAST TO COAST 6 5 6 7   77 6 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 120 8.00 5.20  
DREAMING OF LOVE 7 3 4 2   66 7 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 34.10  
AFLEET TRAXX 4 8 7 8   812 819¾ (miller a)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 18.60  
 
PEN-7   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELITE SPEED 3 4 33 33   3½ 11 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 15% 5.80 2.10 W
ORIGINALY FROM DOT 1 3 2 2   2½ 21 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 7.80 DQ↓9
MARIE FROM PARIE 5 2 1 1   1½ 3 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 12.00 25.10  
BETTER YET 8 1 56 68   4 4 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 22% 3.50 1.80 S
TIZ PROMISING RVF 2 9 711½ 813½   79 5 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
COTTON CANDY CUTIE 7 8 6 56   5 6 (santaella-cal)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 21% 3.80 4.50  
RIDGELYSREDHOT 4 7 815½ 713   810½ 710 (oliva robert)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00 43.40  
SPLENDOR GAL 9 6 4 45   6 812¾ (perez t)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00 11% 8.10 13.90  
ABOVE THE LINE 6 5 9100 9100   9100 9100 (miller marlin )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 21.00  
 
PEN-8   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133 1:262   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PEPE TONO 10 2 43 4 1nk 1½ 11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 29.00  
THE ROBERT 9 8 65 64 3.2 2½ 21 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 15% 5.90 3.00 P
EDICT (ARG) 3 9 10 10 6 5 3 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 6% 17.00 1.90 S
CATTLE DRIVE 5 5 5 53 4 44 45 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 50.00 90.20  
MEROCKETMAN 4 3 1 1 2nk 3½ 56 (shuchman al)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 13% 6.90 5.40  
AMERICAN FLEET 2 4 32 32 74 6 6 (santaella-calder)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00 4.50  
DIAMOND SETTER 8 1 2 2 5 7 7 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00 18.10  
FOR THE MOMENT 6 10 75 8 8 8 8 (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 24.50  
ESPRESSO CALIENTE 1 6 8 74 1011 913¾ 910¼ (sinnefia paul)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.50 6.80  
POCOPSON STATION 7 7 9 95 9 1020¾ 1025¼ (ippolito mark)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 47.40  
SCR  FLIGHT RISK               (kantarmaci il)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.50 42% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.