Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - July 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :474       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND ESCAPE 4 2 1nk     1½ 1 (bailes robe)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 4.00 6.40  
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI 1 4 2nk     2½ 2 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 113 3.00 33% 2.10 1.50 P
UPSTATE AND BACK 5 3 3½     3 3 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 4.00 S
FREYDIS 2 5 53     4 4 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
VAMONOS 3 1 42     54 5 (wohlers lau)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.60 25% 3.00 1.10  
SCR  BRENTFORD               (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 118 5.00    
 
PEN-2   07/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:094 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORITE IMAGE 2 1 11 1½ 1 1 12 (mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 115 1.80 0.30  
CALL ON CLARA 1 8 811 7 7 34 22 (reck christoph)VILLEGAS JERRY 117 8.00 30.20  
KINSALER 7 4 21 2½ 3 44 35 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 8.80 S
WHISTLE PLAYER 6 6 6 55 6 5 4 (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 6.00 7.00  
DREAMING THOUSAND 8 5 5 65 42 66 5 (taylor joseph)RIVERA EDWIN 122 6.00 45.60  
THINKIN OUT LOUD 3 3 3 33 2 2 68 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 20% 4.10 8.00  
SUPER REIGN 5 7 78 8 8 77 7 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 85.30  
BUMMER 4 2 43 4 5 811 821¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 10% 8.60 14.80  
SCR  CHAIN REACTION               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   07/13/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:09 1:333   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLBALOAF 5 3 3 3 3 11 14 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 39% 1.60 1.60 W
CRISPER 2 8 7 8 75 46 24 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 7% 12.60 4.60 P
SAKETUMI 1 4 1nk 1nk 11 21 3 (dowling will)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 3.00 28% 2.50 1.10 S
BAVARIA 3 7 65 5 5 35 4 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00 87.50  
LINGFIELD PARK 8 5 5 43 4 5 511½ (schoenthal ph)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 26.40  
BRAVE DEACON 4 6 8 7 6 611 612 (davies g)CORA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
TRUE SUCCESS 6 9 912¼ 910¾ 912½ 711½ 713½ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 118 15.00 38.40  
10  ROLLING PALISADES 9 2 43 6 810½ 812½ 816¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 24.00  
COAST TO COAST 7 1 2nk 2nk 21 916½ 931½ (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 23.30  
SCR  AERIAL ASSAULT               (matz michael)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 30.00    
 
PEN-4   07/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:102 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACCO AMENO 3 8 8 85 7 43 1 (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 49% 1.10 0.40 W
CATTY'S UNCLE 1 3 1nk 2 2nk 1½ 2 (pattershall mary)RIVERA EDWIN 120 6.00 11% 7.90 7.80 P
AUCHINCRUIVE 2 2 4 6 6 55 3 (leatherbury)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 2.80 S
MR DUBAI 7 7 7 7 43 33 4 (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 43.60  
ARTIE CHILLER 8 6 2nk 1 1nk 2½ 5 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 24.00  
BUSTER BRUNO 4 4 5 54 8 79 6 (crook-demasi kath)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 9% 9.80 19.70  
MY MAN GEORGIO 6 5 6 4 3 6 711¾ (carpio erin)VARGAS L 122 12.00 71.40  
FREEDOM'S START 5 1 3.2 33 5 814 820 (albright geo)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 10.00 44.80  
SCR  UNCLE YUDI               (kravets m)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
PEN-5   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOUR GUARD 1 4 3 22   2 1¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 54% 0.90 1.20 W
AMERICAN CHESTNUT 5 1 1nk 12   1 2¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 3.80 P
STONE SCULPTOR 3 5 510 5   47 3 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 9.30  
TAKE IT TO SCALE 4 3 42 3   35 4 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 2.00  
TOOK A CAB 2 2 2nk 43   510 517 (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 2.50 14% 6.40 6.30  
SCR  WONDER IN               (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 7% 13.30    
 
PEN-6   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG SAVER 2 3 4 1½   1 1 (crook-demasi kath)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70 DQ↓2
SUGAR SMILE 1 5 5 3   2 2 (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 22% 3.50 1.90 W
MS STRONG HEART 5 2 2nk 2½   3 32 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 5.40 S
ANIPPE 4 1 1nk 4   45 47 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 29% 2.40 2.20  
MISCHIEF MELODY 3 4 3½ 5   515 522¾ (kravets m)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 26.60  
SCR  LET'S GO MO               (miller marl)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNS 2 3 3 2   2 1¼ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.50 W
DOUBLE TIME BAY 3 1 1 1   1 2¼ (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.60 31% 2.20 0.90 P
DOWNTOTHEHONKYTONK 1 2 2 3   39 319½ (zook w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 2.30 S
SCR  PAULINO               (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 4.50    
SCR  POWER OF AQUARIUS               (taylor joseph)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 5.00    
 
PEN-8   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAECHEL'S RISK 4 1 1½ 12   14 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 1.40 31% 2.30 0.60 W
COUNTESS SHANAKILL 1 5 5 46   3 2 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 22.70 P
ABOVE THE LINE 3 3 31 5   4 3 (miller marlin )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 40.00  
NORA RADD 5 2 4 22   24 411 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 124 2.00 40% 1.50 2.20  
WOW FACTOR 2 4 2½ 36   512½ 522½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 3.70  
SCR  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS               (kravets m)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.