Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE SOGNO Mar01         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 6% 15.00    
2  NOTEWORTHY Apr08 Mar25       (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 121 2.00 ★    
3  SOUL STORY Apr29 Apr08 Mar16     (albright )VARGAS L 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
4  FIFTH ELEMENT Apr26         (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 10.00 ★    
5  BENCH PRESS Mar23 Feb16 Jan28     (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 121 1.80 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-2   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Apr21 Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
2  ALLURE FORTUNE Apr21 Feb23 Jan02     (kravets bru)INIRIO J 120 4.50 ★    
3  UNO TIGRESS Apr21 Mar09 Jan28 Jan05   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
4  BIRD TRAFFIC Apr28 Apr01 Mar04 Jan25   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
5  MORGANS MELODY Feb22 Jan25 Jan07     (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  CUCKOO FORCONONUTS Apr21 Feb22 Jan28 Jan04   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO SMOKE Apr21 Apr01 Feb02     (velez irv)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  CRAFTY JACK Apr08 Mar18 Feb15 Feb02   (albright amy)FLORES E 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
3  CAPT. CANDY Apr04 Feb09 Jan01     (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  LOST IN NEWYORK Mar02 Feb16       (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 117 2.00 19% 4.30    
5  PYLON Apr18 Mar08 Feb09 Jan10   (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00    
6  MISTER GARY Apr22 Mar29 Mar16 Mar08 Feb11 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
7  LONG TOM Apr29 Apr21 Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 ★    
8  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Apr21 Mar29 Feb15     (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUSCIOUS LOLA May02 Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Feb09 (perez ruperto)MILAN GERARDO 122 2.00 ★    
2  MAD MARY Apr21 Apr12 Mar21 Mar07 Feb16 (arce josue)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
3  NOT IN THE MOOD Mar21 Jan12       (pattershall m)REQUENA PEDRO 122 4.50 ★    
4  LADIES SIGNATURE Apr21 Mar30 Feb03 Jan13   (moreno-barban lean)FLORES E 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  GRACE'S DRAMA Apr13 Mar23 Feb15     (santaella-c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 1.60 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-5   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAKY CAULDRON Apr27 Mar18       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
2  POSITIVE FORCE Apr21         (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 ★    
3  KAREN'S WAY Apr27 Mar21 Feb28 Jan26   (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 ★    
4  WILL TAKE ROSES Mar22 Mar04 Feb22 Feb08 Jan14 (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 12.00    
5  FIRST FOREVER Apr14 Mar02 Feb11 Jan12   (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 ★    
6  GYPSY JANIE Mar07 Feb08 Jan03     (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 5.00 5% 17.40    
 
PEN-6   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACE ATTARDI Apr28         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 5.00 ★    
2  FOLE'S NOTION         (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
3  YANKEE EMPIRE Feb20 Feb11       (carpio erin)CORA D 122 10.00 ★    
4  SPOOKY ONE Apr28 Apr08 Mar16 Feb16 Jan28 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
5  ZILLION Apr22 Mar29 Feb18     (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  SCARY LARRY Apr28 Apr08 Mar06 Feb11 Jan10 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-7   05/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAW Apr30 Mar18 Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 10.00    
2  SIMPLE JUSTICE Apr21 Mar04 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (mick stephen)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 12.00 ★    
3  MEEMOO Apr22 Mar18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
4  FREE TO RUN Apr28         (arnold pamela)CORA D 124 3.00 ★    
5  LIFE IS ETERNAL Apr21 Apr01 Mar15 Feb11 Jan14 (geist dav)VARGAS L 121 2.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND May06 Mar23 Mar08 Mar02 Feb09 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
PEN-8   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENSAMIENTO Apr22         (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 117 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  PASSWORD PROTECTED Apr28 Apr08 Feb21     (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  MIZZEN MONEY Apr22 Jan11       (shea h)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  MY MAN GEORGIO Apr27 Apr08 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
5  CHAIN REACTION Apr27 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan12 (houghton th)INIRIO J 121 8.00 ★    
6  KHAKI JACK Apr22         (albright r)CORA D 122 6.00 ★    
7  DREAMERS REWARD Apr21         (wames j)WHITNEY G 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.