Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - July 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   07/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :474       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRAND ESCAPE 4 2 1nk     1½ 11½ (bailes ro)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 4.00 6.40  
1  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI 1 4 2nk     2½ 21½ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 113 3.00 33% 2.10 1.50 P
6  UPSTATE AND BACK 5 3 3½     33½ 32¼ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 4.00 S
2  FREYDIS 2 5 53     43½ 43¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
4  VAMONOS 3 1 42     54 55¾ (wohlers l)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.60 25% 3.00 1.10  
SCR  BRENTFORD               (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 118 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   07/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:094 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAVORITE IMAGE 2 1 11 1½ 11½ 12½ 12 (mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 115 1.80 ★ 0.30  
1  CALL ON CLARA 1 8 811 78½ 73¼ 34 22 (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 117 8.00 30.20  
7  KINSALER 7 4 21 2½ 31½ 44 35 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 ★ 8.80 S
6  WHISTLE PLAYER 6 6 64½ 55 62¾ 54½ 47½ (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 6.00 7.00  
8  DREAMING THOUSAND 8 5 53½ 65 42 66 57½ (taylor joseph)RIVERA EDWIN 122 6.00 45.60  
3  THINKIN OUT LOUD 3 3 32½ 33 21½ 22½ 68 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 20% 4.10 8.00  
5  SUPER REIGN 5 7 78 88¾ 86¼ 77 78¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 85.30  
4  BUMMER 4 2 43 44½ 52¼ 811 821¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 10% 8.60 14.80  
SCR  CHAIN REACTION               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   07/13/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:09 1:333   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLBALOAF 5 3 31½ 31½ 31½ 11 14 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 39% 1.60 1.60 W
2  CRISPER 2 8 76½ 84¼ 75 46 24 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 7% 12.60 4.60 P
1  SAKETUMI 1 4 1nk 1nk 11 21 34½ (dowling wi)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 3.00 28% 2.50 1.10 S
3  BAVARIA 3 7 65 53½ 53½ 35 46¼ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00 87.50  
8  LINGFIELD PARK 8 5 53½ 43 42½ 59½ 511½ (schoenthal )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 26.40  
4  BRAVE DEACON 4 6 86¾ 74¼ 64½ 611 612 (davies g)CORA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
6  TRUE SUCCESS 6 9 912¼ 910¾ 912½ 711½ 713½ (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 118 15.00 38.40  
10  ROLLING PALISADES 9 2 43 63¾ 810½ 812½ 816¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 ★ 24.00  
7  COAST TO COAST 7 1 2nk 2nk 21 916½ 931½ (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 23.30  
SCR  AERIAL ASSAULT               (matz micha)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 30.00    
 
PEN-4   07/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:102 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LACCO AMENO 3 8 85½ 85 73¾ 43 11¼ (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 49% 1.10 0.40 W
2  CATTY'S UNCLE 1 3 1nk 21½ 2nk 1½ 21¼ (pattershall ma)RIVERA EDWIN 120 6.00 11% 7.90 7.80 P
3  AUCHINCRUIVE 2 2 42¼ 64½ 63¾ 55 32¾ (leatherbu)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 ★ 2.80 S
8  MR DUBAI 7 7 75¼ 74½ 43 33 42¾ (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 43.60  
9  ARTIE CHILLER 8 6 2nk 11½ 1nk 2½ 53¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 24.00  
5  BUSTER BRUNO 4 4 52¾ 54 85¼ 79 68¼ (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 9% 9.80 19.70  
7  MY MAN GEORGIO 6 5 62¾ 43½ 31½ 67½ 711¾ (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 12.00 71.40  
6  FREEDOM'S START 5 1 3.2 33 53½ 814 820 (albright g)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 10.00 44.80  
SCR  UNCLE YUDI               (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
PEN-5   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOUR GUARD 1 4 31½ 22   21½ 1¼ (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 54% 0.90 1.20 W
6  AMERICAN CHESTNUT 5 1 1nk 12   11½ 2¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 ★ 3.80 P
4  STONE SCULPTOR 3 5 510 58½   47 31½ (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 9.30  
5  TAKE IT TO SCALE 4 3 42 32½   35 47¼ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★ 2.00  
2  TOOK A CAB 2 2 2nk 43   510 517 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 2.50 14% 6.40 6.30  
SCR  WONDER IN               (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 4.50 7% 13.30    
 
PEN-6   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SONG SAVER 2 3 41½ 1½   11½ 11¼ (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70 DQ↓2
1  SUGAR SMILE 1 5 51¾ 31½   21½ 21¼ (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 22% 3.50 1.90 W
7  MS STRONG HEART 5 2 2nk 2½   31½ 32 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 ★ 5.40 S
6  ANIPPE 4 1 1nk 42½   45 47 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 29% 2.40 2.20  
3  MISCHIEF MELODY 3 4 3½ 56½   515 522¾ (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 26.60  
SCR  LET'S GO MO               (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TURNS 2 3 31½ 21½   21½ 1¼ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.50 W
4  DOUBLE TIME BAY 3 1 11½ 11½   11½ 2¼ (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.60 31% 2.20 0.90 P
1  DOWNTOTHEHONKYTONK 1 2 21½ 34½   39 319½ (zook w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 ★ 2.30 S
SCR  PAULINO               (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  POWER OF AQUARIUS               (taylor jose)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RAECHEL'S RISK 4 1 1½ 12   14 15¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 1.40 31% 2.30 0.60 W
1  COUNTESS SHANAKILL 1 5 53½ 46   34½ 25¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 ★ 22.70 P
4  ABOVE THE LINE 3 3 31 56¼   47½ 37¼ (miller marli)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 40.00  
6  NORA RADD 5 2 41½ 22   24 411 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 2.00 40% 1.50 2.20  
2  WOW FACTOR 2 4 2½ 36   512½ 522½ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★ 3.70  
SCR  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS               (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.