Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :471       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTATE AND BACK 2 1 1nk     2nk 1 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 1.60 48% 1.10 1.10 W
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY 4 3 2nk     1nk 2 (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 2.50 P
BROBRO CORMAN 1 4 46     34 3 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 5.00 9.60 S
BUCK WILD 3 2 33     46 418½ (crane clovis)CORA D 118 4.50 1.70  
SCR  BRENTFORD               (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
PEN-2   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:132 1:423   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPT 3 4 510 514 410¼ 1½ 1 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 1.80 44% 1.30 1.10 W
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 4 2 15 1 110 2½ 2 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 10% 9.40 5.60 P
GOLD FELLOW 2 1 25 2 210 3 37 (gonzalez cl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 2.40  
ROYAL'S INVASION 5 3 48 310 310 4 410¾ (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 6% 15.70 21.00  
BOSSY CAT 1 5 38 410 513¼ 517½ 540¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 2.90  
SCR  MOUNTAIN TIME               (hillegass alexa)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.50    
 
PEN-3   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:152 1:432   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN THE PALACE 2 8 7 5 1 1 1 (stites flint)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 8.00 6% 15.50 4.80 W
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 3 2 4 42 33 2 2 (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 20% 4.10 0.70 P
TOUCH OF PRINCE 4 4 55 6 54 3 39 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 5.10  
SKIMBLE SHANKS 7 7 8 8 713 510 49 (beattie d)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 25.20  
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 1 1 6 7 68 610 511 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 41.80  
CARPE SOGNO 8 3 2nk 2nk 4 713 621¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 40% 1.50 7.20  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 6 6 33 3 2 4 723½ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 10.40  
SIR ARTHUR 5 5 1nk 1nk 813½ 833 842½ (bracho shere)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 32.90  
SCR  NO RHYTHM               (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   07/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON ISLAND TIME 5 1 2nk 1   11 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 2.70  
HELLO GRACIE 2 5 4 32   21 2 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 4.10  
ECLIPTICALS SARAH 3 2 1nk 2   34 310 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 5.90  
CRYSTALOLOGY 4 3 6 6   514 410¼ (saville nial)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 8.00 9.00  
GOLD RUSH KIZZIE 6 7 7 710½   614 511½ (hawthorne )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 29% 2.50 6.30  
SHOSHANAH 1 4 32 4   49 611¾ (horlacher kyle)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 10% 8.90 2.20  
10  CAN I GET AN AMEN 7 6 5 57   715½ 723¾ (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 17.00  
SCR  DWELLER               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE               (rogers w)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
SCR  RAECHEL'S RISK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-5   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153 1:431   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 3 2 2½ 2nk 1 15 1 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 12.10  
GINGERONMYMIND 2 5 5 4 3 25 2 (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 39% 1.60 0.50 P
SEEKING THE THRONE 1 4 32 32 4 46 312 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 21.60 S
NORTHERN CROSS 4 3 1½ 1nk 2 3 415 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 1.80 1.60  
HONESTA 5 1 44 56 58 5 516¼ (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 12% 7.20 12.60  
SCR  NINJA PRINCESS               (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-6   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AND MACHA 2 5 3½ 1nk   11 1 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.40 W
MARKET OF STOCKS 4 4 5 5   4 2 (d'angelo ricardo)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 4.00 P
SOUTH HOUSE 1 3 2½ 4¼   3 34 (stites flint)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 8.00 12% 7.30 5.20 S
VANISHING FAITH 5 2 41 2nk   21 4 (martinez alex)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 2.50 8.40  
SMART TART 3 6 6 6   6 59 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 12.00 16.40  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 6 1 1½ 3.2   5 617 (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 2.60  
 
PEN-7   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:151 1:431   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRY DREAMS 5 3 4 4 1 11 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 1.50  
SPECTACULLARI 4 4 54 5 32 21 2 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 65% 0.50 2.70 P
LIFE IS ETERNAL 3 5 3 31 4 38 39 (geist david)VARGAS L 120 3.50 4.00 S
HIGH FRONTIER 2 1 2 21 55 4 412¼ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 3.50  
PEACEARELLA 1 2 1 11 2 5 517 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 6.80  
 
PEN-8   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:143 1:41   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT FLASHY 5 1 12 12 1 1 15 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.00 W
GRAZELY 3 3 33 4 2 2 25 (flores-coba fel)RIVERA D 124 4.50 10.70  
SEAT OF HONOR 1 4 43 3 3 3 3 (pattershall m)RAMOS C 117 2.00 23% 3.30 4.20 S
THUNDER GRUNDER 2 6 612½ 612¾ 611¼ 412½ 417½ (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 23% 3.30 1.80  
CATTLE DRIVE 6 2 22 22 410½ 516½ 524½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 20.00 49.50  
POCOPSON STATION 4 5 5 5 510¾ 626½ 654¼ (ippolito mark)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 15.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.