Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVEN BY SPEED Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 Jun01   (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
2  FRISKY FEELING Jul20 Jul13 May24 May16 Apr13 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 6.00    
3  ELUSIVE RYDER Aug02 Jul02 Jan03     (velazquez dan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  CHARGE IT JENN Jul06 Jun17 May06 Apr16 Mar23 (carrascoj)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  QUEEN ROSEMARY Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May07 Apr27 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 12% 7.20    
6  LIGHTNING ROUND Jul15 Jul01 Jun09 May06 Mar23 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
7  LADY BREXIT Jul27 Jun11 May16 Apr12 Mar09 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50    
8  WOW FACTOR Jul13 Jun16 May12 Apr28 Mar23 (valdez moises)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   08/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTER GARY Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Mar29 (carpio er)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
SCR  TRADERS LUCK Jul27 Jun30 Jun10     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 8.00 7% 13.00    
3  LUPI Jul27 Jul14       (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
4  GLOBAL NATION Jun23         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 8% 11.30    
SCR  UNIMPEACHABLE May30 Mar23 Jan18     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
6  LIVE FIRE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
7  MIZZEN MONEY Aug03 Jul06 May25 May13 Apr22 (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
8  MADE TO HUSTLE Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 May18 (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50    
SCR  ACT OF VALOR Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May21 Apr22 (mick steph)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 Feb18 Jan14 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
2  GRAND SKYLARK Jul28 Jul07 Jun17 May26   (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
3  SMOKIN CLASS Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 May12 Mar30 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 20.00    
4  LUCKY DAY DIVA Jul29 Jun30 Jun11     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
5  PAPI'S BABY GIRL Jun30 Jun11 May27     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  WILDCATTIN Jul29 Jun25       (shaw j)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 12.00 7% 13.00    
7  ZIPPY JO Jul14         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 May30 Apr25 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-4   08/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPECIAL REWARD         (crane clovis)WHITNEY G 118 5.00 6% 16.70    
2  UPTOWN ANGEL         (wames j)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TICK ALERT         (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MADISON COUNTY         (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00    
5  ROSE OF SHANAKILL Jul27         (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 20.00    
6  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  FORTUNE TELLER         (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
8  OUTSPEND Jul27         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
9  IOANNA         (sinnefia )VARGAS L 118 8.00    
10  SIMPLY STATED         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00    
 
PEN-5   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAINST THE ODDS Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 May11 Apr08 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
2  AMERICAN CHESTNUT Jul13 Jun23 May20 May06   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
3  KUDURO Jun03 May20 Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  CUMBERLAND GAP Jun09 May25 May11 Apr27 Mar30 (shea timothy )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  SUNMAN Jun09 May27 May14 Apr22 Apr09 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00 ★    
6  HIS NAME IS SUE Jun15 May11 Apr06 Feb23 Jan12 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 1.60 72% 0.40    
7  KADENS COURAGE Jun06 May02 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 (arce josue)REQUENA PEDRO 122 6.00    
8  IMPACTFUL Jun21 Jun14 May03 Apr20 Mar28 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00    
 
PEN-6   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIKES SHIRL Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 May25 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 5.00 ★    
2  COLOUR GUARD Jul13 Jun22 May21 May06 Apr08 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 75% 0.30    
3  ROCKIN COWBOY Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun14 May25 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 3.00 ★    
4  AFLEET TRAXX Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 May20 (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
5  GO HUSKIES Aug01 Jul20 Jun27 May31 May11 (correnti armand)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00    
6  COAST TO COAST Jul13 Jun10 May25 May11 Apr08 (sinnefia )VARGAS L 120 8.00 ★    
7  DREAMING OF LOVE Jul14 Jun29 Jun16 May20 May06 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
8  SIR ROCKPORT Jun03 May05 Apr08 Feb11 Jan26 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 May13 Apr21 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
2  TIZ PROMISING RVF Jul06 Jun24 Jun10 May27 May12 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELITE SPEED Jul14         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
4  RIDGELYSREDHOT Jul06 Jun03 May20 Mar04 Feb09 (oliva robert)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00    
5  MARIE FROM PARIE Jun23 May27 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 12.00    
6  ABOVE THE LINE Jul13 Jun16 May27 May12 Mar23 (miller marli)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
7  COTTON CANDY CUTIE Aug01 Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 May24 (santaella-c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 21% 3.80    
8  BETTER YET Jul22 Jul01 Jun09 May07 Mar29 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
9  SPLENDOR GAL Jul13 Jun23 Jun13 May23 May10 (perez flores)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00 11% 8.10    
 
PEN-8   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 Apr06 Mar16 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.50    
2  AMERICAN FLEET Jul11 Jul04 Jun25 Jun01 Apr13 (santaella-cald)HIRALDO JOHN 124 15.00    
3  EDICT (ARG) Apr08 Mar11 Feb13 Jan21   (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 6% 17.00    
4  MEROCKETMAN Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr27 Mar30 (shuchman )HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
5  CATTLE DRIVE Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 May05 Mar29 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 50.00    
6  FOR THE MOMENT Jul22 Jun22 Jun09 Mar15 Mar04 (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00    
7  POCOPSON STATION Jul28 May26 Mar11 Mar01 Feb11 (ippolito mark)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
8  DIAMOND SETTER Jul14 Jun22 Jan26 Jan12   (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00 ★    
9  THE ROBERT Jul27 Jun30 Jun07 Apr13 Mar21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 15% 5.90    
10  PEPE TONO Jul22 Jul14 Jun02 May05 Mar29 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
SCR  FLIGHT RISK Jul19 Jun15 May25 May09 Mar01 (kantarmaci )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.