Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - July 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:104 1:374   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROLLEY RIDE 2 4 3 32 2nk 12 1 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 23% 3.40 2.50 W
CHAMPAGNE TOAST 4 3 21 21 3 3 2 (vera miguel)AVILES YAN 113 6.00 13% 6.90 3.90 P
SOUR MASH 5 1 11 11 1nk 22 3 (kreiser timothy )CONNER TYLER 124 1.50 1.60 S
TOMARIE 3 2 54 5 5 4 47 (bouchard leslye)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 6.60  
BABY GUNDIN 1 5 4 42 43 5 512½ (collazo lui)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 34% 2.00 3.60  
 
PEN-2   07/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:221 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS RUNAWAY 2 1 12 1   1 1 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 66% 0.50 0.40 W
STANDUP OR SHUT UP 5 2 22 2   2 2 (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 8% 12.00 4.10 P
BUTTON CANDY 7 3 67 48   310½ 311¼ (hillegass alexa)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 22.80 S
SOULSTONE 1 5 57 710½   614½ 411½ (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 6.10  
WIN FOR LAILA 3 7 7 5   514 518 (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 12.60  
MI PRINCESS DI 6 4 3 36   413½ 620½ (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 76.10  
PRINCESS ROCIO 4 6 4 610½   722½ 733¾ (martinez jo)VARGAS L 122 12.00 32.30  
 
PEN-3   07/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:214 :44       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO BE HUMBLE 7 1 1½ 11   12 1 (mcmahon demelza)ALVELO C 120 1.60 49% 1.00 1.40 W
COURT AND SPARK 8 5 3½ 21   22 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 9% 9.60 2.10 P
BOURBON CURRENCY 6 4 2½ 31   3 3 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 13% 6.70 4.70 S
FLASHINTHENIGHT 1 7 6 6   46 4 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 8% 12.10 4.20  
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 5 6 5 55   6 5 (borges israel)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 68.40  
NAUTICAL NATURE 4 3 74 7   79 6 (o'hearn heather)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 31.40  
TOMASCO 3 2 41 4   5 710 (farley j)LLOYD W 120 20.00 78.90  
KING ECLIPTICAL 2 8 86 8   811 814¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 17.00  
 
PEN-4   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:143 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLISON K 3 5 5 59 5 3 1¼ (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 1.50 28% 2.60 0.90 W
ARCTICA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 14 2¼ (flores wand)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 18% 4.40 4.50 P
TEACHER DRAMA 5 4 4¾ 32 34 47 3 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 2.30 S
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 4 2 3½ 2½ 2nk 24 411 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 4.50 7.60  
LADYOFDRAGONSTONE 2 3 2½ 4 4 513 516¾ (kravets m)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 18% 4.70 26.80  
LANA 6 6 6 611 616½ 618 625¼ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 17.90  
 
PEN-5   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :452 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODO SOLA 4 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 1.30  
SPUNKY ZOEY 1 1 3 3   2½ 2¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 55% 0.80 1.60 P
SCOREBOARD LILY 2 4 4 4   42 34 (guerrero car)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 5.00 11.00 S
MYRA FLEENER 3 5 5 54   5 4 (maymo j)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 14.80 DH
ASUE 5 2 2nk 2nk   32 4 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 17% 4.80 2.90 DH
SCR  ABBY THE BULL DAWG               (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST 1 1 31 3   1nk 1 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 37% 1.70 3.10 W
POLISHED GEM 2 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 2 (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 3.80 P
OUR SWEET GIRL 4 3 2½ 1nk   3.2 3 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 17% 5.00 0.40 S
FALSE RULING 3 4 4 43   4 419½ (martinez jo)VARGAS L 118 12.00 13.30  
SCR  LIME SQUASH               (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
SCR  TANYA'S GEM               (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C'S WARRIOR 4 1 2½ 22   2 1½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 28% 2.50 1.10 W
ROCKIN COWBOY 3 2 1½ 12   1 2½ (gonzalez-mili)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00 14% 6.20 1.00 P
PECOS BILL 2 3 3 312   3 38 (bartoni way)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 7.90 S
GO HUSKIES 1 4 4100 4100   4100 4100 (correnti arm)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 4.00 5.80  
SCR  CALL ME G Q               (hawthorne bobbi )ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  RUN FAST               (penaloza mig)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.50    
 
PEN-8   07/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:131 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET SOULMATE 2 3 2½ 2½ 11 13 1 (reynolds a)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 1.40  
FIFTH ELEMENT 4 1 1½ 1½ 21 23 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 1.40 54% 0.90 0.70 P
HE CAME TRUE 1 2 3 3 38 37 3 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 6.50 S
MARC WELLS 3 5 511½ 512 515 413 413½ (kravets bru)VARGAS L 124 6.00 22% 3.50 11.50  
COMPACT 5 4 4 4 413 517 522¼ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 121 6.00 29.40  
SCR  JOHNNY ICE               (stowers michell)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.