Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:161 1:414   1:553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICER APPEAL 1 1 1 1 11 1 115 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.20 47% 1.10 0.30 W
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE 3 5 3 2 21 2 215 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 4.50 6.10 P
RIGHTEOUS MAN 6 6 6 53 3 3 316 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 12% 7.00 4.00 S
STEP OUT DANCING 2 3 2 3 43 414 421¼ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 10% 9.10 14.70  
CITIZEN'S FIRE 4 4 44 42 53 520 534½ (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 118 30.00 40.70  
EXPLOITATION 5 2 5 6 6 624 641¾ (straughn wi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 42.00  
 
CT-2   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:15     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BETTER ONE 1 1 53 6   6 11 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 0.60 44% 1.30 0.60 W
BOUNDTOBEOK 6 5 1½ 1½   12 21 (casey w)LARROSA G 124 5.00 14% 6.10 2.30 P
LONG LEGS LOUISE 3 3 2½ 3½   22 3 (lewis wil)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 4.00 5.60 S
JAMESTOWN ROAD 4 4 64 5   5 4 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 9.30  
LACE REVOLUTION 5 6 3 4¾   4 5 (shanley mark)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00 22.30  
TIZBIT 2 2 4 2½   32 6 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 124 30.00 10% 9.10 35.40  
 
CT-3   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:132     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE LOOKOUT 4 3 21 21   2nk 1¼ (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 120 12.00 18% 4.50 9.50 W
PROTA 7 7 11 11   1nk 2¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 28% 2.60 1.70 P
NOVA BOY 2 4 6 53   3½ 32 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 124 5.00 6.70 S
FIRE DOWN BELOW 6 6 4 32   5 43 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 23% 3.30 5.10  
KING NEKIA 1 1 32 42   43 53 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 1.70  
JEFFERY SCOTT 3 2 76 7   710 612 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 15.90  
CHRISATUDE 5 5 53 64   6 712½ (perri )ENRIQUEZ JR 115 15.00 26.80  
 
CT-4   07/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:142 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVOY 3 3 11 11 11 19 110 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 52% 0.90 2.30 W
MR HOOVER 5 5 42 4 21 29 210 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
NORTHERN RIDGE 4 4 5 5 56 312½ 310¼ (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 3.20 S
GHOST STALKER 1 1 32 6 69 518½ 412¼ (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 120 4.00 3.50  
SPITBALL 2 2 21 21 4 414½ 514 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 12% 7.40 4.20  
SAVATIANO 6 6 6 31 35 619 620 (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 120 10.00 3.90  
 
CT-5   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLONDER 3 3 2½ 21   11 1½ (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 12.00 4.80  
LUNAR IMAGE 4 5 7 7   6 2½ (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 18% 4.50 21.40 P
BONEYARDHOLLER 5 4 1½ 11   21 3¾ (laguna home)MCKENZIE CONNIE 109 6.00 21.10  
UNIMPEACHED 7 7 3 42   31 4 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 2.10  
WALK THE BANK 8 8 64 32   5 5 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 116 10.00 8.70  
DASHING CIRCLES 1 2 53 54   4 6 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 24% 3.20 1.50  
HOLIDAY AVENUE 6 6 4 6   7 714¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 22% 3.60 7.70  
TOMMY PIES 2 1 816 824½   844¾ 857 (davis russel)BATISTA A 120 20.00 7% 13.80 40.20  
 
CT-6   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL CHIC 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 53% 0.90 0.90 W
SHAMELESS RISK 2 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30 4.50 P
ALLEN CAN DO IT 6 5 65 5   33 3 (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 18.30 S
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 3 6 77 69   57 44 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 11.20  
SPUNMAN 7 7 5 44   45 56 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50 5.50  
DIVINING DANCER 5 3 43 710   721½ 625½ (covello a)CECIL Y 116 20.00 57.70  
HUMPTY GRUMPTY 4 4 3 34   6 734¼ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 3.40  
 
CT-7   07/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:22 :451       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENGUIN POWER 4 2 21     11 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 44% 1.30 0.80 W
HYPOTHESIS 2 5 54     4 2 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 2.10 P
NICO 5 1 33     31 3 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 4.20 S
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 3 3 4     5 4 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 26.30  
GOLDEN KEY 1 4 11     21 59 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 6% 15.10 7.30  
SCR  ALPINE MOON               (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-8   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:133     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC TIME 6 3 1½ 1½   1nk 1 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00 4.70  
10  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 10 8 53 2½   2nk 2 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 30% 2.40 2.20 P
TWILIGHT YEARS 9 7 32 3½   4 3 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 15.00 24.80  
BLUE N GOLD 3 2 65 6   5 4 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 4.00 12% 7.60 2.70  
ROAD SLEW 1 1 7 77   7 5 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 4.50 4.50  
HILLBILLY ROCK 2 5 43 5   6 6 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 30.00 94.10  
SUGAR LIPS 8 10 1015¾ 1014½   910¼ 710¼ (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 12.00 25.30  
REMYS GUNSMOKE 7 4 2½ 4   33 810¾ (grams tim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00 8.70  
MIO GRACELAND 5 9 911¾ 812   1010¼ 912 (sanderson wade)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
SECRET SWIRL 4 6 811¼ 912½   8 1014½ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 19.50  
SCR  FELICIAS CASTLE               (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  THUNDERINREADYRICK               (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.