Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - July 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI         (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 113 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  FREYDIS         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRENTFORD         (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 118 5.00 ★    
4  VAMONOS Jun15 May27 Apr26     (wohlers l)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.60 25% 3.00    
5  GRAND ESCAPE         (bailes ro)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 4.00    
6  UPSTATE AND BACK         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   07/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ON CLARA Jun15         (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 117 8.00    
2  FAVORITE IMAGE Jul01 Jun11 Apr28     (mcdermott )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 1.80 ★    
3  THINKIN OUT LOUD Jun09 Apr22 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  BUMMER Jun23         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 10% 8.60    
5  SUPER REIGN Jun10 May21 May06 Apr20 Mar23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
6  WHISTLE PLAYER Jun22         (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 6.00    
7  KINSALER Jun09 Apr29 Mar30 Mar23 Feb16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 ★    
8  DREAMING THOUSAND Jun19 Jun01       (taylor jose)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 6.00    
SCR  CHAIN REACTION Jul01 Jun09 May13 Apr27 Mar15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   07/13/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAKETUMI Jun28 May31       (dowling wi)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  CRISPER Jun07 Jan18       (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
3  BAVARIA Jun22 Jun10 May21 May06 Mar22 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00    
4  BRAVE DEACON Jun26         (davies g)CORA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLBALOAF Jun22 May25       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  TRUE SUCCESS Jul01 Jun15 Apr27 Mar23   (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 118 15.00    
7  COAST TO COAST Jun10 May25 May11 Apr08 Mar18 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
8  LINGFIELD PARK Jun24 Apr29 Mar23 Mar15   (schoenthal phi)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
SCR  AERIAL ASSAULT         (matz micha)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 30.00    
10  ROLLING PALISADES Jun01 Apr28 Apr06 Jan11   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   07/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE YUDI Jul07 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar23 (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  CATTY'S UNCLE Jun13 May31 May03 Apr11 Mar28 (pattershall ma)RIVERA EDWIN 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
3  AUCHINCRUIVE Jun23 Jun04       (leatherbu)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
4  LACCO AMENO Jun19 Jun03 May13 Apr28   (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
5  BUSTER BRUNO Jun24 May11       (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
6  FREEDOM'S START Jun24 Jun09 May27     (albright g)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 10.00    
7  MY MAN GEORGIO Jun23 Jun09 May24 May13 Apr27 (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
8  MR DUBAI Jun02 May05 Apr22 Mar02 Jan28 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
9  ARTIE CHILLER Jun23 May05 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
 
PEN-5   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOUR GUARD Jun22 May21 May06 Apr08 Mar18 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
2  TOOK A CAB May11 Apr04 Feb16 Jan12   (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 2.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  WONDER IN Jun22 May12 Apr21 Mar29 Feb16 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 4.50 7% 13.30    
4  STONE SCULPTOR Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May25 May06 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
5  TAKE IT TO SCALE May21 Apr27 Mar30 Jan19   (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
6  AMERICAN CHESTNUT Jun23 May20 May06     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-6   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR SMILE         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  SONG SAVER Jun16         (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  MISCHIEF MELODY Jun16         (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
SCR  LET'S GO MO         (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
6  ANIPPE Jun14 May27 Mar09     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
7  MS STRONG HEART         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOTHEHONKYTONK Jun22 May16       (zook w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 ★    
2  TURNS         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  POWER OF AQUARIUS Jun15         (taylor jose)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 5.00 ★    
4  DOUBLE TIME BAY Jun17 May12 Apr27 Mar25   (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
SCR  PAULINO Jun16 May19 May05 Apr08 Mar16 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS SHANAKILL Jun16 May25 Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 ★    
2  WOW FACTOR Jun16 May12 Apr28 Mar23 Mar02 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Jun16 May25 Apr29 Mar23 Mar08 (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 ★    
4  ABOVE THE LINE Jun16 May27 May12 Mar23 Mar02 (miller marli)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
5  RAECHEL'S RISK Jun16         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 1.40 31% 2.30    
6  NORA RADD Jun23 Jun10 Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.