Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Wednesday - August 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   08/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO EASY ANSWER Jul07 Jun15 May26     (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  WITCH Jun30 Jun03       (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
3  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Jul01 Jan03       (crook-demasi ka)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
4  MOON CHANT Jul06 Jun24 Jun06     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  LA LIMONADA Jul15 Jul01 Jun15     (reck christophe)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
6  SWAN POINT Jul20 Jul01 May07     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 ★    
7  IN A SPIN Jul11 Jun18 May01 Mar25 Feb04 (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00    
SCR  QUEEN ROSEMARY Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May07 Apr27 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   08/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREYSINGER Jul01         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
2  MONSTER RISING Jul05 Jun21 Jun11 May31 May16 (guerrero s)CASTILLO A 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
3  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Jul15 Jul01 Jun15     (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND Jul15 Jul01 Jun09 May06 Mar23 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
SCR  MYSTERY ITEM Jun15 Jun02 Apr21     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 ★    
6  TIP TOP TAPPER Jun15 Jun02 Mar30 Mar11 Feb16 (shea h)CORA D 122 8.00    
7  HIGH DOLLAR DATE Jul01 Jun10       (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
8  CALL ON CLARA Jul13 Jun15       (reck christoph)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CUENCA Jul01 Jun11 May30     (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
10  BOHEMIA BABE Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 Jun04 May23 (mercedes pedr)RAMOS C 115 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL ARTIST Jul05 Jun15 Apr20 Mar19 Feb26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  JACKS AMERICAN PIE Jul05 Jun13 May24 May02 Apr06 (dandy j)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 5.00    
3  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Jul01 Jun10 May12     (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOLDTHEFLIGHT Jun16 Apr20 Mar28 Feb13   (padilla-preciado)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  BERMONDSEY Jul07 Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr20 (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
6  OUR HOISTED MAST Jul02 Jun24 May19 May06 Apr07 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.50 ★    
7  COWBOY MALICE Jul14 May27 May11     (stites flint)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 15.00    
8  BORSA VENTO Jul15 Jul05 Jun15 May30 May11 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
9  MR HOOVER Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May13 Apr28 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
10  KAZ SUGAR BANK Jun30 Jun10 Apr30 Mar27 Feb23 (synnefias d)VARGAS L 118 15.00    
SCR  ICY STORM Jul03 Jun11 May07 Apr27 Apr08 (flores-coba)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00    
 
PEN-4   08/03/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA PRIMA Jul01 Apr20 Mar04 Feb01   (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 ★    
2  MY DIXIE LASS Jul09 May25 May07 Apr05 Feb18 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 27% 2.60    
3  BECKON Jun18 Jun05       (merryman mic)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jul15 Jun16 Jun01     (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
5  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER Jun17 May26 May05     (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
6  VOLADOR Jul01 Jun05 May21     (mcmahon demelza)ALVELO C 120 4.00    
7  SPIRIT OR SPITE Mar05 Feb08       (harigeorgiou ko)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
8  DANCING TIL DUSK Jun25 Jun05 May05 Apr24   (white alexand)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-5   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPOOKY ONE Jun29 Jun03 May13 Apr28 Apr08 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
2  MASON MANIA Jul21 Mar25 Jan28     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 17% 5.10    
3  CAPTAIN CARDO Jun24 Jun11 May29 May08 Apr16 (volpe john)VARGAS L 122 8.00 ★    
4  CLEMENZA Jun28 Jan18       (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  AMIGOS GUITAR Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 May26   (graci a)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
6  MIZZEN MONEY Jul06 May25 May13 Apr22 Jan11 (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  MAINE Jul27 Jun25 Jun16 May30 Apr11 (lopez r)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 20.00    
 
PEN-6   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LTL BEAR SALOON Jul07 Jun11 May21 May12 Apr08 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
2  SOUL STORY Jul07 Jun11 May26 May13 Apr29 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 6% 15.10    
3  TURNS Jul13         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
4  ZILLION Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May13 (girten tim)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  SECRET SOULMATE Jul20 Jun25 Jun05 Apr30 Apr14 (reynolds a)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
6  STREET LAMP Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 May21 May08 (sillaman ri)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  CHAIN REACTION Jul20 Jul01 Jun09 May13 Apr27 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
8  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Jun29 Jun02 May12     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   08/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN TIME May06 Mar29 Feb22 Jan14 Jan04 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00    
2  EARLY FROST Jul14 Jun15 May26 Apr28 Mar29 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  WOW FACTOR Jul13 Jun16 May12 Apr28 Mar23 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BONITA LASSIE Jul06 Jun15 May24 May05 Mar26 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  SWEET BLAME Aug02 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 May10 (hawthorne bobbi )CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  WILL TAKE ROSES Jul14 Jun29 Jun11 May13 Mar22 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 ★    
7  FAVORITE DOLL Jul14 Jun02 May19 Mar22 Mar02 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
 
PEN-8   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNERS WIN Jul15 Jul01 Jun20 Jun14 May21 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
2  GREY QUEST Jul15 Jun23 May11 Mar29 Mar02 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
3  DREAMERS REWARD Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr21   (wames j)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  PEAKY BLINKERS Jul08 Jun23 Jun02     (kravets bru)VARGAS L 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  CREATIVE MAGIC Jul08 Jun30 Jun15 May14 Feb25 (lucas bonn)FLORES JR 122 4.00    
6  HAPPY GUY Jul15 Jun30 Jun17 May20 May05 (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  NIGHTENFORD KAZ Jun30 Apr15       (barbalios vars)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.