Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD MARY Jun29 Jun02 May23 May13 Apr21 (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
2  POSITIVE FORCE Jun29 Jun15 May13 Apr21   (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 2.00 17% 4.80    
3  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Jun30 Jun11 Apr07 Mar09 Feb18 (rathman el)GILARDO COURTNEY 117 3.00 ★    
4  FAIRY DUST Jul07 Jun16 May25 Apr29 Mar08 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  HUSH Y'ALL Jun25 Apr20 Mar18 Feb27 Jan12 (gorham mich)MARIN A 124 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   07/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S MAN Apr08 Mar04 Feb09     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  AMERICAN QUALITY Jun03 Mar22 Mar07 Feb08 Jan04 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 8.00 ★    
3  RAILMASTER Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 May30   (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 14% 6.00    
4  SPEEDY MOONLITE Jun29 Jun03 Jan11     (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 ★    
5  PAPA TONY Jun29 Jun09 May21 May07 Apr06 (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 118 10.00    
6  NITRO TIME Jun21 Apr08 Mar31 Feb18   (santillana frank)CORA D 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON MANIA Mar25 Jan28       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
2  SCARY LARRY Jun11 May13 Apr28 Apr08 Mar06 (kreiser timot)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
3  FREEDOM'S START Jul13 Jun24 Jun09 May27   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
SCR  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May21 May11 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
5  GANDI Jun24 May27 May07 Apr21 Apr08 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  BUFF AND SHINE Jun17 May27 May12 Apr27 Mar23 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
7  SASSY LAD Jun24 Jun03 May07 Jan12   (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 ★    
8  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Jun19 Apr11 Mar22     (crook-demasi)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 8.00 ★    
9  YANKEE EMPIRE Jun23 Jun03 May13 Feb20 Feb11 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 8.00    
10  QUICK WIT Jun10         (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAINST THE ODDS Jul07 Jun22 May11 Apr08 Mar18 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.50 20% 4.00    
2  PAGE DOWN May21 May06 Apr21 Feb23 Feb01 (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  WHO YOU SAY I AM Jul07 Jun23       (smith r)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 ★    
4  TOP HAT TREASON Jun22 Jun02 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 ★    
5  SPIKES SHIRL Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 May25 May11 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S SOLUTION Jul06 Jun09 May26 May05 Apr01 (moreno-barban )CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MINE THE COIN Jul07 Jun11 May26     (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  BEYOND THE BEND May26 May05 Mar02     (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  READY AND RICH Jun15 May19 Apr06 Feb09 Jan12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 ★    
5  GRAB THE GOLD Jul06 May20 Apr27 Mar23 Mar02 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
6  NO MORE TALK Jun24 Jun05 May15 Apr28 Mar19 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 4.50    
 
PEN-6   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LORD WINSALOT Jul04 May27 Apr25     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT HAULER Jun16 May27       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  EAGLES CRY Jul06 Jun09       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
4  TRENDING UP Jun30 May21 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
5  RON DON SCORESE May27 May07 Apr01 Mar04 Feb15 (kreiser ti)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 5.00 ★    
6  STAY HYDRATED Jun15 May10 Apr05 Mar14 Feb07 (ness jamie)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 8% 10.80    
 
PEN-7   07/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE JUSTICE Jun15 Jun01 May13 Apr21 Mar04 (mick r)BAKER J 120 8.00 ★    
2  FLECHE D'AMOUR Jun23 May01 Apr03 Feb18 Jan20 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 1.60 22% 3.50    
3  YOURINDENIAL Jun23 Jun13 May30 May16 Apr05 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 8.00 ★    
4  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jun23 Jun09 May25 Apr27 Apr07 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
5  SIREN'S LUCKY SONG Jun24 May26 May13 Apr03 Mar06 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 48% 1.10    
6  BROOKLYN MOJO Jun24 Jun09 May19 Apr20 Mar25 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00    
 
PEN-8   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODIOUS SINGER Jun23 May25 Apr28 Mar07 Feb18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SPLENDOR GAL Jul13 Jun23 Jun13 May23 May10 (perez flore)RAMOS C 115 12.00    
3  STORMY SPELL Jul07 Jun16 Apr29 Mar16 Jan25 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
4  COTTON CANDY CUTIE Jul08 Jun10 May24 May17 May02 (santaella-c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 8.00 6% 15.00    
5  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Jul07 Jun11 May13 Apr21 Apr11 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
6  SILENT FLUIDITY Jun18 Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
7  CUCKOO FORCONONUTS Jun29 May13 Apr21 Feb22 Jan28 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.