Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:134 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL STORY 3 4 41 4 21 1½ 12 (albright ge)VARGAS L 124 1.60 39% 1.50 1.50 W
FIFTH ELEMENT 4 2 1½ 1½ 11 2½ 22 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 10.00 6.50 P
BENCH PRESS 5 5 3½ 2½ 3 3 3 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 121 1.80 20% 3.90 3.00 S
NOTEWORTHY 2 3 52 53 43 4 4 (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 121 2.00 1.60  
CARPE SOGNO 1 1 2½ 3 58 512½ 521 (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 6% 15.00 16.60  
 
PEN-2   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURE FORTUNE 2 2 5 4   3 1hd (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 120 4.50 4.90  
MORGANS MELODY 5 3 2nk 1nk   11 2hd (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 3.00 26% 2.80 2.00 P
CUCKOO FORCONONUTS 6 4 41 3½   21 3.15 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 31% 2.20 4.50 S
BIRD TRAFFIC 4 5 6 53   4 4 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 4.90  
ORIGINALY FROM DOT 1 6 3½ 6   6 5 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 2.90  
UNO TIGRESS 3 1 1nk 2nk   5 610 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 12% 7.60 8.20  
 
PEN-3   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:214 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN NEWYORK 3 4 33 1nk   12 1½ (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 117 2.00 19% 4.30 4.70 W
MACHO SMOKE 1 6 4 33   22 2½ (velez irvin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7% 13.30 2.00 P
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 7 5 65 4   4 3 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 14.30  
PYLON 4 1 2 5   5 4 (farro patricia)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00 11.80  
LONG TOM 6 7 7 7   6 58 (salinas jose)CORA D 120 12.00 26.00  
CAPT. CANDY 2 2 1 2nk   32 6 (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 119 1.80 45% 1.20 0.90  
MISTER GARY 5 3 5 6   711 717¾ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 15.00 69.60  
SCR  CRAFTY JACK               (albright amy)FLORES E 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
 
PEN-4   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE'S DRAMA 5 5 42 11   1 1 (santaella-cal)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 1.60 26% 2.80 1.40 W
MAD MARY 2 4 32 21   2 2 (arce josue)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 19% 4.30 8.80 P
LUSCIOUS LOLA 1 1 2 53   3 3 (perez a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 2.60 S
NOT IN THE MOOD 3 3 5 3   4 411½ (pattershall )CABALLERO HECTOR 122 4.50 4.10  
LADIES SIGNATURE 4 2 1 4   511½ 530½ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 4.00 25% 3.00 3.50  
 
PEN-5   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY JANIE 6 3 5 2nk   1½ 1 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 5.00 5% 17.40 1.40 W
LEAKY CAULDRON 1 4 41 4¾   3½ 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 65% 0.50 1.90 P
POSITIVE FORCE 2 5 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 11.80 S
KAREN'S WAY 3 2 2½ 5   42 4 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 3.20  
WILL TAKE ROSES 4 6 6 6   6 57 (wolfe j)VARGAS L 120 12.00 24.60  
FIRST FOREVER 5 1 3½ 3½   5 6 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 8.80  
 
PEN-6   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLE'S NOTION 2 5 4 3   1½ 1 (pickett cryst)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00 12% 7.30 3.20 W
YANKEE EMPIRE 3 2 2nk 1½   2½ 2 (carpio erin)CORA D 122 10.00 15.60 P
ZILLION 5 6 5 54   5 3 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 37% 1.70 2.00 S
SPOOKY ONE 4 3 33 4   4 4 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 32.50  
SCARY LARRY 6 4 6 6   3 5 (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 23% 3.40 1.10  
PEACE ATTARDI 1 1 1nk 2½   6 615¼ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 119 5.00 9.10  
 
PEN-7   05/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:141 1:281   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEEMOO 3 1 42 42 32 2 1¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 25% 2.90 1.60 W
LIFE IS ETERNAL 5 5 3 3½ 1 1 2¼ (geist david)VARGAS L 121 2.00 21% 3.90 0.90 P
SIMPLE JUSTICE 2 4 54 5 47 48 36 (mick r)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 12.00 23.40 S
FREE TO RUN 4 3 2nk 1½ 2 3 4 (arnold pamela)CORA D 124 3.00 3.60  
SAW 1 2 1nk 2½ 511 518 521¼ (hillegass al)CABALLERO HECTOR 124 10.00 14.60  
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND               (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
PEN-8   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN MONEY 2 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 1 (shea h)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 16% 5.30 1.40 W
KHAKI JACK 5 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 2 (albright r)CORA D 122 6.00 4.30 P
PASSWORD PROTECTED 1 4 3 33   33 36 (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.50 S
DREAMERS REWARD 6 5 5 5   4 4 (wames j)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 8.30  
CHAIN REACTION 4 3 45 46   5 510¾ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 121 8.00 10.10  
MY MAN GEORGIO 3 6 612 611¼   611 613¾ (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 47.50  
SCR  PENSAMIENTO               (mcmahon demelza)ALVELO C 117 6.00 11% 7.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.