Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFICER APPEAL Jun25 Jun09 Mar31 Mar18 Feb02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.20 47% 1.10    
2  STEP OUT DANCING May26 Apr21 Mar16 Jan26   (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
3  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Jun25 Jun03 May11 Apr20 Mar19 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 4.50 ★    
4  CITIZEN'S FIRE Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr23 Mar16 (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 118 30.00 ★    
5  EXPLOITATION Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02   (straughn wi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
6  RIGHTEOUS MAN Jun25 Jun03       (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 12% 7.00    
 
CT-2   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BETTER ONE Jun10 May19 May06 Apr22 Apr09 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 0.60 44% 1.30    
2  TIZBIT Jun23 May20 Apr23 Mar09 Feb19 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 124 30.00 10% 9.10    
3  LONG LEGS LOUISE Jun24 May25 May04 Apr23 Apr07 (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 117 4.00 ★    
4  JAMESTOWN ROAD Jun17 May20 Apr27 Mar16 Feb12 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 ★    
5  LACE REVOLUTION Jun24 Jun02 May11 Mar18 Mar02 (shanley mark)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00    
6  BOUNDTOBEOK Jun10 May06       (casey w)LARROSA G 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-3   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING NEKIA May26 May12 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 ★    
2  NOVA BOY Jun18         (figgins l)HO WESLEY 124 5.00 ★    
3  JEFFERY SCOTT Jun25 May28 May04 Apr21 Jan13 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
4  CAPE LOOKOUT Jul08 Jun24 May26 May06   (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 120 12.00 18% 4.50    
5  CHRISATUDE Jun24 Jun10 May19 May12 Apr02 (perri )ENRIQUEZ JR 115 15.00    
6  FIRE DOWN BELOW May26 May12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan14 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  PROTA Jun03 May12 Mar31 Mar11 Feb11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
CT-4   07/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST STALKER Jun19 May26 May14 Apr08 Mar13 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
2  SPITBALL Jul02 Jun04 May21 Apr21 Apr07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 12% 7.40    
3  SAVOY Jun24 May26 Apr20 Jan08   (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  NORTHERN RIDGE Jun25 Jun02       (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 ★    
5  MR HOOVER Jun25 Jun04 May13 Apr28 Apr01 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAVATIANO Jun25 May11 Apr08 Mar31 Mar11 (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 120 10.00 ★    
 
CT-5   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING CIRCLES Jun17 May27 Apr28 Jan20 Jan01 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
2  TOMMY PIES Jun25 Jun10 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (davis russel)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 20.00 7% 13.80    
3  PLONDER Jun09 May14 May07     (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 12.00    
4  LUNAR IMAGE Jun25 Jun10 May21 Apr23 Apr02 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 18% 4.50    
5  BONEYARDHOLLER Jun17 Jun10 May18 May07 Apr02 (laguna home)MCKENZIE CONNIE 109 6.00    
6  HOLIDAY AVENUE Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  UNIMPEACHED May27 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar10 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 ★    
8  WALK THE BANK Jul01 May14 Apr14 Mar18 Mar11 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 116 10.00    
 
CT-6   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL CHIC Jun25 Apr30       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
2  SHAMELESS RISK Jun16 May21 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Jun16 May21 May12 Mar31 Mar05 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 ★    
4  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Jun25 May21 May05 Apr16   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
5  DIVINING DANCER May27 May06 Apr22 Apr10 Mar23 (covello a)CECIL Y 116 20.00    
6  ALLEN CAN DO IT Jun25 Jun02 May12 Mar26 Mar05 (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 ★    
7  SPUNMAN Jun16 Jun02 May12 Apr16 Mar26 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50 ★    
 
CT-7   07/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN KEY Jun11 May17 Apr01 Mar10   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
2  HYPOTHESIS Jun11         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 ★    
3  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 May26 Apr27 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
4  PENGUIN POWER Jun11 Apr23 Jan29     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  NICO Jun11 Feb26 Jan26     (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  ALPINE MOON Jun18 May28 May18 Apr28 Mar25 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-8   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD SLEW Jul02 Jun17 May25 May11 Apr23 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 4.50    
2  HILLBILLY ROCK Jul02 Jun18       (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
3  BLUE N GOLD Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Feb25 Feb04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  SECRET SWIRL Jun17 Jun04 May14 Mar17 Feb25 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
5  MIO GRACELAND Jun11 May18 Apr20 Apr08 Mar19 (sanderson wade)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  EPIC TIME Jun18 May25       (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00    
7  REMYS GUNSMOKE Jul09 Jun18 May28 May11 Apr23 (grams tim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00    
8  SUGAR LIPS Jul01 Jun04 May12 Apr13 Mar23 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 12.00    
9  TWILIGHT YEARS Jun18 May18 May07 Apr13 Apr02 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 15.00    
10  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Jun18 May21 Apr23 Apr02   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  FELICIAS CASTLE Jun29 Jun11 May28 May18 Apr27 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  THUNDERINREADYRICK Jun18 May21       (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.