Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE FORCE 2 3 11 1   18 110¼ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 2.00 17% 4.80 0.60 W
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 3 2 42 3   39 210¼ (rathman elis)GILARDO COURTNEY 117 3.00 5.50 P
FAIRY DUST 4 1 21 2   28 311¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 35% 1.90 1.50 S
MAD MARY 1 4 3 4   412 416¾ (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 11% 8.00 19.00  
SCR  HUSH Y'ALL               (gorham michae)MARIN A 124 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :45       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NITRO TIME 6 1 1 11   1 1 (santillana frank)CORA D 118 3.00 46% 1.20 3.80 W
SPEEDY MOONLITE 4 4 2 21   2 2 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 2.40 P
RAILMASTER 3 3 55 45   4 3 (merryman mi)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 14% 6.00 1.40 S
KITTEN'S MAN 1 5 4 32   33 4 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 13% 6.70 3.50  
PAPA TONY 5 6 66 57   5 510 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 118 10.00 31.10  
AMERICAN QUALITY 2 2 33 613   632½ 660¼ (guerrero guada)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 20.80  
 
PEN-3   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASON MANIA 1 8 52 46   3 1¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 31% 2.20 5.60 W
YANKEE EMPIRE 8 4 1½ 1   14 2¼ (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 14.20  
SASSY LAD 6 2 2½ 3   4 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 5.20 S
GANDI 4 1 62 5   5 42 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 33% 2.00 2.30  
ALPHA SIXTY SIX 7 6 4 2   24 5 (crook-demasi k)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 8.00 4.10  
SCARY LARRY 2 9 98 810½   6 610 (kreiser timothy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 11% 8.50 8.40  
FREEDOM'S START 3 5 87 911   710¾ 711 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 69.40  
BUFF AND SHINE 5 7 76 67   812¾ 812 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 27.50  
10  QUICK WIT 9 3 31 7   915¾ 923¾ (mcmahon demelza)ALVELO C 120 10.00 4.60  
SCR  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT               (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAINST THE ODDS 1 4 4 31   2½ 1¾ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.50 20% 4.00 0.80 W
SPIKES SHIRL 5 1 3 1nk   1½ 2¾ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.80 P
TOP HAT TREASON 4 5 5 5   35 310¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 20.20 S
WHO YOU SAY I AM 3 3 2nk 2nk   4 419¼ (smith r)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 7.40  
PAGE DOWN 2 2 1nk 4   59 519¾ (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50 34% 2.00 6.30  
 
PEN-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE BEND 2 4 5 3   1nk 1 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 31% 2.20 1.20 W
READY AND RICH 3 3 3 2nk   2nk 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 2.60 P
GRAB THE GOLD 4 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 34 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 3.60 S
KITTEN'S SOLUTION 1 2 2½ 42   44 4 (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 19% 4.20 8.70  
NO MORE TALK 5 5 4 5   59 513 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 4.50 4.80  
SCR  MINE THE COIN               (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-6   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:134 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY HYDRATED 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk (ness jamie)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 8% 10.80 2.30 W
TRENDING UP 3 5 53 4 2½ 2nk 2nk (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 41% 1.40 1.60 P
MIDNIGHT HAULER 1 4 4 5 33 3 35 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 20% 4.00 1.80 S
EAGLES CRY 2 3 32 3 5 5 4 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 29.60  
RON DON SCORESE 4 1 2½ 2½ 4 47 5 (kreiser timo)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 5.00 5.60  
SCR  LORD WINSALOT               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80    
 
PEN-7   07/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:153 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 4 3 2½ 2½ 2 22 1¼ (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 9.40  
YOURINDENIAL 3 2 1½ 1½ 1 12 2¼ (gonzalez-mili)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 8.00 14.30 P
FLECHE D'AMOUR 2 4 32 42 3 3 3½ (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 1.60 22% 3.50 1.80 S
SIREN'S LUCKY SONG 5 5 42 32 4 48 410½ (d'angelo fr)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 48% 1.10 0.60  
SIMPLE JUSTICE 1 6 6 53 57 510 514½ (mick r)BAKER J 120 8.00 15.50  
BROOKLYN MOJO 6 1 5 6 69 611½ 616½ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 37.80  
 
PEN-8   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIOUS SINGER 1 2 1 15   110 112½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 23% 3.30 1.20 W
COTTON CANDY CUTIE 3 1 53 3   411½ 212½ (santaella-cal)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 8.00 6% 15.00 20.20 P
STORMY SPELL 2 4 2 25   210 312¾ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 4.70 S
SILENT FLUIDITY 5 6 32 58   511¾ 413 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50 24% 3.20 8.70  
ORIGINALY FROM DOT 4 5 4 48   311½ 514 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 12.30  
CUCKOO FORCONONUTS 6 3 69 6100   6100 6100 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 24% 3.10 1.70  
SCR  SPLENDOR GAL               (perez flores )RAMOS C 115 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.