Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - August 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:111 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LIMONADA 5 6 64 77 6 31 1 (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 5.80  
IN A SPIN 7 3 5 55 43 4 2 (matz michae)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00 2.10  
SWAN POINT 6 7 75 66 7 6 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 8.70 S
WITCH 2 5 42 21 21 21 4 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 38% 1.70 2.70  
A CASE OF YOU (IRE) 3 2 2 4 53 53 5 (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.90  
MOON CHANT 4 4 1 11 11 11 6 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 23% 3.40 4.50  
NO EASY ANSWER 1 1 32 33 32 7 7 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 11% 8.00 40.00  
SCR  QUEEN ROSEMARY               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   08/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:112 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ON CLARA 5 6 6 4 1½ 1 15 (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 22% 3.60 2.50 W
MONSTER RISING 1 4 5 53 6 3 25 (guerrero me)NUNEZ Y 122 3.50 21% 3.90 1.10 P
WORKIN ECLIPTICAL 2 3 1nk 2nk 2½ 2 3 (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 14.30  
10  BOHEMIA BABE 6 1 2nk 1nk 32 4 4 (mercedes p)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 8.00 10.00  
TIP TOP TAPPER 3 5 43 6 5 59 511 (shea h)CORA D 122 8.00 11.40  
HIGH DOLLAR DATE 4 2 3 32 4 610 615¼ (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 3.60  
SCR  CUENCA               (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
SCR  FREYSINGER               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND               (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
SCR  MYSTERY ITEM               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:122 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDTHEFLIGHT 3 1 2½ 3 32 22 1 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 120 3.50 3.00  
VISUAL ARTIST 1 5 3½ 2½ 2nk 12 2 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 41% 1.40 1.60 P
MR HOOVER 7 6 810¾ 7 7 43 36 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 8.60  
10  KAZ SUGAR BANK 8 8 6 6 4 54 4 (synnefias)VARGAS L 118 15.00 41.40  
OUR HOISTED MAST 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 3 5 (mcmahon dem)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 113 4.50 2.10  
BORSA VENTO 6 3 5 4 6 7 69 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 25% 3.00 21.70  
COWBOY MALICE 5 4 41 53 5 6 7 (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 15.00 38.40  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 2 7 710½ 8 810¼ 816½ 829¾ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
SCR  BERMONDSEY               (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
SCR  ICY STORM               (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00    
SCR  JACKS AMERICAN PIE               (dandy ronald)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-4   08/03/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:11 1:35   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING TIL DUSK 8 6 5 7 3 32 1¼ (white alexa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 20% 4.10 3.50 DQ↓4
MY DIXIE LASS 2 8 8 8 7 44 2¼ (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 27% 2.60 1.70 P
BELLA PRIMA 1 1 1½ 1 11 11 2¼ (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 6.10  
BECKON 3 2 6 43 21 21 2¼ (merryman )RODRIGUEZ R 113 3.50 15% 5.70 4.50 P
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 4 5 32 53 63 6 5½ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 18.20  
SPIRIT OR SPITE 7 3 2½ 2 52 5 6 (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 ######  
VOLADOR 6 7 7 6 42 75 7 (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 120 4.00 3.70  
LIKEUONLYPRETTIER 5 4 42 3 8 87 85 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 10% 9.30 30.70  
 
PEN-5   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEMENZA 3 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 1¼ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.90 W
MIZZEN MONEY 5 3 3.2 1nk   2½ 2¼ (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 27% 2.60 0.80 P
MASON MANIA 1 5 4 4   3 33 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 17% 5.10 3.20 S
CAPTAIN CARDO 2 4 5 5   4 46 (volpe joh)VARGAS L 122 8.00 16.10  
AMIGOS GUITAR 4 1 1nk 3½   56 511¾ (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 6.50  
SCR  MAINE               (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 20.00    
SCR  SPOOKY ONE               (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZILLION 4 5 5 4 12 14 1 (girten ti)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 39% 1.60 4.30 W
SOUL STORY 2 8 8 7 22 24 2 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 6% 15.10 4.40 P
CHAIN REACTION 7 7 7 5 54 410 310¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 14% 6.20 1.40 S
LTL BEAR SALOON 1 1 1nk 1nk 33 38 412½ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12.10  
STREET LAMP 6 2 4 6 64 511½ 515¼ (sillaman )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 20% 3.90 3.20  
TURNS 3 4 3.2 3.2 4 612 615¾ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 26.90  
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 8 6 6 8 85 713 715¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 53.60  
SECRET SOULMATE 5 3 2nk 2nk 7 814 820 (reynolds joan )CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 14.60  
 
PEN-7   08/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA LASSIE 3 1 33 3 1½ 15 1 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 33% 2.10 1.80 W
EARLY FROST 2 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 25 2 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 8% 11.00 7.10 P
WILL TAKE ROSES 4 2 4 5 43 3 3 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 0.90 S
FAVORITE DOLL 5 5 55 4 32 4 410½ (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 10.00  
JUSTIN TIME 1 3 1½ 1½ 58 516½ 531¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00 6.60  
SCR  SWEET BLAME               (hawthorne bobb)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WOW FACTOR               (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-8   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:221 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMERS REWARD 3 3 2 1½   13 1 (wames j)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 W
WINNERS WIN 1 5 56 4   35 2 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 20.30  
CREATIVE MAGIC 5 1 32 32   45 3 (lucas bo)FLORES JR 122 4.00 9.50  
GREY QUEST 2 2 1 2½   23 4 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 17% 4.90 1.10  
NIGHTENFORD KAZ 7 7 610 6   69 510¾ (barbalios va)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 24.50  
PEAKY BLINKERS 4 4 46 55   5 610¾ (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 3.50 32% 2.10 6.00  
HAPPY GUY 6 6 710½ 710½   710 713¾ (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00 5% 19.00 51.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.